Re: Week 6 POTW
 

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A little biased but I have purdue at + 3 1/2. Look at the past games. PU vs OSU always been close.

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I hate that kind of thinking.

Re: Week 6 POTW
 

POTW is the 49ers giving 3 at home to the Ravens. TAKE THE RED CIRCLE OFF THAT [censored] SO I CAN PARLAY IT WITH ALL MY OTHER PLAYS.

Re: Week 6 POTW
 

9ers are getting 3, not giving.

Re: Week 6 POTW
 

I was thinking of betting teh 9ers ML there. Also thikning of betting the Car ML - they are getting 3 in N.O.

Re: Week 6 POTW
 

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9ers are getting 3, not giving.

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word, that's what I meant

anyone think the tenn line will stay at 8.5? don't want to make an early tease if it's moving to 9.5 :x

Re: Week 6 POTW
 

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Edit- wrong thread.

My POTW is the Auburn over I believe.

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Okay, actually my pick of the week is going to be Auburn -6.5 -121 (available on Matchbook) My thoughts are expressed in the early CFB lines thread.

I'm also on several other POTW's mentioned here so I'm feeling good about the weekend. I do like the over as well on this game.

Re: Week 6 POTW
 

It should be noted that my Auburn pick is actually closer to -124 because of Matchbook's commission. I forgot to add that in.

Re: Week 6 POTW
 

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I think the whole Pac10 has soem weird things happen on occassion

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How true. Curious if you used 3 pts. as default for home field for this.

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i used 3.5 pts

basically, I use Phil Steele's guide for HFA and then adjust based on national exposure of the game and spread differential.
Steele estimates each team's home field advantage based for each individual institution. If the home team is even to or slightly worse than the road team on a nuetral field, I add on an extra .5 point to HFA as home field plays the largest role in these scenarios. If the spread is 20+, I'll deduct .5 points (or even a whole point for huge homefield advantages) as the crowd doesn't play a large role when the team is up 24 in the 4th qtr.

I'll also add a half point for THursday/Friday nights (home teams have killed in these games) and the very rare national spotlight game on Saturday....like LSU-FLorida this weekend is clearly a spotlight game.

Re: Week 6 POTW
 

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There has not been a pick of the week thread yet so lets start on.

My POTW is [1315] 1H WISCONSIN+1½-115.


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http://img511.imageshack.us/img511/5...157x157oz1.gif

Re: Week 6 POTW
 

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There has not been a pick of the week thread yet so lets start on.

My POTW is [1315] 1H WISCONSIN+1½-115.


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http://img511.imageshack.us/img511/5...157x157oz1.gif

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close thread.