Re: Read this before starting a \"Who Do I pick in Survivor\" Thread
 

Pitt is my pick this week, but I am in a 30 person league that historically doesn't ever go past week 10, so I don't worry as much about using up teams

Re: Read this before starting a \"Who Do I pick in Survivor\" Thread
 

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I thought Jax was a solid pick. :'(

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So did a lot of other people.

Re: Read this before starting a \"Who Do I pick in Survivor\" Thread
 

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Pitt is my pick this week, but I am in a 30 person league that historically doesn't ever go past week 10, so I don't worry as much about using up teams

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This one is has 20 people left. It's an advertising industry based league, so not super competitive. I'm picking Pittsburgh this week unless I hear otherwise. I think the only teams I'll try and save for tough weeks are New England, Indy, and maybe Chicago depending on if they look better this week.

Re: Read this before starting a \"Who Do I pick in Survivor\" Thread
 

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I thought there were two games that fit into these guidelines this week, and if you picked either of them, you would have moved on to Week 2.

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What were your two? Seahawks,Vikings, Texans fit your rules IMO.

Re: Read this before starting a \"Who Do I pick in Survivor\" Thread
 

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Kyro,

You're leaving out the separation concept which is really the only concept that matters in survivor pools.

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I have never heard of the separation concept. Any chance you could explain it either here or via PM?

I mean, if I'm going to suck at FF, I might as well try to pwn at Survivor.

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If you are picking outright winners, and 30% of the league is on a 70% favorite. You increase you expectation by picking a 65% fave if there are only a few people on it.

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I'm confused. Why does it matter if a large portion of the league picks PIT, and you decide to go with CHI instead? Shouldn't you just be picking the team you think will win? I don't know much about Survivor leagues besides trying to pick winners and saving good teams if need be.

Re: Read this before starting a \"Who Do I pick in Survivor\" Thread
 

Oh yeah, what about picking against bad teams on the road as a viable option? Say the Raiders for example. Isn't picking against them on the road usually a good choice as long as they are playing any halfway decent team?

Re: Read this before starting a \"Who Do I pick in Survivor\" Thread
 

Jack,

The goal is to win, not survive. And saving teams is usually a v v bad idea.

Re: Read this before starting a \"Who Do I pick in Survivor\" Thread
 

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Jack,

The goal is to win, not survive. And saving teams is usually a v v bad idea.

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I don't save teams, but this seperation idea just confuses me. If everyone's picking my #1 choice, why does it matter if I pick my #1 or #2? (assuming early in season; near the end I can understand if it's down to 2 and I can only pick team A and team B and the other guy picks A I might take B to go for the win)

Re: Read this before starting a \"Who Do I pick in Survivor\" Thread
 

Jack, there are 100 players in your league. All 99 other people pick Team A, a 90% favorite. The 2nd biggest favorite, Team B is an 85% favorite.

You should take Team B, DUCY?

Re: Read this before starting a \"Who Do I pick in Survivor\" Thread
 

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Jack, there are 100 players in your league. All 99 other people pick Team A, a 90% favorite. The 2nd biggest favorite, Team B is an 85% favorite.

You should take Team B, DUCY?

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This is why it sucks that my league doesn't show picks until they are locked.