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-   -   Simple 3k Foxwoods megastack hand (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=460952)

TheNewf 07-26-2007 10:30 PM

Re: Simple 3k Foxwoods megastack hand
 
Ya if his range is that wide this is an easy shove.

Soulman 07-27-2007 05:05 AM

Re: Simple 3k Foxwoods megastack hand
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Hand 1: 55.619% 55.34% 00.28% 1137113748 5720946.00 { 77+, A7s+, K9s+, QTs+, JTs, ATo+, KTo+, QJo }


[/ QUOTE ]

That's his opening range, but definitely not his calling range.

I'd say he's calling with AQs+,88+.

[/ QUOTE ]
Wtf. Why? OP didn't specify aggro spewmonkey with a gigantic disparity between opening range and calling range. Without that type of read, I still think a shove here is wrong. Look at the math and don't just go 'pooooosh'. I also really hope everyone considers the three players left to act, they represent at least a 10% chance to get a second caller (whose range obviously has 55 crushed).

betgo 07-28-2007 09:31 AM

Re: Simple 3k Foxwoods megastack hand
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I shoved. SB reshoved for 85k. MP tanked and eventually folded AJ.


[/ QUOTE ]

forgot...sb had QQ

[/ QUOTE ]

About 8% of the time one of the remaining players has JJ+,AK, in which case they push. You are about 35% against that range, but you get decent pot odds, since raiser usually folds.

The push is somewhat cEV+. I wouldn't kick myself for what you did, but I wouldn't kick myself for folding here either.


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