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-   -   NE -1500 Free Money? (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=529090)

aufan91 10-23-2007 04:28 PM

Re: NE -1500 Free Money?
 
Redskins secondary is pretty decent with Taylor (from da U) and Rogers (from Auburn) probably being the best two. Rogers will probably be on Moss. It should be a good one; however, I think NE will win by 14 or more. Not free money IMO.

kdog 10-23-2007 06:02 PM

Re: NE -1500 Free Money?
 
[ QUOTE ]
wtf is wrong with this line? a 4-2 team with the 5th best defense in the league is a 16.5 point dog?! I wonder if a line like this has happened before.

I bet the public money is still lopsided on the Patriots. I wonder where the sharp money is. I would guess Washington

[/ QUOTE ]

The sharp money has been against NE for every big spread. I've drunk that kool-aid a few times this year too and I havn't cashed yet. So ya know what? No more until NE shows me they are saddled with too many to cover. No matter how high the line goes I'm off until they SHOW me it's too many.

johnnylovescandy 10-23-2007 06:26 PM

Re: NE -1500 Free Money?
 
The random chance of turnovers alone in this game makes Washington, or any other NFL team, profitable at 11:1. Of course you get burned a few times along the way taking the dog, but OMG this is so ridiculous even the Pats practice squad players are taking Skins on money line this Sunday...

NajdorfDefense 10-23-2007 06:34 PM

Re: NE -1500 Free Money?
 
[ QUOTE ]
The random chance of turnovers alone in this game makes Washington, or any other NFL team, profitable at 11:1. Of course you get burned a few times along the way taking the dog, but OMG this is so ridiculous even the Pats practice squad players are taking Skins on money line this Sunday...

[/ QUOTE ]

More importantly, so is Brady [and Kraft.]

He's got kids to feed, you know.

Thremp 10-23-2007 06:42 PM

Re: NE -1500 Free Money?
 
Big dogs cover most often IIRC of any NFL subset. Sample size issues obv, but they seem to be the best ones. Except NE seems determined to be rigged.

MicroBob 10-23-2007 07:12 PM

Re: NE -1500 Free Money?
 
Even in this last game I think NE looked better than they really are.
Brady has a couple of lousy passes but he gets saves when Moss makes ridiculous catches on them. That last game could very easily have been much closer at halftime. And then Miami scores 2 TD's in the 3rd Q that could have made it 28-21 or something.

Don't get me wrong. NE is an insanely awesome team and their final-scores aren't a fluke or anything. But every once in awhile Brady may actually throw an interception if Moss is unable to bail him out. And it's certainly possible that WAS is good enough to take advantage of such a situation.
Not likely of course....but definitely possible.

rush66 10-23-2007 07:30 PM

Re: NE -1500 Free Money?
 
Even if you go all in (assuming a 100 unit Br) you are only gaining 6.66666%. A better option is to play the opposite of all Dr. Bob's plays at two units a piece. That will make you the same amount, at least by his results this year thus far.

psuasskicker 10-23-2007 09:51 PM

Re: NE -1500 Free Money?
 
[ QUOTE ]
I took a -1400 NE line with a friend when they played at miami bc gambling is fun, m'kay?

[/ QUOTE ]

Miami <<< Washington

1400 < 1500

- C -

mr. teaser 10-23-2007 11:09 PM

Re: NE -1500 Free Money?
 

I took Redskins +27... (10 point 3team teaser)
I think pats will definitely win the game but for no more than 27 points...

any thoughts?

Schwatt 10-23-2007 11:43 PM

Re: NE -1500 Free Money?
 
[ QUOTE ]

I took Redskins +27... (10 point 3team teaser)
I think pats will definitely win the game but for no more than 27 points...

any thoughts?

[/ QUOTE ]

great gimmick account


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