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-   -   4/180 Challenge Tonight - Special Bounty Event! (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=488399)

gwjw 08-28-2007 09:58 PM

Re: 4/180 Challenge Tonight - Special Bounty Event!
 
[ QUOTE ]
Then I forgot that I can't represent a hand to these donks...

[/ QUOTE ]

I agree with this completely.

Hotrod0823 08-28-2007 10:30 PM

Re: 4/180 Challenge Tonight - Special Bounty Event!
 
Still in 3 and 4 but got squat for points in 1/2.

BrandiFan 08-28-2007 10:47 PM

Re: 4/180 Challenge Tonight - Special Bounty Event!
 
was down to 1/5 of the bb (83 chips) 10 min ago in my last one now I am just under 7k go me.
oh yeah, I just FTd a 20/180 too

gwjw 08-28-2007 11:04 PM

Re: 4/180 Challenge Tonight - Special Bounty Event!
 
[ QUOTE ]

oh yeah, I just FTd a 20/180 too

[/ QUOTE ]

Nice

Sherman 08-28-2007 11:18 PM

Re: 4/180 Challenge Tonight - Special Bounty Event!
 
Standings Update:

2+2 Name----------Stars Name----------T1----T2----T3----T4----------Total-------Playing?
ghost beef--------ghost beef----------29----0-----0-----165---------36----------Still
fcs_82------------fcs_82--------------109---177---10----0-----------28----------Still
gwjw--------------gwjw----------------0-----79----39----133---------25.5--------Still
Hotrod0823--------Hotrod0823----------137---0-----163---11----------24.5--------Still
BrandiFan---------Dantes_11-----------51----58----33----16----------23----------Done
Pivotonian--------IsBillyThere--------35----131---84----0-----------22.5--------Still
rage4dorder-------rage4dorder---------38----35----46----24----------21----------Done
kurtkatt----------kurtkatt9-----------77----15----166---36----------18----------Done
mflip-------------mflip10-------------21----90----32----66----------17----------Done
shadowclown-------eaztridah247--------49----30----66----92----------14----------Done
earck-------------earck---------------42----33----94----78----------14----------Done
whitcolumn--------mooseot-------------48----41----102---56----------13----------Done
MightyPol---------MightyPol-----------43----61----31----117---------13----------Done
PocketBeats-------Atomex--------------69----34----136---45----------12.5--------Done
woohoo88----------woohoo88------------56----60----115---51----------12----------Done
Rockin------------Rockyone123---------113---28----96----88----------12----------Done
Takshi------------Takshi--------------23----89----90----103---------12----------Done
TheGarbanian------TheGarbanian--------93----69----88----57----------11----------Done
Matt238-----------Matt238-------------40----68----120---105---------8.5---------Done
Xander------------Darbosh-------------166---78----78----141---------6.5---------Done
swede554----------swede554------------100---109---176---68----------5-----------Done
McMelchoir--------Rhonda B------------155---63----135---111---------4.5---------Done
Pokerbrat--------SpurrierFTW----------91----116---178---135---------3.5---------Done




Still lots of possibilities left.

ghostbeef 08-28-2007 11:25 PM

Re: 4/180 Challenge Tonight - Special Bounty Event!
 
FT on 59604595 and 59603981, sweater weather

gwjw 08-28-2007 11:27 PM

Re: 4/180 Challenge Tonight - Special Bounty Event!
 
[ QUOTE ]
Standings Update:


[/ QUOTE ]

Looks like no one had a really spectacular night. GL to all remaining.

Hotrod0823 08-28-2007 11:29 PM

Re: 4/180 Challenge Tonight - Special Bounty Event!
 
awesome, 2 FT bubbles [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]

gwjw 08-28-2007 11:33 PM

Re: 4/180 Challenge Tonight - Special Bounty Event!
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Standings Update:


[/ QUOTE ]

Looks like no one had a really spectacular night. GL to all remaining.

[/ QUOTE ]

[ QUOTE ]
FT on 59604595 and 59603981, sweater weather

[/ QUOTE ]

Looks like I stand corrected [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

Pivotonian 08-28-2007 11:35 PM

Re: 4/180 Challenge Tonight - Special Bounty Event!
 
