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-   -   Making a Point--Line Shopping Matters (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=544023)

Austiger 11-12-2007 03:26 PM

Re: Making a Point--Line Shopping Matters
 
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And here I thought the name of that system actually meant something. [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]

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Definitely means something if one looks--it gives away exactly what I've been doing

Inimcal NFL Algorithm Spotting Systematic Addle-pates


in·im·i·cal
–adjective
2. unfriendly; hostile: a cold, inimical gaze.

NFL
-National Football League

al·go·rithm
–noun a set of rules for solving a problem in a finite number of steps, as for finding the greatest common divisor.

spot·ting
-23. to detect or recognize; locate or identify by seeing: to spot a hiding child.

sys·tem·at·ic
–adjective 1. having, showing, or involving a system, method, or plan: a systematic course of reading; systematic efforts.
2. given to or using a system or method; methodical: a systematic person.
3. arranged in or comprising an ordered system: systematic theology.
4. concerned with classification: systematic botany.
5. pertaining to, based on, or in accordance with a system of classification: the systematic names of plants.

Addle-pate
n. A foolish or dull-witted fellow. [Colloq.]






Also, look at the backwards acronym
it felt appropriate though slighty mean given the context of the experiment

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I saw the acronym which is why I said that. [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img]

TooTallT 11-12-2007 03:37 PM

Re: Making a Point--Line Shopping Matters
 
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someone is betting seriously and only using B&M? is this 1991? do some casinos offer -105 or something special these days that I don't know about?


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B&M and locals are where you're going to find the best lines to bet, especially on public games. LV books are not allowed to lay off action on other books by law, so there's often great numbers to be had. Online WA numbers are a tough nut to crack (obv not even close to impossible) especially when factoring the slight (?) risk of not getting paid.

TooTallT 11-12-2007 03:39 PM

Re: Making a Point--Line Shopping Matters
 
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In essence, if you want to bet Jacksonville +3 but shop around and can get them at +3.5, it will make a huge difference long term?

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It is impossible to win at sportsbetting if you're betting +3 when +3.5 is readily available.

NajdorfDefense 11-12-2007 04:06 PM

Re: Making a Point--Line Shopping Matters
 
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POTY in this forum for multiple reasons

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B00T 11-12-2007 04:08 PM

Re: Making a Point--Line Shopping Matters
 
Here is another way of what MT2R is saying, or perhaps just restating it.

Lets assume some guy named Squareanni Lamer is the best capper of all time. He hits at 62% lifetime and stood the test of time and this is confirmed true by every authority on the issue ever.

You can make money betting the exact opposite of him as long as the price is right. Say X is playing Y and the spread is 5. Say Squareanni has XTeam -5 -105 and it will hit 62% no matter what. If you can get YTeam +5 at +140, and Squareanni is hitting 62%, you will both be long term winners.

The truth is there is no such thing as Squareanni, but even if there was you can still be ahead in the long run hitting at 38% winners if you are getting the proper price. This is not a practical scenario, but if you can identify small edges and focus on factors outside of the athletes in the game, it only adds to your arsenal.

My math has always been awful and probably off in this example but it doesn't change the point.

When you are fine with betting 5 figures on a team where you don't even know one player on it you officially have lost your training wheels [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]

Thremp 11-12-2007 04:20 PM

Re: Making a Point--Line Shopping Matters
 
Bradley one time.

NajdorfDefense 11-12-2007 04:21 PM

Re: Making a Point--Line Shopping Matters
 
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Bradxxxx Hard 10 one time!

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B00T 11-12-2007 04:32 PM

Re: Making a Point--Line Shopping Matters
 
spoken like a true field mouse

Thremp 11-12-2007 04:34 PM

Re: Making a Point--Line Shopping Matters
 
[ QUOTE ]
spoken like a true field mouse

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My cold is def 10x worse than when the weekend started and I think I hacked up a lung there.

hoff21 11-12-2007 04:38 PM

Re: Making a Point--Line Shopping Matters
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
someone is betting seriously and only using B&M? is this 1991? do some casinos offer -105 or something special these days that I don't know about?


[/ QUOTE ]

B&M and locals are where you're going to find the best lines to bet, especially on public games. LV books are not allowed to lay off action on other books by law, so there's often great numbers to be had. Online WA numbers are a tough nut to crack (obv not even close to impossible) especially when factoring the slight (?) risk of not getting paid.

[/ QUOTE ]

This is mostly untrue. Tons of the B&M books move their lines on "air". i.e. Don Best shows that the bigger online books moved a game by a point most of the the B&M's follow suit without actually taking a limit bet.


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