Two Plus Two Newer Archives - 3+1 NFL Challenge

423/424 u39.5
422
402
429/430 u38

$400 Colts/Broncos under 39.5

Denver's home results this season:

Sep 17 Kansas City Won 9-6
Oct 9 Baltimore Won 13-3
Oct 15 Oakland Won 13-3

Meanwhile the Colts are, as expected, offensive monsters (and rough on the 'D'), but other than Jax they haven't really played against much in the way of Defense. I think we have two chances to win this one, a 34-0 Colts win and another 12-9 Denver kickfest type game. The one chance to lose is a 34-21 Colts "standard" game, but I don't really see that at Denver and I think we have the best of this.

$300 Browns -2

Just staying with the "Bad team home team in game they might win" theory.
It's not quite perfect as they've already won one but this is the highlight of the next few weeks for the Browns and they have no reason to hold back here.

$200 Titans -3

Same theory as above... in the Titans case, their remaining home games are:

Baltimore, NYG, Colts, Jags, Pats.

This is their only chance all season to win a home game. The only reason it's not above the Browns is the 3 points might turn into a push, but to be honest I expect a slaughter here.

$100 Pats/Vikes u38

This is a compromise. I wanted to back the Vikes to win here but I'm sick of the Patriots proving me wrong, so I'll have to swallow that maybe they're not terrible afterall.
I still rate the Vikings 'D' though, and any chance to kind of oppose the Pats is going to tempt me, so I've gone for the under.

It was a very close call between this and Rams +9.5, so I'm getting my whining in early [img]/images/graemlins/smirk.gif[/img]

Lori