Re: TheKansas Jayhawks are a win away from bein the #1 team in the cou
 

That's assuming OSU definitely makes it over a 2 loss team.

And EV of $2? lol wtf

Re: TheKansas Jayhawks are a win away from bein the #1 team in the cou
 

[ QUOTE ]
Probably about 95% that WVU beats Pitt and 40% that Mizzou beats Oklahoma. So 3% that a two-loss team makes the championship. It may be +++EV percentage wise, but you're only looking at $2 of EV. Not much of a brag IMO.

[/ QUOTE ]
And this is assuming that Kansas with one loss has a 0% shot of playing OSU, should MU and WVU lose. Probably a safe assumption, but I might give Kansas a 10% shot which cuts even further into the odds. Not to mention that all these calculations are post-KU/MU; a game which helped this bet. If Kansas had won (which happens more than 50% according to the pre-game market) this bet would be far worse right now, and clearly EV.

Re: TheKansas Jayhawks are a win away from bein the #1 team in the cou
 

[ QUOTE ]
I'd just like to brag that I have a bet of 100 dollars at 100 to 1 that I win if a 2 loss team plays in the National Championship.

[/ QUOTE ]

bump

Re: TheKansas Jayhawks are a win away from bein the #1 team in the cou
 

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Kentucky losing definitely hurts but if you think it's "barely +EV" then you are dumb.

[/ QUOTE ]

There's a 99% chance that West Virginia beats Pittsburgh?

[/ QUOTE ]

well that 1% got there

Missouri in rough shape

does OSU play Kansas or does LSU make it ahead of KU?

Re: TheKansas Jayhawks are a win away from bein the #1 team in the cou
 

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I'd just like to brag that I have a bet of 100 dollars at 100 to 1 that I win if a 2 loss team plays in the National Championship.

[/ QUOTE ]

bump

[/ QUOTE ]

I would LOL if voters go bezerko and jump Hawaii to #2.