Re: the proof is in the pudding
 

I had a run where I was winning 17BB/100 over 100+ hands on limit poker where the supposed max sustainable win-rate is around 2 or MAYBE 3BB/100.
Obviously I have proven these claims of max win-rate of 2BB/100 to be horribly incorrect.

Re: the proof is in the pudding
 

Can someone do the math for me on how it could be profitable to lay 3:2 on 60 out of 100 picks? No terms were stipulated, but let's say a normal betting pattern, no passing up slight EV+ to maintain the higher edge. Also assume the tout isn't close to his brag, but that he's an EV0 or EV+ bettor in the 53% win range.

Seems like 3:2 is a lot to lay in such a situation, but I'm frankly too lazy to do the math, but if someone's saying they'll bet $15k on it, I'd at least hope they'd have done some math behind it...

- C -

Re: the proof is in the pudding
 

[ QUOTE ]
It's funny - perf's avatar shows exactly how I imagine him as he moderates this forum. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

[/ QUOTE ]


[img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img] I put it together for that exact reason.

bigger version:

http://performify.com/matthughes-close.gif

Re: the proof is in the pudding
 

21-10-1 in 2p2 college bowl picks last year, won 4 of last 5 year before that only loss due to over 3ot PSU game with multiple missed XPx and chip-shot FGs, won both PotY. 25-11 is like 69% over a solid sample of bowl games over 2 years!

I want my autographed key to the Forums, dammit!


...or at least an E:60 segment about how i pwn DrBob during bowl season.

Re: the proof is in the pudding
 

My first posting in SB was last year for NCAAF Week 1. I went 8-0? Anyone remember that? Obviously I am a 100% capper.

Re: the proof is in the pudding
 

You too? I started the season 2-0. Although I am like 45% since, but hell, I will stick with the 100% capper, it sounds better on my resume.

Re: the proof is in the pudding
 

the sports-betting sites rig it so that the noob-fish win their first few bets in order to give them confidence and get them hooked.
After that they can rig the games against these bettors because they will be re-depositing anyway.

Re: the proof is in the pudding
 

this.....is an awesome thread.

Re: the proof is in the pudding
 

Honestly, I have no idea what my win % is, because, well, IT DOESN'T MATTER. I prefer not betting WA lines anyway - it's a lot easier that way.

I bet sports for $$$, not Internet Forum Win % Brag Points.

Re: the proof is in the pudding
 

btw, either tlt takes some action or gets banned for hating money. This forum is no place for money-haters.