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-   -   10/25 NL live taking chances with a flopped nut straight (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=535414)

McStinky 10-31-2007 02:36 PM

10/25 NL live taking chances with a flopped nut straight
 
Foxwoods 10/25, 10-handed.

I haven't played much with villain before but I think he is a pretty solid player who knows how to fold. I am pretty much unknown to him.

Villain has 4500, I cover.

I am in SB with J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].

Preflop
Villain limps from EP, two more limpers, I complete and BB checks.

Flop (125): 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]
Yay, I flopped the nuts. I lead out for 75 and villain raises to 350. I put him on 99, KQ, TJ, less likely 9Q, 9K, flush draw. What should my plan be here? My first instinct was to raise, but now I think I should be getting tricky here. If I call and then check the turn, he will most likely bet to protect his hand if it is a big one. Then I can tank forever and pretend like I have 9Q or something and reluctantly call. Then I can make a fake blocking bet on the river of 1/3 to 1/2 of the pot and he will have to pay me off. Obviously this is risky because the board could pair, a club could come, or a J or T could kill my action. But if you agree with the range I gave him, it seems like the extra bets that I almost definitely get out of him make up for the fraction of the pot I am giving away by slowplaying.

lapoker17 10-31-2007 02:39 PM

Re: 10/25 NL live taking chances with a flopped nut straight
 
just try to get a bunch of money in now the board is gross and live dudes can show up w dumb stuff like QQQ/KKK here and never think about folding it for less than 200bb - not to mention he's not folding some huge draw often either.

McStinky 10-31-2007 02:42 PM

Re: 10/25 NL live taking chances with a flopped nut straight
 
[ QUOTE ]
just try to get a bunch of money in now the board is gross and live dudes can show up w dumb stuff like QQQ/KKK here and never think about folding it - not to mention he's not folding some huge draw often either.

[/ QUOTE ]

You may be right, but I just had the feeling that this dude was not too dumb and knew how to protect his stack.

limon 10-31-2007 03:01 PM

Re: 10/25 NL live taking chances with a flopped nut straight
 
[ QUOTE ]
Foxwoods 10/25, 10-handed.

I haven't played much with villain before but I think he is a pretty solid player who knows how to fold. I am pretty much unknown to him.

Villain has 4500, I cover.

I am in SB with J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].

Preflop
Villain limps from EP, two more limpers, I complete and BB checks.

Flop (125): 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]
Yay, I flopped the nuts. I lead out for 75 and villain raises to 350. I put him on 99, KQ, TJ, less likely 9Q, 9K, flush draw. What should my plan be here? My first instinct was to raise, but now I think I should be getting tricky here. If I call and then check the turn, he will most likely bet to protect his hand if it is a big one. Then I can tank forever and pretend like I have 9Q or something and reluctantly call. Then I can make a fake blocking bet on the river of 1/3 to 1/2 of the pot and he will have to pay me off. Obviously this is risky because the board could pair, a club could come, or a J or T could kill my action. But if you agree with the range I gave him, it seems like the extra bets that I almost definitely get out of him make up for the fraction of the pot I am giving away by slowplaying.

[/ QUOTE ]

i dont think the dude is any more likely to stack off on the turn as a loser than he is now but you are way more likely to stack off as a loser if a bad card comes, plus a flop call can be read as strong and get him to take a free card on the turn if he was raising a combo draw...i say ridiculous all in overbet youll be suprised by what calls you.

jfish 10-31-2007 03:06 PM

Re: 10/25 NL live taking chances with a flopped nut straight
 
dont slowplay here. people dont look to make big folds if you havent noticed.

McStinky 10-31-2007 03:06 PM

Re: 10/25 NL live taking chances with a flopped nut straight
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Foxwoods 10/25, 10-handed.

I haven't played much with villain before but I think he is a pretty solid player who knows how to fold. I am pretty much unknown to him.

Villain has 4500, I cover.

I am in SB with J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].

Preflop
Villain limps from EP, two more limpers, I complete and BB checks.

Flop (125): 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]
Yay, I flopped the nuts. I lead out for 75 and villain raises to 350. I put him on 99, KQ, TJ, less likely 9Q, 9K, flush draw. What should my plan be here? My first instinct was to raise, but now I think I should be getting tricky here. If I call and then check the turn, he will most likely bet to protect his hand if it is a big one. Then I can tank forever and pretend like I have 9Q or something and reluctantly call. Then I can make a fake blocking bet on the river of 1/3 to 1/2 of the pot and he will have to pay me off. Obviously this is risky because the board could pair, a club could come, or a J or T could kill my action. But if you agree with the range I gave him, it seems like the extra bets that I almost definitely get out of him make up for the fraction of the pot I am giving away by slowplaying.