[ QUOTE ]
ooks like no one had a really spectacular night. GL to all remaining.


[/ QUOTE ]

I reckon ghost beef getting two FTs is pretty good.

GL all left

Pivotonian 08-28-2007 11:39 PM

Re: 4/180 Challenge Tonight - Special Bounty Event!
 
Bad time to lode my connection to Stars!

ghostbeef 08-28-2007 11:40 PM

Re: 4/180 Challenge Tonight - Special Bounty Event!
 
i'm d/c'd too, rigged obv.

what a perfect time for stars to crash..

Sherman 08-28-2007 11:47 PM

Re: 4/180 Challenge Tonight - Special Bounty Event!
 
[ QUOTE ]
i'm d/c'd too, rigged obv.

[/ QUOTE ]

Everyone went down on Stars. No one knows what is going on. This really blows.

gwjw 08-28-2007 11:51 PM

Re: 4/180 Challenge Tonight - Special Bounty Event!
 
I'd say Stars is completely down. If we all end up chopping, our points are just based on our assigned finishing positions I imagine?

Sherman 08-28-2007 11:53 PM

Re: 4/180 Challenge Tonight - Special Bounty Event!
 
[ QUOTE ]
I'd say Stars is completely down. If we all end up chopping, our points are just based on our assigned finishing positions I imagine?

[/ QUOTE ]

If stars doesn't come back, we'll have to do this:

Take the # of points gtd. to each person so far who still has a shot at Tier 1 $ and divide the prize pool based on points.

Tier's 2 and 3 are already over, so we don't have a problem there.

Pokerbrat 08-28-2007 11:55 PM

Re: 4/180 Challenge Tonight - Special Bounty Event!
 
Wow I'm really good. 1 career appearance, 1 last-place finish. LOL Donkaments

gwjw 08-28-2007 11:56 PM

Re: 4/180 Challenge Tonight - Special Bounty Event!
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I'd say Stars is completely down. If we all end up chopping, our points are just based on our assigned finishing positions I imagine?

[/ QUOTE ]

If stars doesn't come back, we'll have to do this:

Take the # of points gtd. to each person so far who still has a shot at Tier 1 $ and divide the prize pool based on points.

Tier's 2 and 3 are already over, so we don't have a problem there.

[/ QUOTE ]

Sounds reasonable to me.

ghostbeef 08-28-2007 11:59 PM

Re: 4/180 Challenge Tonight - Special Bounty Event!
 
Didn't I have Tier 1 locked?

Sherman 08-29-2007 12:00 AM

Re: 4/180 Challenge Tonight - Special Bounty Event!
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I'd say Stars is completely down. If we all end up chopping, our points are just based on our assigned finishing positions I imagine?

[/ QUOTE ]

If stars doesn't come back, we'll have to do this:

Take the # of points gtd. to each person so far who still has a shot at Tier 1 $ and divide the prize pool based on points.

Tier's 2 and 3 are already over, so we don't have a problem there.

[/ QUOTE ]

Actually, this isn't fair, but I thought of a better way. I have to figure out the probability of finishing in particular position for each person in each tourney. Then I can figure out the number of points he will earn and weight by the probabilities. This is gonna take some work.

Sherman

Sherman 08-29-2007 12:02 AM

Re: 4/180 Challenge Tonight - Special Bounty Event!
 
[ QUOTE ]
Didn't I have Tier 1 locked?

[/ QUOTE ]

Almost. This better method will reflect that.

gwjw 08-29-2007 12:10 AM

Re: 4/180 Challenge Tonight - Special Bounty Event!
 
[ QUOTE ]
This is gonna take some work.

[/ QUOTE ]

I admire your work ethic, sir, and am happy that you are on the job!

Sherman 08-29-2007 12:35 AM

Re: 4/180 Challenge Tonight - Special Bounty Event!
 
Ok, did a little math and ghost beef was better the 98% to win the tournament. Only FCS could pass ghost and he agreed to just concede it to ghost (TY sir!).

So ghost wins tier 1. FCS had already won tiers 2 and 3. Dante had already taken 2nd in tier 2.

