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-   -   crockpot's "i ran out of cash/hit my limits" WS props thread (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=529277)

crockpot 10-24-2007 07:46 AM

Re: crockpot\'s \"i ran out of cash/hit my limits\" WS props thread
 
lol propaments.

Ellis Island has props on exact world series result. rockies 4-2 and rockies 4-3 each pay out 2-1, versus a market price of rockies +200 to win the series. for another comparison, i bet the rockies 4-2 line at +1100 online. (this was as a hedge; the line is only slightly +EV IMO.)

still not seeing a lot out there, though the combination of game 1 and series bets become even stronger if you can find +200 and -220 on them.

MCS 10-24-2007 09:04 AM

Re: crockpot\'s \"i ran out of cash/hit my limits\" WS props thread
 
Are any MVP props available?

I want know who's the favorite but am at work and can't go to the sites.

mogwai316 10-24-2007 09:16 AM

Re: crockpot\'s \"i ran out of cash/hit my limits\" WS props thread
 
[ QUOTE ]
Are any MVP props available?

I want know who's the favorite but am at work and can't go to the sites.

[/ QUOTE ]

Bodog has a $300 max series mvp prop up. Some notables:

Beckett, Ramirez, Ortiz, Holliday each 5/1
Francis, Helton, Pedroia, papelbon, Lowell each 10/1

thing85 10-24-2007 09:20 AM

Re: crockpot\'s \"i ran out of cash/hit my limits\" WS props thread
 
How often does a closer win the MVP award? The Greek has these same props up..checking right now to see if all the odds are the same.

mogwai316 10-24-2007 09:24 AM

Re: crockpot\'s \"i ran out of cash/hit my limits\" WS props thread
 
[ QUOTE ]
How often does a closer win the MVP award? The Greek has these same props up..checking right now to see if all the odds are the same.

[/ QUOTE ]

Not often:

1974 - Rollie Fingers
1996 - John Wetteland
1999 - Mariano Rivera

ImNew 10-24-2007 10:52 AM

Re: crockpot\'s \"i ran out of cash/hit my limits\" WS props thread
 
Series Price: Boston Red Sox -225 $4,500.00 $2,000.00 caribsports

How much should I bet on the Rockies in game 1?

thing85 10-24-2007 12:50 PM

Re: crockpot\'s \"i ran out of cash/hit my limits\" WS props thread
 
If you want to put a little more down at a better price, -220 at Bodog...

thing85 10-24-2007 12:52 PM

Re: crockpot\'s \"i ran out of cash/hit my limits\" WS props thread
 
[ QUOTE ]
Series Price: Boston Red Sox -225 $4,500.00 $2,000.00 caribsports

How much should I bet on the Rockies in game 1?

[/ QUOTE ]

According to the proportion that crockpot posted above (with the Rockies at +195), you should bet $636 on game 1.

sixfour 10-24-2007 02:14 PM

Re: crockpot\'s \"i ran out of cash/hit my limits\" WS props thread
 
[ QUOTE ]
Are any MVP props available?

I want know who's the favorite but am at work and can't go to the sites.

[/ QUOTE ]

William Hill has Beckett, Papi, Manny at 6-1, Holliday 10-1, Helton 12-1, pretty much everyone else between 14's and 20's.

centris 10-24-2007 02:30 PM

Re: crockpot\'s \"i ran out of cash/hit my limits\" WS props thread
 
Rockies don't sweep is at -2950, which has value if you trust Kind Yao's numbers (and probably crockpot's numbers too). But it is heavily correlated with BOS winning the series so most of us probably don't want to bet it.

Bodog has will there be a run scored in the first inning with YES at +130 which I think has a ton of value.


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