Adrian Peterson Bodog props
 

Any values in these on Bodog?

Will Adrian Peterson (MIN) break the single season record for yards gained by a rookie running back (1808 yards Eric Dickerson)? Must play in week 10 for action. Regular season only. No parlays. Max $100
Yes
-300

No
+200


Will Adrian Peterson (MIN) break the single season record for yards by any running back (2105 yards Eric Dickerson)? Must play in week 10 for action. Regular season only. No parlays. Max $100
Yes
+150

No
-200

Re: Adrian Peterson Bodog props
 

Thanks for pointing these out. I just maxed the No on >2105 yards.

Re: Adrian Peterson Bodog props
 

Will the lucky SOB who drafted Adrian Peterson win your fantasy football league?

Yes
-1000

No
+800

Re: Adrian Peterson Bodog props
 

[ QUOTE ]

Will the lucky SOB who drafted Adrian Peterson win your fantasy football league?

Yes
-1000

No
+800

[/ QUOTE ]

LOL, very funny, and very true!!!

Re: Adrian Peterson Bodog props
 

Too lazy at the moment to look it up, but is there a tendency for rookie RBs to drop off later in the year?

Re: Adrian Peterson Bodog props
 

[ QUOTE ]

Will the lucky SOB who drafted Adrian Peterson win your fantasy football league?

Yes
-1000

No
+800

[/ QUOTE ]

So funny ... the guy in our league "Oklahoma Blake". We were laughing at him for picking Peterson in the 2nd round ... asking if Jason White was coming in the 3rd.

Re: Adrian Peterson Bodog props
 

[ QUOTE ]

Will the lucky SOB who drafted Adrian Peterson win your fantasy football league?

Yes
-1000

No
+800

[/ QUOTE ]

I'm in first in a league and traded him AWAY in week 2.

[img]/images/graemlins/crazy.gif[/img]

Re: Adrian Peterson Bodog props
 

I currently have LT sitting on my fantasy bench because i have Addai and AP starting, jealous much?!

Re: Adrian Peterson Bodog props
 

Anyone with some analysis? I like the under on both.

Card

Re: Adrian Peterson Bodog props
 

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I currently have LT sitting on my fantasy bench because i have Addai and AP starting, jealous much?!

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Are you in a 4 person league or something? How could anyone let Addai fall all the way back to you at the end of round 2?

Also, I like No on the overall record due to AP wearing down in his first long year as a pro as was mentioned earlier. Also leaning towards No on the rookie record as well, but I'd have to do some more analysis before betting it.

Re: Adrian Peterson Bodog props
 

I hit no for both before the prop apparently was taken down, ( just for me? Does Bodog software do that now?). He'd have to average almost 100 yds a game for the first prop, and like 131 for 2nd. Taylor still gets ok amount of carries, and people aren't exactly scared of Minny's passing game. Wasn't Castillo out for SD which severely weakened that line too? I don't have the capability of a full analysis, but I like the chances of him not getting at least the 2105, which pays for my other bet, which I happen to like anyways too.

A funny thing (to me) I noticed about this to tho was that he has like 3-4 runs over 65 yards this season for TD, and I seem to remember the only other rookie ever to do that was Michael Bennett..of the Minnesota Vikings.

Re: Adrian Peterson Bodog props
 

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I currently have LT sitting on my fantasy bench because i have Addai and AP starting, jealous much?!

[/ QUOTE ]

are you sure your goal is to find +EV sports bets?

Re: Adrian Peterson Bodog props
 

i maxed the no on 1808 at +190 on sportsbook.

Re: Adrian Peterson Bodog props
 

[ QUOTE ]

Will the lucky SOB who drafted Adrian Peterson win your fantasy football league?

Yes
-1000

No
+800

[/ QUOTE ]

Tom Brady?

100,833 and counting

Re: Adrian Peterson Bodog props
 

His week 17 game is at Denver. So even if he's 300 yards short of those records going into that game, he'll still have a shot at it the way Denver is playing lately. That would be ironic, since I think Dillon had his then NFL rush record day @Denver as well.

He does face the Raiders run defense too. He has a decent chance at the rookie record, but 2100 is a big number.

Since he's the anchor of my FFL team, I won't take the unders since I would love to see him go over.

Re: Adrian Peterson Bodog props
 

[ QUOTE ]
I currently have LT sitting on my fantasy bench because i have Addai and AP starting, jealous much?!

[/ QUOTE ]

Not really because you're clearly not maximizing your +EV by trading one of them for a better player at another position

Re: Adrian Peterson Bodog props
 

Bet is back up, just in case anyone missed out last night.

Re: Adrian Peterson Bodog props
 

I would also be very suprised if he can make it throuhg a 16 game nfl season without getting dinged up. the vikings will have nothing to play for at the end of the season and if he has any sort of injury sprained ankle or anything the vikings will not risk the future of there franchise on a meaningless game in december

Re: Adrian Peterson Bodog props
 

[ QUOTE ]
Bet is back up, just in case anyone missed out last night.

