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-   -   ZeeJustin 2007 POY & tourney results prop bets thread (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=290143)

El Diablo 01-09-2007 08:41 PM

Re: ZeeJustin 2007 POY & tourney results prop bets thread
 
All,

FYI, from Howard Treesong in other thread:

"The card gods are smiling on me, baby. By the way, Diablo, the bet is official. I received coin from Mike McClain and set up an escrow today: my $40K versus his $5K."

Howard Treesong 01-09-2007 08:53 PM

Re: ZeeJustin 2007 POY & tourney results prop bets thread
 
[ QUOTE ]
Howard and others,

"1:00pm--Justin Bonomo, after a strong start to the day, just busted in 11th place, running his huge stack and pair of kings into Isaac Haxton's AA."

He was in second place with 11 left.

[/ QUOTE ]

Thanks for the heads-up, but I am firewalled away from 2p2 at my work. This is probably a good thing. You may have ruined my year, Diablo, just for the sweat time I'm going to surely put into this.

Cornboy 01-11-2007 04:14 PM

Re: ZeeJustin 2007 POY & tourney results prop bets thread
 
Did ZJ win the $2500 second chance tourney in Atlantis for 6 figures?

pushpushshove 01-11-2007 04:39 PM

Re: ZeeJustin 2007 POY & tourney results prop bets thread
 
[ QUOTE ]
Did ZJ win the $2500 second chance tourney in Atlantis for 6 figures?

[/ QUOTE ]

Yep.

Howard Treesong 01-17-2007 08:36 AM

Re: ZeeJustin 2007 POY & tourney results prop bets thread
 
Grinder is on the board first: he's second in chips at the $5K circuit event with 377 entrants, so he can score as many as 1440. Although ZJ won the second-chance tourney at the PCA, the CP criteria expressly say that second-chance tourneys don't count. Who am I to question the wisdom of the almighty Shulmans?

ahnuld 03-26-2007 11:48 PM

Re: ZeeJustin 2007 POY & tourney results prop bets thread
 
quarter season bump. JC tran is da man, ZJ hasnt made a dent yet. 9 more months till you ship that $500 Apathy

alphatmw 03-26-2007 11:51 PM

Re: ZeeJustin 2007 POY & tourney results prop bets thread
 
[ QUOTE ]
wtf EVERYONE is overestimating how good zeejustin actually is and severely underestimating how much luck he must have had during his 2006 run. i would take the against for almost all these bets, if i could.

when el d said "top 10 is pretty much a lock.. so i'll take bets against if im given good odds" or whatever. i had flashbacks to the nickrainey tennis thread.

[/ QUOTE ]i-one-fourth-told-you-so

El Diablo 03-27-2007 12:26 AM

Re: ZeeJustin 2007 POY & tourney results prop bets thread
 
All,

The real interesting bet now is Usher v. ZJ!

Apathy 03-27-2007 04:01 AM

Re: ZeeJustin 2007 POY & tourney results prop bets thread
 
[ QUOTE ]
All,

The real interesting bet now is Usher v. ZJ!

[/ QUOTE ]


Ya I could care less about the 500 Im going to lose to Ahnuld when I win 5k on this bet.

ahnuld 03-29-2007 09:43 AM

Re: ZeeJustin 2007 POY & tourney results prop bets thread
 
wtv. ill take 500 mang. ship da cheddar!

65. Alvarado limps from the button and Tran raises an additional $150,000. Alvarado moves all in and Tran makes the call. Alvarado shows A6 and Tran turns over 1010. The board comes K998J and JC Tran wins the pot, eliminating JC Alvarado from the tournament.

JC Alvarado finishes in second place and earns $366,798.

