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-   -   Poker Tournament Formula Revisited (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=191418)

Crix 11-04-2006 08:22 PM

Re: Poker Tournament Formula Revisited
 
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Hi BigAlK:

Yes. If Player A at some point in a tournament has more chips than Player B then he is a favorite at that instant over Player B. And in your example, Player A does have a 2/3's chance to win the tournament.

best wishes,
Mason

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Surely this is only if A & B are the now the only players remaining at the point A doubles up. If there's 200 people in a tournament, player A doubles up on player C on the first hand you can't tell me he now has a 67% chance to win outright.

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Of course not. The example was for a heads-up situation.

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The phrase "at some point in a tournament" does not imply we have reached heads-up play.

BigAlK 11-04-2006 08:28 PM

Re: Poker Tournament Formula Revisited
 
Since we're parsing sentences. Mason's first sentence says that if at some point player A has more chips than player B that player A has more chance to win than player B. The 2nd sentence reads "in your example." Go back thru the thread starting with this one and you'll see that the 2nd sentence is talking about heads up.

Crix 11-04-2006 08:54 PM

Re: Poker Tournament Formula Revisited
 
Thanks for the clarification.

Lottery Larry 11-05-2006 12:40 PM

Re: Poker Tournament Formula Revisited
 
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Hey, Mason. Have you given the book a rating yet?

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I think in the October forum magazine

Lottery Larry 11-05-2006 12:41 PM

Re: Poker Tournament Formula Revisited
 
"I thought that most agreed that it is best to play with a 'win at all costs' type mentality because it's higher EV than just playing a weaker game designed to barely get you into the top 10% to make it into the money."

I thought that there may be short-stack situations near the bubble where the best EV is NOT to play to win at all costs?


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