[/ QUOTE ]

Yeah but its a little less tempting right now.

Will Adrian Peterson (MIN) break the single season record for yards by any running back (2105 yards Eric Dickerson)? Must play in week 10 for action. Regular season only. No parlays. Max $100
Yes
+200

No
-300

Re: Adrian Peterson Bodog props
 

They added one for Peterson breaking Dickerson's TD record (18) and an over/under 15.5 for his total rushing TDs.

I maxed the No on > 18 TDs at -200.

He has 8 rushing TDs currently, so if the 15.5 is accurate, there is an average of 7.5 more TDs he will score this year. He needs to score 11 more TDs to break the record. Using Poisson this gives a 13.78% chance, so the No is substantially +EV. I personally think that 15.5 is a little high, which would make the edge here even larger. The juice for the over/under agrees - the over 15.5 is currently -105 and the under is -135.

Re: Adrian Peterson Bodog props
 

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Not really because you're clearly not maximizing your +EV by starting tomlinson

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Re: Adrian Peterson Bodog props
 

does anyone have confirmation from bodog that a tie for the record is a win and not a push?

Re: Adrian Peterson Bodog props
 

[ QUOTE ]
They added one for Peterson breaking Dickerson's TD record (18) and an over/under 15.5 for his total rushing TDs.

I maxed the No on > 18 TDs at -200.

He has 8 rushing TDs currently, so if the 15.5 is accurate, there is an average of 7.5 more TDs he will score this year. He needs to score 11 more TDs to break the record. Using Poisson this gives a 13.78% chance, so the No is substantially +EV. I personally think that 15.5 is a little high, which would make the edge here even larger. The juice for the over/under agrees - the over 15.5 is currently -105 and the under is -135.

[/ QUOTE ]
The No has already moved to -300

Re: Adrian Peterson Bodog props
 

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does anyone have confirmation from bodog that a tie for the record is a win and not a push?

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I haven't asked them but it clearly says "break the single season record" so tying the record should be a win for the No bet.

Re: Adrian Peterson Bodog props
 

Thank you for contacting the Bodog Sports Department.



If Adrian Peterson scores exactly 18 touchdowns then the wager would be settled as "No" since he did not break the touchdown record.



If you should require further assistance, please do not hesitate to contact us at 1-866-591-0083 or sports@bodoglife.com



Best Regards,



Bodog Sports Team

The Evolution of Digital Entertainment

sports@bodoglife.com

1-866-591-0083

Re: Adrian Peterson Bodog props
 

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]

Will the lucky SOB who drafted Adrian Peterson win your fantasy football league?

Yes
-1000

No
+800

[/ QUOTE ]

Tom Brady?

100,833 and counting

[/ QUOTE ]

Or you could be like the guy in our league who has them both.

And Peyton.

I keep trying to trade with him and then realize it's like trying to buy a birthday gift for Bill Gates.

Re: Adrian Peterson Bodog props
 

[ QUOTE ]
I hit no for both before the prop apparently was taken down, ( just for me? Does Bodog software do that now?). He'd have to average almost 100 yds a game for the first prop, and like 131 for 2nd. Taylor still gets ok amount of carries, and people aren't exactly scared of Minny's passing game. Wasn't Castillo out for SD which severely weakened that line too? I don't have the capability of a full analysis, but I like the chances of him not getting at least the 2105, which pays for my other bet, which I happen to like anyways too.

A funny thing (to me) I noticed about this to tho was that he has like 3-4 runs over 65 yards this season for TD, and I seem to remember the only other rookie ever to do that was Michael Bennett..of the Minnesota Vikings.

[/ QUOTE ]

Well, his season to date average is 129.5 yards per game and he does get to face the Bears, the team that allowed him to rush for 224 yards, again this season.

Re: Adrian Peterson Bodog props
 

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I hit no for both before the prop apparently was taken down, ( just for me? Does Bodog software do that now?). He'd have to average almost 100 yds a game for the first prop, and like 131 for 2nd. Taylor still gets ok amount of carries, and people aren't exactly scared of Minny's passing game. Wasn't Castillo out for SD which severely weakened that line too? I don't have the capability of a full analysis, but I like the chances of him not getting at least the 2105, which pays for my other bet, which I happen to like anyways too.

A funny thing (to me) I noticed about this to tho was that he has like 3-4 runs over 65 yards this season for TD, and I seem to remember the only other rookie ever to do that was Michael Bennett..of the Minnesota Vikings.

[/ QUOTE ]

Well, his season to date average is 129.5 yards per game and he does get to face the Bears, the team that allowed him to rush for 224 yards, again this season.

[/ QUOTE ]

This is the logic that causes people to bet the over.

Re: Adrian Peterson Bodog props
 

and of course after saying that ap goes down hard in the third quarter and they are checking out his knee

Re: Adrian Peterson Bodog props
 

He's done. Nice tackle on him though.

Re: Adrian Peterson Bodog props
 

http://sports.espn.go.com/nfl/news/story?id=3105274
sure glad i made that bet now