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-   -   25/50 HU vs unknown, river decision with Q high flush (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=526353)

thaaj 10-19-2007 02:05 PM

Re: 25/50 HU vs unknown, river decision with Q high flush
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
i'd flat the jack high flush and shove the q high flush

[/ QUOTE ]

this is actually very mathematically sound...not sure if you did the math on this but Q-high flush is a fav. over a random flush, J-high is a dog.

[/ QUOTE ]

thats so wierd cuz when i saw this hand i thought the exact same thing as ae and im def not a math based player

g-p 10-19-2007 02:12 PM

Re: 25/50 HU vs unknown, river decision with Q high flush
 
5-,7-,8-,T-,J-, us, K-, A-

you guys sure about that?

g-p 10-19-2007 02:13 PM

Re: 25/50 HU vs unknown, river decision with Q high flush
 
not that it matters at all, because the likelihood of him having the certain flush draws is higher with the way he played it

fslexcduck 10-19-2007 02:19 PM

Re: 25/50 HU vs unknown, river decision with Q high flush
 
[ QUOTE ]
5-,7-,8-,T-,J-, us, K-, A-

you guys sure about that?

[/ QUOTE ]

youre probably not a math major, i'm guessing?

g-p 10-19-2007 02:22 PM

Re: 25/50 HU vs unknown, river decision with Q high flush
 
lucky guess

fslexcduck 10-19-2007 02:30 PM

Re: 25/50 HU vs unknown, river decision with Q high flush
 
think about the handshake problem

edit: i realize i'm being a jerk because it's fun but if this is the way you think about combinations (esp with respect to flushes) it could be very problematic in your off-the-cuff poker analysis while playing

0evg0 10-19-2007 02:39 PM

Re: 25/50 HU vs unknown, river decision with Q high flush
 
gp,

it's hard to make a 2 high flush yo!

g-p 10-19-2007 02:47 PM

Re: 25/50 HU vs unknown, river decision with Q high flush
 
[ QUOTE ]
gp,

it's hard to make a 2 high flush yo!

[/ QUOTE ]i didn't say that

duck its cool were still friends i guess

dlpnyc21 10-19-2007 03:21 PM

Re: 25/50 HU vs unknown, river decision with Q high flush
 
[ QUOTE ]
5-,7-,8-,T-,J-, us, K-, A-

you guys sure about that?

[/ QUOTE ]

we're saying you are right, that the q high flush would be a much better shove b/c u are a mathematical favorite over a random flush, and that a j high flush is a dog over a random flush (math is fun, for everyone, except my opponents...)--so if we assume he has a flush (and not more) then shoving a q high flush would make a lot more sense than shoving a j-high flush.

as far as likelihood of him having the flushes, it's certainly not random, his range would be more heavily tilted towards him having higher flushes, for obvious reasons. this would make shoving a j-high flush pretty damn bad.

fwiw, the board is paired here, but i'm guessing he'd go for a cr with a house? dunno...

Ship Ship McGipp 10-19-2007 04:14 PM

Re: 25/50 HU vs unknown, river decision with Q high flush
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
i'd flat the jack high flush and shove the q high flush

[/ QUOTE ]

this is actually very mathematically sound...not sure if you did the math on this but Q-high flush is a fav. over a random flush, J-high is a dog.

[/ QUOTE ]

thats so wierd cuz when i saw this hand i thought the exact same thing as ae and im def not a math based player

[/ QUOTE ]

dudes i just randomly thought/said that. i can assure you if you think i did that math your'e confusing me for someone a lot smarter than me.


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