[/ QUOTE ]

i dont think the dude is any more likely to stack off on the turn as a loser than he is now but you are way more likely to stack off as a loser if a bad card comes, plus a flop call can be read as strong and get him to take a free card on the turn if he was raising a combo draw...i say ridiculous all in overbet youll be suprised by what calls you.

[/ QUOTE ]

I actually don't think he will stack off on the flop or the turn, which is why I want to call twice and fake block bet the river. I think I can get away from my hand if (and only if) he draws out on me so I think neither of us will stack off as a loser, and I am just trying to get as much as I can.

The crazy flop overbet idea is not so bad though because I don't really know this guy and there is some small chance he is a fool.

AAismyfriend 10-31-2007 03:11 PM

Re: 10/25 NL live taking chances with a flopped nut straight
 
I really dislike your plan as a lot of cards that kill your action can come out, as well cards that will leave you guessing yourself. I do like flatting the flop vs this guy, but c/cing the turn is gross if you don't 3 bet this flop. Call the flop, and make a big c/r on the turn, and get it in on the river.

imabigdeal 10-31-2007 03:20 PM

Re: 10/25 NL live taking chances with a flopped nut straight
 
crazy board, so many terrible turn cards can come out if you just call, gotta 3bet here

IShearSheep 10-31-2007 03:21 PM

Re: 10/25 NL live taking chances with a flopped nut straight
 
Why do you want to get so cute here? You are out of position and half the deck is a scare card to you or kills your action. BTW, you forgot kk and qq could be in his range as he was the first one in early and nobody raised behind him. Make him make a mistake right now and jam this shi.t ai and make a big pot or take the cheese in the middle.

AcidKnight 10-31-2007 04:35 PM

Re: 10/25 NL live taking chances with a flopped nut straight
 
His huge flop raise screams combo draw (pair/FD or gutty/FD) as much or probably more than it screams 2 pair or a set.

Raise this flop for sure. Your plan seems flawed as it's pretty bad to let cards start rolling off after a flop like that.

Teph 10-31-2007 04:50 PM

Re: 10/25 NL live taking chances with a flopped nut straight
 
[ QUOTE ]
dont slowplay here. people dont look to make big folds if you havent noticed.

[/ QUOTE ]

apparently you don't read live posts enough, lolz.

DJ Sensei 10-31-2007 05:51 PM

Re: 10/25 NL live taking chances with a flopped nut straight
 
no easy buckets, raise it up. with shallower stacks and/or position you can think about getting tricky, but doing so here will only end in you winning a tiny pot when any scarecard comes.

DLizzle 10-31-2007 05:59 PM

Re: 10/25 NL live taking chances with a flopped nut straight
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
dont slowplay here. people dont look to make big folds if you havent noticed.

[/ QUOTE ]

apparently you don't read live posts enough, lolz.

[/ QUOTE ]

?

berserk 10-31-2007 06:15 PM

Re: 10/25 NL live taking chances with a flopped nut straight
 
3bet to 700/fold if he reraises because he is probably freerolling JcTc.

but seriously, this is such an easy spot and should not be here, raise it to 1000-1200, and it only gets tricky if a bad turn comes.

ArmenH 11-01-2007 06:29 AM

Re: 10/25 NL live taking chances with a flopped nut straight
 
I love just calling the raise on the flop and playing a blank turn for stacks. By just calling his flop raise and checking a blank turn it makes your hand look like a draw. Most set and 2 pair combinations will be stacking off on a blank turn especially if they're a thinking player like villain seems to be.
If turn blanks I wouldn't check and call. I would put in a substantial check raise and try to get all the money in now. If he does has a set or two pair his equity drops considerably with one card to come.

How did this one play out?

PrimogenitoX 11-01-2007 06:51 AM

Re: 10/25 NL live taking chances with a flopped nut straight
 
[ QUOTE ]
3bet to 700/fold if he reraises because he is probably freerolling JcTc.


[/ QUOTE ]

LOL

AlcateL 11-01-2007 08:35 AM

Re: 10/25 NL live taking chances with a flopped nut straight
 
Raise the flop, you're out of position, have a scary board and are not certain of getting any more money in.

11-01-2007 09:04 AM

Post deleted by Mat Sklansky
 

Bill King 11-01-2007 09:14 AM

Re: 10/25 NL live taking chances with a flopped nut straight
 
i make it $1400 and play the rest out

novel20 11-01-2007 11:22 AM

Re: 10/25 NL live taking chances with a flopped nut straight
 
Just call and chk in the dark and reevaluate turn.


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