Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/18/07 NFL SNF GAME THREAD (NE @ BUF) ***
 

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NE 31 Buff 17, ship the [censored] corn tortilla

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Buffalo 17 points huh? Aren't we optimistic.

One of the reasons I'm taking Pats -15 and the U46.5 is this score, 31-17, is one of the few scores that could cause me to lose both bets. I see a very small chance (well under 20%) that the Pats win by less than 15 and the total is 47 or higher. You're looking at a 31-17, 35-21 game, and Buffalo's offense just isn't good enough to score that much.

On the flip side, I think there's a decent enough chance that both NE wins by 15 AND the under hits.

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2 garbage time tds after the pats are up 31-3 obv. In all honesty my post my mainly a joke, I can't think of a good reason not to take the Pats at this point, just like everyone else. Pats to cover until til they show some signs of slowing down against a decent team sounds good. Not crazy about the under though, NE could have easily scored 50 in their first meeting if I remember correctly, but maybe they let off the gas ever so slightly considering homefield is basically wrapped up (doubt it.)

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/18/07 NFL SNF GAME THREAD (NE @ BUF) ***
 

might be a tighter game than you all think, HFA for Buffalo is key. look for their special teams to make a few big plays and their defence to limit brady and co. to 3 touchdowns

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/18/07 NFL SNF GAME THREAD (NE @ BUF) ***
 

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their defence to limit brady and co. to 3 touchdowns

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How do you figure? Buffalo's defense is league-average. And prior to the Colts game, the Patriots had scored at least 34 points in every game this season. Frankly, I'm not sure why the line on the Patriots team total is only 31.5, shouldn't it be a few points higher?

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/18/07 NFL SNF GAME THREAD (NE @ BUF) ***
 

bump

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/18/07 NFL SNF GAME THREAD (NE @ BUF) ***
 

I'm just throwing a little A/R on NE/O for [censored] and giggles...

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/18/07 NFL SNF GAME THREAD (NE @ BUF) ***
 

on bills +16.5

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/18/07 NFL SNF GAME THREAD (NE @ BUF) ***
 

I'm on Buffalo +17 (risking 3.45u to win 3u). Seems like a pretty solid public fade to me.

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/18/07 NFL SNF GAME THREAD (NE @ BUF) ***
 

all over NE o31 team for 6.5u (max bet)

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/18/07 NFL SNF GAME THREAD (NE @ BUF) ***
 

This is gonna be ugly.

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/18/07 NFL SNF GAME THREAD (NE @ BUF) ***
 

I agree brendan.