Re: Oh Boy....
 

[ QUOTE ]
If I go do my PhD I am going to write about this. I think, but do not know, that betting markets are the best determinant of a winner.

[/ QUOTE ]
I seem to recall that Intrade had an excellent record in predicting winners in 2006. Also, if you didn't know, the University of Iowa has a long running project to study the kind of thing you're talking about.

Re: Oh Boy....
 

Intrade was very good in the recent midterm elections.

Re: Oh Boy....
 

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
If I go do my PhD I am going to write about this. I think, but do not know, that betting markets are the best determinant of a winner.

[/ QUOTE ]
I seem to recall that Intrade had an excellent record in predicting winners in 2006. Also, if you didn't know, the University of Iowa has a long running project to study the kind of thing you're talking about.

[/ QUOTE ]

Yes, I am aware of that project.