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-   -   $16t: Turned flush on first hand (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=319272)

JuntMonkey 01-30-2007 05:16 PM

$16t: Turned flush on first hand
 
This is two-pair/set/lower flush/random hand enough to push for value right? I think there's a ton of worse hands he'll call with.

PokerStars Tournament, Big Blind is t20 (9 handed) Converter on pregopoker.com

UTG (t1500)
UTG+1 (t1500)
MP1 (t1500)
MP2 (t1500)
MP3 (t1500)
CO (t1500)
Button (t1500)
Hero (t1500)
BB (t1500)

Preflop: Hero is in SB with 5[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]
<font color="gray">UTG folds</font>, <font color="gray">UTG+1 folds</font>, <font color="gray">MP1 folds</font>, <font color="gray">MP2 folds</font>, <font color="gray">MP3 folds</font>, <font color="gray">CO folds</font>, Button calls t20, Hero calls t10, BB checks

Flop: (t60) 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (3 players)
Hero checks, BB checks, Button checks

Turn: (t60) Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (3 players)
<font color="red">Hero bets t40</font>, BB calls t40, <font color="gray">Button folds</font>

River: (t140) 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 players)
<font color="red">Hero bets t110</font>, <font color="red">BB raises to t400</font>

Pudge714 01-30-2007 05:45 PM

Re: $16t: Turned flush on first hand
 
Bet flop.
Call river.
Edit: Put his range on any two clubs and it's an insta call.

Shillx 01-30-2007 05:51 PM

Re: $16t: Turned flush on first hand
 
Meh 3rd nut flush is roughly 50/50 against any other flush. You lose to 13 combos and beat 15 but I'd still call as he could have something goofy.

BHokie1 01-30-2007 05:57 PM

Re: $16t: Turned flush on first hand
 

My line usually is
checked flop
bet turn,
check/call the river

I'm definitely calling the river as played.

IMO in general Pudge Advice &gt; BHokie Advice

I'm interested on Pudge's reasons for betting the flop, maybe because only the button limped and he obviously doesn't have a strong hand.

If you bet the flop do you bet the turn when you hit or c/c, if you miss the turn I assume it's an easy c/f.

JuntMonkey 01-30-2007 06:02 PM

Re: $16t: Turned flush on first hand
 
Calling wasn't even a question, of course I'm calling the river. Re-re-raise all-in for value is the question. I really think this is sets, two pair, or lower flushes enough that pay-off a push.

jgunnip 01-30-2007 06:05 PM

Re: $16t: Turned flush on first hand
 
[ QUOTE ]
Calling wasn't even a question, of course I'm calling the river. Re-re-raise all-in for value is the question. I really think this is sets, two pair, or lower flushes enough that pay-off a push.

[/ QUOTE ]

I'd defintely push. Since villan was the BB I think a random two pair hand is even more likely.

BHokie1 01-30-2007 06:06 PM

Re: $16t: Turned flush on first hand
 
[ QUOTE ]
Calling wasn't even a question, of course I'm calling the river. Re-re-raise all-in for value is the question. I really think this is sets, two pair, or lower flushes enough that pay-off a push.

[/ QUOTE ]

This early I wouldn't, the times you bust don't make up for the times you get stacked IMO. It's a nice take down if you are ahead and you have time to recover if you are behind. This early I'd weigh surviving, over getting stacked.

jgunnip 01-30-2007 06:11 PM

Re: $16t: Turned flush on first hand
 
nit alert

[ QUOTE ]
the times you bust don't make up for the times you get stacked IMO

[/ QUOTE ]

[img]/images/graemlins/cool.gif[/img]

BHokie1 01-30-2007 06:14 PM

Re: $16t: Turned flush on first hand
 
[ QUOTE ]
nit alert

[ QUOTE ]
the times you bust don't make up for the times you get stacked IMO

[/ QUOTE ]

[img]/images/graemlins/cool.gif[/img]

[/ QUOTE ]

Yeah I'm a total nit early
It's the $16s there's a bigger edge late [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img]

eurythmech 01-30-2007 06:18 PM

Re: $16t: Turned flush on first hand
 
Hate preflop.

Think 60 turn is way better than 40 as well.

On river fold is out of the question, and check/call would give up tremendous amounts of value.

sippin_criss 01-30-2007 06:24 PM

Re: $16t: Turned flush on first hand
 
I'd play it the same and call the river, I'd need a read to shove the river.

The Venetian 01-30-2007 06:29 PM

Re: $16t: Turned flush on first hand
 
I play it the same if I'm in, but fold preflop. I bet out flop sometimes here, but probably not in this particular spot.

Honestly, I don't see any reason to get involved preflop at all. I know that's not really the crux of the hand, but that's what stuck out.

Just call river in a SNG. BHokie and others are right.

Sparta45 01-30-2007 06:33 PM

Re: $16t: Turned flush on first hand
 
I would shove the river. The only hands you're behind are Ax and Jx suited. And since he was in the BB, that seems even more unlikely. I think there are a lot of hands he pays you off with. I wouldn't back down just because you don't have the nuts.

wiggs73 01-30-2007 06:33 PM

Re: $16t: Turned flush on first hand
 
OP,

I posted a pretty similar hand a day or 2 ago. You can go find it if you feel so inclined (and didn't already look at it).