JC Tran wins the World Poker Challenge and earns $683,473 as well as a $25,000 entry into the WPT Championship Event.

johnnyrocket 03-29-2007 01:08 PM

Re: ZeeJustin 2007 POY & tourney results prop bets thread
 
ZJ is the sickest ever

Punker 04-01-2007 12:45 AM

Re: ZeeJustin 2007 POY & tourney results prop bets thread
 
After ZJs latest blog post, the "5 guys" side of the bet looks pretty money. He basically concedes that he's not going to try to beat those guys. I'm sure Tico is quite disappointed in his giving up.

alphatmw 04-01-2007 12:47 AM

Re: ZeeJustin 2007 POY & tourney results prop bets thread
 
god where the hell are all the guys who were talking about how ZJ was a lock?

he has a sick run at the end of 2006 and people who play poker for a living can't even attribute the proper amount of that to variance.

shaniac 04-01-2007 10:16 PM

Re: ZeeJustin 2007 POY & tourney results prop bets thread
 
From his recent blog entry:


"I’ve basically decided that winning the Card Player PoY race is no longer something I’m willing to dedicate an entire year to. Don’t get me wrong, I still plan on finishing highly on it, at least top 20 barring a complete blowup, but I can’t take the non-stop traveling. I love life in LA too much. I skipped Reno, Monte Carlo, and Foxwoods, and I’ll be 100% focused and ready for the Bellagio series including the $25,000 World Poker Tour main event which is a BIG deal.

Maybe I’m still on tilt from the 600+ points I had cheated from me in the Bahamas. A couple of people have referred to that as a second chance event, but it wasn’t one. Second chance events are generally the same day and the same buyin. In the Bahamas, there were a series of tournaments. The only one that got submitted to any major poker site was the main event. I have emailed PokerStars about getting this event submitted, but to no avail. There isn’t even a record of the tournament happening. Oddly enough, the other tournament missing from my CardPlayer page is my EPT Deauville Final table in France… also a PokerStars tournament. Coincidence? You decide.

Oh well, the truth is I’m too lazy to put up a fight to compete with guys like Nam Le, The Grinder, and JC Tran (who is on a sick sick run btw) who are willing to put forth a full effort. Even if I did put up a 100% effort, I would obviously be an underdog against all of those guys."

sublime 04-01-2007 10:23 PM

Re: ZeeJustin 2007 POY & tourney results prop bets thread
 
[ QUOTE ]
Coincidence? You decide.

[/ QUOTE ]

i decided its karma.

shaniac 04-01-2007 10:38 PM

Re: ZeeJustin 2007 POY & tourney results prop bets thread
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Coincidence? You decide.

[/ QUOTE ]

i decided its karma.

[/ QUOTE ]

I decided it's the Germans.

edfurlong 04-01-2007 10:50 PM

Re: ZeeJustin 2007 POY & tourney results prop bets thread
 
Zee Germans?

Karlson269 04-02-2007 04:43 AM

Re: ZeeJustin 2007 POY & tourney results prop bets thread
 
[ QUOTE ]
Even if I did put up a 100% effort, I would obviously be an underdog against all of those guys."

[/ QUOTE ]
But didn`t he finish on the final table in like all his first 4 events after he turned 21? How can you be a underdog!
He`s [censored] ZeeJustin, here him roar!

Daddy Warbucks 04-02-2007 04:44 AM

Re: ZeeJustin 2007 POY & tourney results prop bets thread
 
[ QUOTE ]

Oh well, the truth is I’m too lazy to put up a fight to compete with guys like Nam Le, The Grinder, and JC Tran (who is on a sick sick run btw) who are willing to put forth a full effort. Even if I did put up a 100% effort, I would obviously be an underdog against all of those guys."

[/ QUOTE ]

Heart of a champion!

Apathy 11-27-2007 12:13 AM

Re: ZeeJustin 2007 POY & tourney results prop bets thread
 
Ok its almost settle up time on this bets, I thought I would bump this thread with a month left so everyone can sweat the last few big poker series before years end and cheer on their gambles!