So we have to divide 2nd and 3rd prize pools. Here were the standings when stars went down:

2+2 Name----------Stars Name----------T1----T2----T3----T4----------Total-------Playing?
ghost beef--------ghost beef----------29----0-----0-----165---------47----------Still (Wins Tier 1)
fcs_82------------fcs_82--------------109---177---10----0-----------30----------Still (Wins Tier 2 & 3)
gwjw--------------gwjw----------------0-----79----39----133---------27.5--------Still
Pivotonian--------IsBillyThere--------35----131---84----0-----------24.5--------Still
Hotrod0823--------Hotrod0823----------137---10----163---11----------24.5--------Done
BrandiFan---------Dantes_11-----------51----58----33----16----------23----------Done
rage4dorder-------rage4dorder---------38----35----46----24----------21----------Done
kurtkatt----------kurtkatt9-----------77----15----166---36----------18----------Done
mflip-------------mflip10-------------21----90----32----66----------17----------Done
shadowclown-------eaztridah247--------49----30----66----92----------14----------Done
earck-------------earck---------------42----33----94----78----------14----------Done
whitcolumn--------mooseot-------------48----41----102---56----------13----------Done
MightyPol---------MightyPol-----------43----61----31----117---------13----------Done
PocketBeats-------Atomex--------------69----34----136---45----------12.5--------Done
woohoo88----------woohoo88------------56----60----115---51----------12----------Done
Rockin------------Rockyone123---------113---28----96----88----------12----------Done
Takshi------------Takshi--------------23----89----90----103---------12----------Done
TheGarbanian------TheGarbanian--------93----69----88----57----------11----------Done
Matt238-----------Matt238-------------40----68----120---105---------8.5---------Done
Xander------------Darbosh-------------166---78----78----141---------6.5---------Done
swede554----------swede554------------100---109---176---68----------5-----------Done
McMelchoir--------Rhonda B------------155---63----135---111---------4.5---------Done
Pokerbrat--------SpurrierFTW----------91----116---178---135---------3.5---------Done


So we have 3 players still in it for 2 spots. Any thoughts/ideas?

Sherman

Pivotonian 08-29-2007 12:35 AM

Re: 4/180 Challenge Tonight - Special Bounty Event!
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Didn't I have Tier 1 locked?

[/ QUOTE ]

Almost. This better method will reflect that.

[/ QUOTE ]

Sherman, this second method sounds heaps fairer. I think I was going to be too well rewarded in the simpler method.

gwjw 08-29-2007 12:43 AM

Re: 4/180 Challenge Tonight - Special Bounty Event!
 
I'm cool with whatever. Even split, or based on the given points, or whatever's been suggested. It's all good.

ghostbeef 08-29-2007 12:45 AM

Re: 4/180 Challenge Tonight - Special Bounty Event!
 
Great playing with everyone. Good racing with you fcs. Thanks for your hard work Sherman!

gwjw 08-29-2007 12:48 AM

Re: 4/180 Challenge Tonight - Special Bounty Event!
 
[ QUOTE ]
Thanks for your hard work Sherman!

[/ QUOTE ]

Totally, Sherman, especially with this crash and *math* you've done and whatnot.

Sherman 08-29-2007 01:28 AM

Re: 4/180 Challenge Tonight - Special Bounty Event!
 
Ok. Got a solution.

1/2 of the remaining prize pool ($92) will be split evenly.

So $46 / 3 = $15.33

Then the rest is split by most likely finishing postions based on ICM. Which some tedious math showed that FCS_82 was most likely to finish 2nd and GWJW 3rd, and Billy 4th.

So FCS get's 2/3 of the remaining $46 = 30.67 and GWJW gets 1/3 = 15.33.

So in summary,
Billy = $15.33
GWJW = $30.67
FCS = $46.00

What a disaster. Thanks all. Special thanks to FCS who helped a ton with the nasty math.

Sherman

whitcolumn 08-29-2007 01:34 AM

Re: 4/180 Challenge Tonight - Special Bounty Event!
 
You'll have to give me the contingency plan for this scenario...

Pivotonian 08-29-2007 01:48 AM

Re: 4/180 Challenge Tonight - Special Bounty Event!
 
Thanks Sherman for doing all that. Really appreciate it.


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