Re: Daliman WONG Teaser FAQ
 

<font color="red">Updated win/loss figures going into 2007NFL season </font>
Shows win rate for 6 point teasers on 7.5 to 8.5 point favorites and 1.5 to 2.5 point dogs

curtosy of ElRitmoEnElCaos
[ QUOTE ]
Since 1985:
WIN_PCT COUNT TYPE
-----------------------------
75.37 268 HOME DOG
74.85 336 AWAY DOG
72.34 291 HOME FAVORITE
66.67 93 AWAY FAVORITE

Since 2000:
WIN_PCT COUNT TYPE
-----------------------------
76.29 116 AWAY DOG
73.68 76 HOME DOG
71.74 92 HOME FAVORITE
62.07 29 AWAY FAVORITE

[/ QUOTE ]

Re: Daliman WONG Teaser FAQ
 

Maybe my reading comprehension is off, but is it fair to say that teasing +3/-120 (or in the case of Minnesota at Bodog currently, +3/-130) may be +EV, even if not a Wong? Especially when that team is, say, +2 at regular juice on most other sites?

ETA: Never mind, I just read the chatter thread.

Re: Daliman WONG Teaser FAQ
 

[ QUOTE ]
Maybe my reading comprehension is off, but is it fair to say that teasing +3/-120 (or in the case of Minnesota at Bodog currently, +3/-130) may be +EV, even if not a Wong? Especially when that team is, say, +2 at regular juice on most other sites?

ETA: Never mind, I just read the chatter thread.

[/ QUOTE ]

Use Pinny/Matchbook to find the "true" line.

Re: Daliman WONG Teaser FAQ
 

There is 1 thing I don't understand about the R/R:

Why do we bet only bet 2 team teasers and 4 team teasers?

According to SSB, if you can get 3 teamers at +180 they are good bets.

Re: Daliman WONG Teaser FAQ
 

R/Ring would include betting all 3 teamers as well

Re: Daliman WONG Teaser FAQ
 

[ QUOTE ]
R/Ring would include betting all 3 teamers as well

[/ QUOTE ]

I tried to edit my post, but was too late:

Edit: wait, the example used a 4 teamer, so that is the only reason right?

So technically if 4 teams were wongable we would have (4) 3 team teasers in addition to the (6) 2 teamers, and (1) 4-teamer? That would tease every possible combination.

What bet amount is ideal at each teaser level?

5% for 2 teamers
3%? for 3 teamers
2% for 4 teamers
1%? for 5 teamers

Re: Daliman WONG Teaser FAQ
 

Read the linked post by TomCowley.

Re: Daliman WONG Teaser FAQ
 

[ QUOTE ]
Since 1985:
WIN_PCT COUNT TYPE
-----------------------------
75.37 268 HOME DOG
74.85 336 AWAY DOG
72.34 291 HOME FAVORITE
66.67 93 AWAY FAVORITE

[/ QUOTE ]
Anyone know if there is a correlation between WIN_PCT and the o/u for Wong-able games?

Re: Daliman WONG Teaser FAQ
 

One of the things I'm going to look at once I put my database of score archives together. I would logically expect there to be one, but I have no idea how big it is.

Re: Daliman WONG Teaser FAQ
 

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Since 1985:
WIN_PCT COUNT TYPE
-----------------------------
75.37 268 HOME DOG
74.85 336 AWAY DOG
72.34 291 HOME FAVORITE
66.67 93 AWAY FAVORITE

[/ QUOTE ]
Anyone know if there is a correlation between WIN_PCT and the o/u for Wong-able games?

[/ QUOTE ]

i know there is a big difference in college...lower totals have higher win_pct...don't know what you are asking though