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huhuhu
villain is a little passive pf, probably defends a little too light, doesn't 3bet enough imo
stacks 600 eff last 3 BB's I have repopped, he folded to one of them and defended two folding the flop, next BB I have AJ[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] he opens for 14, I make it a standard 50, he makes it 150, I? |
Re: huhuhu
what limit?
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Re: huhuhu
i'm guessing 2/4. i'd prob 5-bet. i def wouldnt call
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Re: huhuhu
2/4
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Re: huhuhu
if he doesn't 3bet enough pre, he probably isn't going to be the type to go into preflop wars. fold
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Re: huhuhu
Seriously, I think this is a reallly bad hand to post because you know better than anyone else. Its either a really either shove or a really easy fold depending on the specific villain and its almost impossible to tell from the info given.
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Re: huhuhu
you can't call.
fold or shove. i fold this everytime, odds of you being dominated are very high, and you don't have much of his range crushed at all. |
Re: huhuhu
5 bets
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Re: huhuhu
I fold it pretty quick.
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Re: huhuhu
The math:
Current pot size: 50+150=200 Pot Size if Called: 600*2=1200 Left to shove: 600-50=550 Equity when called: Hand 0: 69.143% { JJ+, TcTd, TcTh, TcTs, AQs+, AKo } Hand 1: 30.857% { AJs } Not sure how he'll react with TT or AQo given your history. But you'll always have around 30% equity, as you would with any suited ace. Let X=P(Fold), breakeven point of shove: EV(0) = 200X + (1-X)(1200*0.308 - 550) X = 47.4% Therefore, he must fold almost half the time for this shove to be profitable. His calling range represents 3.5% of combos, so he needs to be doing this with: 3.5%/(1-47.4%) = 6.66% of total combos. I like a shove given your history, as I'd say he could be getting to the point of doing this with a far great portion of his range. There's also an outside chance that he'll be tilted into calling with a wider range against you are flipping or better. If he's calling with 88-99 This makes the fact you have AJs instead of A7s very important. |
Re: huhuhu
I really think you need to fold, based on what youve said about him defending light - hes probably only playing the strength of his own hands - i think its obvious hes holding a monster and your pretty much dominated.
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Re: huhuhu
Muck it fast.
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Re: huhuhu
fold
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Re: huhuhu
lays it down obv
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Re: huhuhu
everyone saying fold, what about AQ?
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Re: huhuhu
[ QUOTE ]
Seriously, I think this is a reallly bad hand to post because you know better than anyone else. Its either a really either shove or a really easy fold depending on the specific villain and its almost impossible to tell from the info given. [/ QUOTE ] exactly, posting a HU hand like this is totally useless. |
Re: huhuhu
[ QUOTE ]
everyone saying fold, what about AQ? [/ QUOTE ] FOLD! |
Re: huhuhu
wtf you'd fold AQ ariel? next you'll be telling me aejones folds it too
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Re: huhuhu
[ QUOTE ]
i'm guessing 2/4. i'd prob 5-bet. i def wouldnt call [/ QUOTE ] 5bets lol |
Re: huhuhu
[ QUOTE ]
wtf you'd fold AQ ariel? next you'll be telling me aejones folds it too [/ QUOTE ] i got it all in with AQ 8 times yesterday and was never even as good as coinflipping. and even i would fold here |
Re: huhuhu
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] wtf you'd fold AQ ariel? next you'll be telling me aejones folds it too [/ QUOTE ] i got it all in with AQ 8 times yesterday and was never even as good as coinflipping. and even i would fold here [/ QUOTE ] i used to go broke here all the time with AQ, and it honestly is not a very good idea. People dont 4bet light as often as you think they do. They have AK a ton and JJ+ the rest. |
Re: huhuhu
fold, but with the given conditions i call pre a ton here rather than 3b precisely bc of this. your hand isnt quite good enough even though youre gonna get played back at a bunch
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Re: huhuhu
[ QUOTE ]
fold, but with the given conditions i call pre a ton here rather than 3b precisely bc of this. your hand isnt quite good enough even though youre gonna get played back at a bunch [/ QUOTE ] espec witht hese stacks |
Re: huhuhu
completely forgot about this thread, interesting responses, some of you guys fold AQ here? wow.
anyway I shoved he snap called w/ AA and held, gg me. |
Re: huhuhu
i fold AJs and AQ here as well., like, quickly.
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Re: huhuhu
calling pre here seems best with a hand like this (or 88, 99, KQ, etc) given flow.
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