Re: NFL Week 9 player props thread
 

Tom Brady - total QB rating
under 130.2 -120

As disgustingly good as Brady has been this year, he's still only exceeded that number in 3 out of 8 games. In the previous 4 seasons, he had 1 game out of 64 with higher than a 130.2 rating. The Colts have a QB rating against of 69.9, 3rd best in the league.

Also they have Brady to throw an interception at -115. If he throws even one, it's nearly impossible to have a QB rating over 130.

Re: NFL Week 9 player props thread
 

[ QUOTE ]
Tom Brady - total QB rating
under 130.2 -120

As disgustingly good as Brady has been this year, he's still only exceeded that number in 3 out of 8 games. In the previous 4 seasons, he had 1 game out of 64 with higher than a 130.2 rating. The Colts have a QB rating against of 69.9, 3rd best in the league.

Also they have Brady to throw an interception at -115. If he throws even one, it's nearly impossible to have a QB rating over 130.

[/ QUOTE ]

this seems like a really good bet to me.

Re: NFL Week 9 player props thread
 

Nice. On the Brady passer rating prop for 2 units. I have him projected for a rating of around 113. Even if he doesn't throw a pick, given my other projections he would finish around 122.

Re: NFL Week 9 player props thread
 

[ QUOTE ]
Tom Brady - total QB rating
under 130.2 -120

As disgustingly good as Brady has been this year, he's still only exceeded that number in 3 out of 8 games. In the previous 4 seasons, he had 1 game out of 64 with higher than a 130.2 rating. The Colts have a QB rating against of 69.9, 3rd best in the league.

[/ QUOTE ]
Nice find. I hit it for the max. This prop has got to be very high +EV.

Re: NFL Week 9 player props thread
 

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Tom Brady - total QB rating
under 130.2 -120

As disgustingly good as Brady has been this year, he's still only exceeded that number in 3 out of 8 games. In the previous 4 seasons, he had 1 game out of 64 with higher than a 130.2 rating. The Colts have a QB rating against of 69.9, 3rd best in the league.

[/ QUOTE ]
Nice find. I hit it for the max. This prop has got to be very high +EV.

[/ QUOTE ]

heh they just closed it.

Re: NFL Week 9 player props thread
 

Yeah, I just added what was left of my Bodog balance on that bet, so I have a total of about 2.8u on it. Just realized I have over 14u on various bets in this game, go Colts! Not counting my bridge-jumper "team won't go 19-0" bets, one of which will pay off this week, freeing up some bankroll.

Re: NFL Week 9 player props thread
 

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Nice find. I hit it for the max. This prop has got to be very high +EV.

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Awesome, glad at least some of you were able to get it before they took it down.

Re: NFL Week 9 player props thread
 

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]

Nice find. I hit it for the max. This prop has got to be very high +EV.

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Awesome, glad at least some of you were able to get it before they took it down.

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btw - sorry if this is off topic, but since I take advantage of this thread I thought I would throw something back. If anyone wants a free $25 there is an arb that has been hanging for awhile.

Cincy/ Buffalo 4th quarter
betjamaica 10.5o +105
5dimes 10.5u +105

Re: NFL Week 9 player props thread
 

Also:

Adrian Peterson vs. LaDainian Tomlinson Rush Yds.

Peterson +5.5 +115 (TheGreek)
Tomlinson -4.5 -105 (WSEX)

Re: NFL Week 9 player props thread
 

[ QUOTE ]
If he throws even one, it's nearly impossible to have a QB rating over 130.

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Wooooot! Thank you Mr. Bethea!