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-   -   High NCAAF RSW totals - LSU/OU (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=488347)

NajdorfDefense 08-28-2007 03:03 PM

High NCAAF RSW totals - LSU/OU
 
I like the under on:
OU 10
LSU 10

OU and Texas play obviously. OU's QB will have no experience among the 3 competing. Miami @home is certainly no gimme altho OU will be justly favored, but if Kyle Wright outplays the OU starter...the Miami D will be very tough this year.
[if you like OU then you could short UT instead at 10 wins]

LSU I think is overrated. Lost 9 starters, stud QB, both WRs, 2 OLs. Def is good but so was last year's. Tough conference for sure. VaTech OOC is no joke, I am hoping for a great line for the Hokies to bet that game. But they do get Fla, Ark, Auburn all at home as well. Sure Matt Flynn can play...but he hasn't much.

Miles doesn't impress me, lost 5, 4, 5 games at OSU vs mostly weak opposition [w/ 2 wins v OU even] and inherited Saban's studs. Anyway, he's won 10 games RSW last 2 years and has lost JMR to the pros. I don't see Flynn doing as well.

Miami u8.5 we already discussed, on that as well.

NajdorfDefense 08-28-2007 06:55 PM

Re: High NCAAF RSW totals - LSU/OU
 
Kirby has won the Miami QB comp, Wright struggled with a knee injury from Spring practice. Announced today. Should make life interesting on Offense. u8.5 looks better unless Kirby suddenly becomes a start after 2 years on bench, altho his mobility is better than Wright, who had none.

Coach Randy has announced 7 other 'co-starters' on the team, including Graig Cooper at RB. Will make for some real hot practices...

hedgie43 08-28-2007 08:33 PM

Re: High NCAAF RSW totals - LSU/OU
 
I like Boise St. Under 11 wins (-130) on Bodog. This line is just ridiculous for a team that is losing a ton of players in key positions and has to play Washington, Hawaii and Fresno St. on the road.

domer2 08-28-2007 11:59 PM

Re: High NCAAF RSW totals - LSU/OU
 
ND o7 +120 on Bodog

Overreaction line

MyTurn2Raise 08-29-2007 12:06 AM

Re: High NCAAF RSW totals - LSU/OU
 
[ QUOTE ]
ND o7 +120 on Bodog

Overreaction line

[/ QUOTE ]

i disagree with this strongly
I have notre dame over 7 wins 30%, exactly 7 25%, under 7 45% using projected spreads and spread to moneyline conversions

MyTurn2Raise 08-29-2007 12:07 AM

Re: High NCAAF RSW totals - LSU/OU
 
[ QUOTE ]
I like Boise St. Under 11 wins (-130) on Bodog. This line is just ridiculous for a team that is losing a ton of players in key positions and has to play Washington, Hawaii and Fresno St. on the road.

[/ QUOTE ]

agreed....hit it up for bet 2.6u to win 2u

NajdorfDefense 08-29-2007 12:09 AM

Re: High NCAAF RSW totals - LSU/OU
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I like Boise St. Under 11 wins (-130) on Bodog. This line is just ridiculous for a team that is losing a ton of players in key positions and has to play Washington, Hawaii and Fresno St. on the road.

[/ QUOTE ]

agreed....hit it up for bet 2.6u to win 2u

[/ QUOTE ]

agreed as well.

Mediocre_Player 08-29-2007 12:14 AM

Re: High NCAAF RSW totals - LSU/OU
 
MT2R: what did your distribution turn up for Rutgets this year, <9, 9, >9.

The o9.5 +140 looks tempting when you consider their first 5 games + 'Cuse freebie +Army speudo-freebies.

MyTurn2Raise 08-29-2007 12:19 AM

Re: High NCAAF RSW totals - LSU/OU
 
don't have one for Rutgers...I can get on that later

TomG 08-31-2007 06:23 PM

Re: High NCAAF RSW totals - LSU/OU
 
Decent side attempt for Michigan...

Michigan RSW Bodog
Und 10.5 -110

Michigan RSW 5Dimes
Ov 10.0 -110

You should either pop both sides for the max or determine for yourself which soft side you like unhedged.

NajdorfDefense 09-01-2007 04:54 PM

Re: High NCAAF RSW totals - LSU/OU
 
I popped the Bodog side after reading your post for small size, so thanks!

I think cfb RSW total I've taken the under on every bet, except maybe PSU.

Nate_Dogg 09-01-2007 07:13 PM

Re: High NCAAF RSW totals - LSU/OU
 
[ QUOTE ]
I like the under on:
OU 10
LSU 10

OU and Texas play obviously. OU's QB will have no experience among the 3 competing. Miami @home is certainly no gimme altho OU will be justly favored, but if Kyle Wright outplays the OU starter...the Miami D will be very tough this year.
[if you like OU then you could short UT instead at 10 wins]

LSU I think is overrated. Lost 9 starters, stud QB, both WRs, 2 OLs. Def is good but so was last year's. Tough conference for sure. VaTech OOC is no joke, I am hoping for a great line for the Hokies to bet that game. But they do get Fla, Ark, Auburn all at home as well. Sure Matt Flynn can play...but he hasn't much.

