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-   -   NL $25 - Resteal from the blind gone wrong? (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=551502)

Xanthro 11-21-2007 04:23 PM

Re: NL $25 - Resteal from the blind gone wrong?
 
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Don't like pre-flop.

As played, easy flop bet.

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This is only easy if we know he puts 1/4 of his stack in with a lot of hands.
We would also need to know that he lays down 88 etc. here.

I just get the feeling you get looked up a lot here.

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We don't know much about villain, but we do know he plays 25NL short stacked. So right there he plays scared.

We also know villain put 25% of his stack in preflop, after a limp, a raise, a reraise, and villain is out of position, plus villain just came to table.

Most of what we know about villain is he or she likely sucks. I see people make this play at 25NL all the time, they limp a small pocket pair or suited garbage, or even unsuited garbage for a huge percentage of their stack, then fold to a bet on an A high flop.

Yes, you'll get called here sometimes, but you are taking it down most of the time.

Any pair less than AA likely folds here given the action.

EPiPeN11 11-21-2007 04:26 PM

Re: NL $25 - Resteal from the blind gone wrong?
 
When he calls out of the BB he has to have a huge hand or is just a moron. To be honest I don't like a cont bet here, becaue even if he has KK/QQ he is probably calling the flop and seeing what happens on the turn and you shouldn't ever double barrell in this situation. And if he has AK/AA he obv is calling/re-raising too.

Your best play is either c/f or c/r. Check/folding is obv the safest, but if you c/r he should laydon KK/QQespecially since your line looks super strong. KK/QQ are more probable than AA/AK in this spot for him to have. You can def rep AK/AA by doing this too.

EDIT: Just noticed the stack sizes, I would never check/raise him with him being so freakin short. This is a 100 percent check/fold.

Sounded Simple 11-21-2007 04:28 PM

Re: NL $25 - Resteal from the blind gone wrong?
 
I woundnt be sure that they play scared, perhaps they play to gamble?
LOL - your pretty much right that they probably suck given this action!

Not sure that you can always get pairs to fold when there is only <1 PSB left.

However thinking it through perhaps there are enough combos of broadways that missed to make a shove +EV.
Come to think of it there are a lot more combos of crap than there are pairs that he could have here and we dont even need to fold him out 50% of the time.

OK I change my mind Arrrrrr in LOL.


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