I bet on Alan Sass to beat Justin Bonomo in POY points for 5k with Yeti

and I also bet 500 getting 8 to 1 odds against Ahnuld on Bonomo to beat all 5 of last years top POY finishers.

here are the relavant standings:

J.C. Tran Sacramento, CA 4,458 5 $2,364,097


86 Alan Sass Las Vegas, NV 1,740 3 $461,181




144 Justin Bonomo Los Angeles, CA 1,384 4 $551,880

Eagles 11-27-2007 12:19 AM

Re: ZeeJustin 2007 POY & tourney results prop bets thread
 
LOL Apathy hedged what a nit

Apathy 11-27-2007 12:22 AM

Re: ZeeJustin 2007 POY & tourney results prop bets thread
 
[ QUOTE ]
LOL Apathy hedged what a nit

[/ QUOTE ]

I wouldnt call that hedging

citanul 11-27-2007 12:54 AM

Re: ZeeJustin 2007 POY & tourney results prop bets thread
 
lol jc tran pwns noobs?

Howard Treesong 11-27-2007 01:35 AM

Re: ZeeJustin 2007 POY & tourney results prop bets thread
 
[ QUOTE ]
Ok its almost settle up time on this bets, I thought I would bump this thread with a month left so everyone can sweat the last few big poker series before years end and cheer on their gambles!


I bet on Alan Sass to beat Justin Bonomo in POY points for 5k with Yeti

and I also bet 500 getting 8 to 1 odds against Ahnuld on Bonomo to beat all 5 of last years top POY finishers.

here are the relavant standings:

J.C. Tran Sacramento, CA 4,458 5 $2,364,097


86 Alan Sass Las Vegas, NV 1,740 3 $461,181




144 Justin Bonomo Los Angeles, CA 1,384 4 $551,880

[/ QUOTE ]

I bet $5K laying 8:1. I have last year's top five versus ZJ. JC, Nam and the Grinder are all ahead of ZJ, whereas Shannon Shorr and Madsen are behind.

After ZJ posted that he was 4% to win the POY, I put another $25K up against his $1K.

Right now, I'm looking like a lock on both.

It's interesting, though: Shorr is down on poker and may quit entirely per his blog; I don't know where Madsen is mentally, but I get the sense he's a flameout. On the other end of the spectrum, JC and Nam have had really good years, and Mizrachi is close to ZJ.

ZJ also got really really close in a couple of spots. I am sure someone will correct me on the details, but I think ZJ got AIPF with KK against Ike's AA with ten or eleven to go in Aruba and both had a mountain of chips. If that breaks the other way, ZJ is the easy favorite to win. And I think he hit some other harsh cold deck in a similar spot.

I know I've mentioned this before, but ZJ wins props from me for his maturity and reasonableness in dealing with these.

Yeti 11-27-2007 11:03 AM

Re: ZeeJustin 2007 POY & tourney results prop bets thread
 
apathy,

i'm pretty sure those POY figures haven't been updated in forever? i gave it a cursory glance a week or so ago and unless i overlooked something sass should have maybe ~2700 points. zj had a few more than it says too, but i believe it's pretty much over unless he gins the bellagio main event.

<blink>I AM YETI THIS POST BROUGHT TO YOU BY YETI
Living, Learning, and Laughing.</blink>

1p0kerboy 11-27-2007 11:14 AM

Re: ZeeJustin 2007 POY & tourney results prop bets thread
 
Who wins if we find out that J.C. tran is actually Z.J.'s second account?

We need a scooby-doo photoshop where the mask is removed.

alphatmw 11-27-2007 01:15 PM

Re: ZeeJustin 2007 POY & tourney results prop bets thread
 
i'll take advantage of this bump to go ahead and quote my last post, along with ahnuld's commentary.

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
wtf EVERYONE is overestimating how good zeejustin actually is and severely underestimating how much luck he must have had during his 2006 run. i would take the against for almost all these bets, if i could.

when el d said "top 10 is pretty much a lock.. so i'll take bets against if im given good odds" or whatever. i had flashbacks to the nickrainey tennis thread.

[/ QUOTE ]

you must be new to 2+2, oh wait....

[/ QUOTE ]

Apathy 11-27-2007 03:33 PM

Re: ZeeJustin 2007 POY & tourney results prop bets thread
 
alpha,

he did cash for over 600k this year in live events without winning a big one!


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