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-   Poker Beats, Brags, and Variance (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/forumdisplay.php?f=56)
-   -   a set? lol, whats that (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=545268)

Alobar 11-13-2007 03:41 PM

a set? lol, whats that
 
http://img108.imageshack.us/img108/1343/setji3.jpg

En Passant 11-13-2007 03:43 PM

Re: a set? lol, whats that
 
you wont need to flop a set if you stop playing small pocket pairs, donk

SkinnyLittleTwig 11-13-2007 03:45 PM

Re: a set? lol, whats that
 
lol

what are the odds for this

so sick bro 11-13-2007 03:47 PM

Re: a set? lol, whats that
 
look at the bright side - no losing money set over set

kylephilly 11-13-2007 04:35 PM

Re: a set? lol, whats that
 
you run better than kids who do jenkem

so sick bro 11-13-2007 04:37 PM

Re: a set? lol, whats that
 
loool jenkem is my favorite drug imo

nath 11-13-2007 04:39 PM

Re: a set? lol, whats that
 
looooooooooool please tell me the "Flop-a-set-o-meter" is real

Suigin406 11-13-2007 04:42 PM

Re: a set? lol, whats that
 
nice photoshop

Dan87 11-13-2007 04:43 PM

Re: a set? lol, whats that
 
so does that mean that in 120 hands the most someone flopped a set is 22 times? and you flopped 1

bottomset 11-13-2007 04:45 PM

Re: a set? lol, whats that
 
[ QUOTE ]
http://img108.imageshack.us/img108/1343/setji3.jpg

[/ QUOTE ]


lol

dallas14 11-13-2007 04:45 PM

Re: a set? lol, whats that
 
[ QUOTE ]
lol

what are the odds for this

[/ QUOTE ]

seriously? no one said it yet?

50/50...LOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOL

holdme 11-13-2007 04:46 PM

Re: a set? lol, whats that
 
no

Seb86 11-13-2007 04:47 PM

Re: a set? lol, whats that
 
he "only" saw 70 flop so its 1/70

Smell The Glove 11-13-2007 04:48 PM

Re: a set? lol, whats that
 
[ QUOTE ]
looooooooooool please tell me the "Flop-a-set-o-meter" is real

[/ QUOTE ]

link

Alobar 11-13-2007 04:50 PM

Re: a set? lol, whats that
 
[ QUOTE ]
nice photoshop

[/ QUOTE ]

sadly its not.

On the plus side is most of the hands are NL100 and everyone is so bad im up several buyins without ever getting sets

ImsaKidd 11-13-2007 04:50 PM

Re: a set? lol, whats that
 
[ QUOTE ]
looooooooooool please tell me the "Flop-a-set-o-meter" is real

[/ QUOTE ]

its for FR nits to convince themselves they run bad

Triumph36 11-13-2007 04:51 PM

Re: a set? lol, whats that
 
see more flops with pocket pairs, fish

Toasta 11-13-2007 04:52 PM

Re: a set? lol, whats that
 
wow, you had a bad session. I guess nobody ran that bad over 5000 hands.

pococurante 11-14-2007 04:13 PM

Re: a set? lol, whats that
 
ignore this post and the one below it, I used all the wrong numbers, I fail

En Passant 11-14-2007 04:15 PM

Re: a set? lol, whats that
 
[ QUOTE ]
standard deviation = sqrt(112(1/17*16/17)) = 3.88

expected sets: 6.59
actual sets: 1
deviations: 1.44
odds of this happening: approximately 7.5%

[/ QUOTE ]

OWNED

pococurante 11-14-2007 04:41 PM

Re: a set? lol, whats that
 
here's the correct math

sqrt (70(1/9.51*8.51/9.51)) = 2.57
expected: 7.36
actual: 1
deviations: 2.47
odds of this happening: just over 1%

Alobar 11-14-2007 04:51 PM

Re: a set? lol, whats that
 
[ QUOTE ]
here's the correct math

sqrt (70(1/9.51*8.51/9.51)) = 2.57
expected: 7.36
actual: 1
deviations: 2.47
odds of this happening: just over 1%

[/ QUOTE ]

arent you 7.68:1 against flopping a set?


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