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-   -   Question about ITM percentage (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=544257)

BrandiFan 11-15-2007 12:37 PM

Re: Question about ITM percentage
 
[ QUOTE ]
Is there such a thing as a 2+2 curse? I have not cashed in 14 straight tournaments since this post. I am only 3 way from my record of futility. [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]

[/ QUOTE ]meh, I have had 25 different streaks of 15+ non-cashes with a record or 45 and I am pretty good imho.

djk123 11-15-2007 01:34 PM

Re: Question about ITM percentage
 
Streak Statistics
Length 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15+

Cash 217 33 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Non-Cash 34 23 23 25 19 16 19 11 15 12 8 10 6 4 34
Longest Non-Cash Streak: 50

jcg2005 11-15-2007 02:38 PM

Re: Question about ITM percentage
 
this makes me feel better about the 15 15+ non-cash streak

JesseB_11 11-15-2007 03:54 PM

Re: Question about ITM percentage
 
kind of a high jack, but at what point is sample size a good indicator? How many trnys is enough to give you a good idea where you stand?

october sky 11-15-2007 11:57 PM

Re: Question about ITM percentage
 
I am in the money with decent stacks in the 3R and 5 dollar tourney on stars.

I'M SO EXCITED
I'M SO EXCITED
I'M SOOOOOOOO SCARRRRREDDDDD

If you get that reference you are an old fart like me.

boohaa12 11-16-2007 08:16 PM

Re: Question about ITM percentage
 
[ QUOTE ]
kind of a high jack, but at what point is sample size a good indicator? How many trnys is enough to give you a good idea where you stand?

[/ QUOTE ]

the more you have, the more confidence you can have in your number. that being said ROI changes so dramaticly when you make a FT if you have less then 300 tourny.
For example winning a 360 person tourny returns around 70 buy ins, this alone would give you a ROI of 30% if you never ever made it ITM except for this one time...

if you didnt read above id be confident around 500 tournys. but very confident around 1000-1500 tourns of the same BI.

boohaa12 11-17-2007 12:27 AM

Re: Question about ITM percentage
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
kind of a high jack, but at what point is sample size a good indicator? How many trnys is enough to give you a good idea where you stand?

[/ QUOTE ]

the more you have, the more confidence you can have in your number. that being said ROI changes so dramaticly when you make a FT if you have less then 300 tourny.
For example winning a 360 person tourny returns around 70 buy ins, this alone would give you a ROI of 30% if you never ever made it ITM except for this one time...

if you didnt read above id be confident around 500 tournys. but very confident around 1000-1500 tourns of the same BI.

[/ QUOTE ]

my math is very wrong, was a long day at work and not thinking when i typed above. If you say a 1st = 70BI then if you got 1 first for every 35 tournys your ROI would be 100%... Since you will get in lesser pay outs at times it would increase. Either way i shouldnt have tried to make an example without concrete math. But still get 1k tournys under belt of same BI and you will be comfortable to know an ROI.

blankoblanco 11-17-2007 12:39 AM

Re: Question about ITM percentage
 
[ QUOTE ]
For example, you would expect a higher ITM and lower ROI if you play mostly 2-table tournaments. Same should be true if you play a lot of satellites that award a large number of seats.

[/ QUOTE ]

^^^ this. i absolutely hate that OPR doesn't separate satellites from non (or just not include satellites at all, for that matter). my ITM% on OPR is well over 30% because i've played a truly absurd amount of satellites that i cash in over 50% of the time. makes my stats look [censored] stupid

mkind0516 11-17-2007 12:57 AM

Re: Question about ITM percentage
 
My itm% for the last 4 months has been just north of 14%. Obv that's terrible but when u win 1/4 of ur coinflips and get coolered more than frozen sausages (for fresh/funny material, turn on Leno). If u can avoid that, u can prob get up to 20%.

october sky 11-18-2007 02:58 AM

Re: Question about ITM percentage
 
Wow this is sick. About to 4 way chop for first in 5dollar rebuy for 4k. Going to be my biggest cash ever. Thanks for the advise to loosen up guys. TWO+TWO!!!!!!!!!!


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