Re: Semibluffing into a dry side pot
 

You dont clean up your outs too often, as it is unlikely button is folding a pair, so you would need to have a very fortunate turn and river for that to come into play. You are basically making this bet for the times your 9 high is good, which should be about 20% of the time.

Add in the fact that everyone will assume you are a donk, I like it. But it is very thin.

Re: Semibluffing into a dry side pot
 

forgot, you have to take into account the times button would have checked a pair behind (which is fairly often), but reaises you. Not a huge deal, put if his pair is below 99, it hurts

Re: Semibluffing into a dry side pot
 

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You dont clean up your outs too often, as it is unlikely button is folding a pair, so you would need to have a very fortunate turn and river for that to come into play. You are basically making this bet for the times your 9 high is good, which should be about 20% of the time.


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How do you derive the 20% number?