Miles doesn't impress me, lost 5, 4, 5 games at OSU vs mostly weak opposition [w/ 2 wins v OU even] and inherited Saban's studs. Anyway, he's won 10 games RSW last 2 years and has lost JMR to the pros. I don't see Flynn doing as well.

Miami u8.5 we already discussed, on that as well.

[/ QUOTE ]

LSU reasoning is flawed. They lost an okay QB, Russell wasn't so spectacular outside of the Sugar Bowl. Alot of people think Flynn is a better college QB. The defense wasn't just "good" it was one of the two best in the country (Florida) and probably still is. They do play a sick schedule but almost all of the tough games are at home.

NajdorfDefense 09-02-2007 12:08 PM

Re: High NCAAF RSW totals - LSU/OU
 
No one thought Flynn was a better college QB, be serious.

However, seeing VT look like crap yesterday makes me nervous.

NajdorfDefense 09-30-2007 04:46 PM

Re: High NCAAF RSW totals - LSU/OU
 
Boise, Mich, OU, ND all look like possible winners, ND already a winner.

LSU could be the loser.

If we've already won on ND, when do they pay us -- think they will before year-end? I haven't looked yet.

ImStillBen 09-30-2007 05:01 PM

Re: High NCAAF RSW totals - LSU/OU
 
[ QUOTE ]
Boise, Mich, OU, ND all look like possible winners, ND already a winner.

LSU could be the loser.

If we've already won on ND, when do they pay us -- think they will before year-end? I haven't looked yet.

[/ QUOTE ]

Some books may grade as a courtesy, but generally they wait until season end. It is possible a game gets cancelled and then all wagers are void.

NajdorfDefense 09-30-2007 05:03 PM

Re: High NCAAF RSW totals - LSU/OU
 
Thanks, I figured. Bodog paid BoSox win Div early, but I guess that isn't affected by # of games.

Mediocre_Player 09-30-2007 05:08 PM

Re: High NCAAF RSW totals - LSU/OU
 
I know Carib's rules on futures is to grade the wager once it's mathematically determined to be a winner/loser, and you don't need the seasons to play out

NajdorfDefense 10-14-2007 10:20 PM

Re: High NCAAF RSW totals - LSU/OU
 
[ QUOTE ]
Boise, Mich, OU, ND all look like possible winners, ND already a winner.

LSU could be the loser.

If we've already won on ND, when do they pay us -- think they will before year-end? I haven't looked yet.

[/ QUOTE ]

Lock it up on u8.5/+105 on Miami, Miami is not running the table v Virginia, at BC, at FSU, at VaTech.

Gogo underz!!

MyTurn2Raise 10-15-2007 12:00 AM

Re: High NCAAF RSW totals - LSU/OU
 
damn....almost locked up the win on boise...argh

pirateboy 10-15-2007 01:56 AM

Re: High NCAAF RSW totals - LSU/OU
 
I'm loving my Oregon O7 and ASU O7.5 right now

hedgie43 11-24-2007 07:43 PM

Re: High NCAAF RSW totals - LSU/OU
 
[ QUOTE ]

I like Boise St. Under 11 wins (-130) on Bodog. This line is just ridiculous for a team that is losing a ton of players in key positions and has to play Washington, Hawaii and Fresno St. on the road.

[/ QUOTE ]

Ty Bodog.

NajdorfDefense 11-24-2007 10:36 PM

Re: High NCAAF RSW totals - LSU/OU
 
[ QUOTE ]
I like the under on:
OU 10
LSU 10

LSU I think is overrated. Lost 9 starters, stud QB, both WRs, 2 OLs. Def is good but so was last year's. Tough conference for sure. VaTech OOC is no joke, I am hoping for a great line for the Hokies to bet that game. But they do get Fla, Ark, Auburn all at home as well. Sure Matt Flynn can play...but he hasn't much.

Miles doesn't impress me, lost 5, 4, 5 games at OSU vs mostly weak opposition [w/ 2 wins v OU even] and inherited Saban's studs. Anyway, he's won 10 games RSW last 2 years and has lost JMR to the pros. I don't see Flynn doing as well.

Miami u8.5 we already discussed, on that as well.

[/ QUOTE ]

Both teams can easily lose next week, Miami already a big winner obvs. Also thanks for the Boise headsup.

insanity31 11-25-2007 02:09 AM

Re: High NCAAF RSW totals - LSU/OU
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I like the under on:
OU 10
LSU 10

LSU I think is overrated. Lost 9 starters, stud QB, both WRs, 2 OLs. Def is good but so was last year's. Tough conference for sure. VaTech OOC is no joke, I am hoping for a great line for the Hokies to bet that game. But they do get Fla, Ark, Auburn all at home as well. Sure Matt Flynn can play...but he hasn't much.

Miles doesn't impress me, lost 5, 4, 5 games at OSU vs mostly weak opposition [w/ 2 wins v OU even] and inherited Saban's studs. Anyway, he's won 10 games RSW last 2 years and has lost JMR to the pros. I don't see Flynn doing as well.

Miami u8.5 we already discussed, on that as well.

[/ QUOTE ]

Both teams can easily lose next week, Miami already a big winner obvs. Also thanks for the Boise headsup.

[/ QUOTE ]

Next week doesn't matter. Both are pushes.


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