Sparta45 01-30-2007 06:33 PM

Re: $16t: Turned flush on first hand
 
[ QUOTE ]
Meh 3rd nut flush is roughly 50/50 against any other flush.

[/ QUOTE ]

What do you mean by this?

eurythmech 01-30-2007 06:36 PM

Re: $16t: Turned flush on first hand
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Meh 3rd nut flush is roughly 50/50 against any other flush.

[/ QUOTE ]

What do you mean by this?

[/ QUOTE ]

Give villain two random clubs, voilá!

Sparta45 01-30-2007 06:44 PM

Re: $16t: Turned flush on first hand
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Meh 3rd nut flush is roughly 50/50 against any other flush.

[/ QUOTE ]

What do you mean by this?

[/ QUOTE ]

Give villain two random clubs, voilá!

[/ QUOTE ]

Still not following. How are you calculating the 50/50 math??

Misfire 01-30-2007 06:49 PM

Re: $16t: Turned flush on first hand
 
[ QUOTE ]
This early I wouldn't, the times you bust don't make up for the times you get stacked IMO. It's a nice take down if you are ahead and you have time to recover if you are behind. This early I'd weigh surviving, over getting stacked.

[/ QUOTE ]

I think you just patched a leak of mine. Thanks!

dpbuck 01-30-2007 06:52 PM

Re: $16t: Turned flush on first hand
 
Am I a total nit if I fold this preflop?

Just call the river - no reason to get stacked on the first hand when you (presumably) have a skill edge you can parlay later.

Misfire 01-30-2007 06:56 PM

Re: $16t: Turned flush on first hand
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Meh 3rd nut flush is roughly 50/50 against any other flush.

[/ QUOTE ]

What do you mean by this?

[/ QUOTE ]

Give villain two random clubs, voilá!

[/ QUOTE ]

Still not following. How are you calculating the 50/50 math??

[/ QUOTE ]

You see 5 clubs. There are 8 left. Possible combinations that beat you are:

A2, A4, A6, A7, A8, A9, AJ,
J2, J4, J6, J7, J8, J9,

And combinations that don't beat you are:

92, 94, 96, 97, 98
82, 84, 86, 87
72, 74, 76,
62, 64,
42

13 you lose, 15 you win. Roughly 50/50.

Pudge714 01-30-2007 06:58 PM

Re: $16t: Turned flush on first hand
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Meh 3rd nut flush is roughly 50/50 against any other flush.

[/ QUOTE ]

What do you mean by this?

[/ QUOTE ]

Give villain two random clubs, voilá!

[/ QUOTE ]

Still not following. How are you calculating the 50/50 math??

[/ QUOTE ]

kc qc 3c 5c Tc are dead.
Flushes that are beating you a2,4,6,7,8,9,j j2,4,6,7,8,9 =13 combos

Flushes you are beating 92,4,6,7,8, 82,4,6,7 72,4,6 62,4 2,4 =15

Sparta45 01-30-2007 07:04 PM

Re: $16t: Turned flush on first hand
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Meh 3rd nut flush is roughly 50/50 against any other flush.

[/ QUOTE ]

What do you mean by this?

[/ QUOTE ]

Give villain two random clubs, voilá!

[/ QUOTE ]

Still not following. How are you calculating the 50/50 math??

[/ QUOTE ]

You see 5 clubs. There are 8 left. Possible combinations that beat you are:

A2, A4, A6, A7, A8, A9, AJ,
J2, J4, J6, J7, J8, J9,

And combinations that don't beat you are:

92, 94, 96, 97, 98
82, 84, 86, 87
72, 74, 76,
62, 64,
42

13 you lose, 15 you win. Roughly 50/50.

[/ QUOTE ]

alright. thanks

JuntMonkey 01-30-2007 07:49 PM

Re: $16t: Turned flush on first hand
 
[ QUOTE ]
Am I a total nit if I fold this preflop?

[/ QUOTE ]

No that's fine, probably more 2p2'ers than not would just fold. I don't think it matters either way.

[ QUOTE ]
Just call the river - no reason to get stacked on the first hand when you (presumably) have a skill edge you can parlay later

[/ QUOTE ]

I don't have a skill edge.

donkasaurus rex 01-30-2007 10:18 PM

Re: $16t: Turned flush on first hand
 
i dont think anyone could criticise you for folding Tc5c pre, especially on the first hand of an SNG.

i think its simple poker theory - don't play speculative hands OOP as it gets you into tricky situations like this.

-donk

BHokie1 01-30-2007 10:25 PM

Re: $16t: Turned flush on first hand
 
[ QUOTE ]
Am I a total nit if I fold this preflop?

Just call the river - no reason to get stacked on the first hand when you (presumably) have a skill edge you can parlay later.

[/ QUOTE ]

I fold Preflop, if it's more of a family pot I might limp.


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