Re: Early NFL week 4 thoughts
 

also one unit on Cincy -5.5.

Re: Early NFL week 4 thoughts
 

[ QUOTE ]
I like the Chargers but FWIW - the bye week means nothing this early, especially given the momentum they had after 2 games.

[/ QUOTE ]

Meaning you think it hurts them coming off a bye? Or at least doesn't help?

I'd disagree. I don't think its a huge factor, by any means, but resting extra days and having extra practice time is going to help and not hurt. Its not like they're going to be out of sync for missing the game and taking the Sunday off. Its an extra week of recovery time from the bumps and bruises, several extra days of preparation and film study, and an opportunity for extra rest. The extra practice more than makes up for the lack of gametime. And its not like this is a young team for the most part: the core rush-first offense knows what they're doing and are going to benefit from the extra time off in my opinion.

May not be the bigger advantage that you see for a week 8/9 bye where that extra week of rest in the middle of the season is even more helpful, but all the factors that make the team coming off bye a positive are going to be there, in my opinion.

But that said, the bye certainly isn't some huge factor in why I like this line. I'd like this line if they were coming off a brusing game this week.

Re: Early NFL week 4 thoughts
 

I like 2 road team: Saints +9 -104 @ Panthers & Jags -2.5 @ Washington.

Re: Early NFL week 4 thoughts
 

[ QUOTE ]
also one unit on Cincy -5.5.

[/ QUOTE ]
I wished I jumped on this before it moved to -6 but I still like this bet. I'm a NE fan but the Pats pass coverage is terrible. Rodney Harrison is still recovering from injury, Asante Samuel is too small/slow. No way the Pats secondary can contain Chad Johnson and TJ Houshmandzadeh. And we haven't even mentioned Rudi Johnson. Yea, the Bengals offense is too good for a mediocre/bad Pats defense.

Re: Early NFL week 4 thoughts
 

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
also one unit on Cincy -5.5.

[/ QUOTE ]
I wished I jumped on this before it moved to -6 but I still like this bet. I'm a NE fan but the Pats pass coverage is terrible. Rodney Harrison is still recovering from injury, Asante Samuel is too small/slow. No way the Pats secondary can contain Chad Johnson and TJ Houshmandzadeh. And we haven't even mentioned Rudi Johnson. Yea, the Bengals offense is too good for a mediocre/bad Pats defense.

[/ QUOTE ]

Yeah, I may add at -6 here.

Re: Early NFL week 4 thoughts
 

what does PK stand for?

Re: Early NFL week 4 thoughts
 

PicK em, even money, no juice.

Re: Early NFL week 4 thoughts
 

[ QUOTE ]
PicK em, even money, no juice.

[/ QUOTE ]
That isn't true. Correct me if I'm wrong, but isn't the juice in the odds, not the spread? For example the Min v Buf game is currently:

Minnesota Vikings pk +107
Buffalo Bills pk -115

Re: Early NFL week 4 thoughts
 

Correct. PK doesn't mean "no juice" it means "no spread".
I.e the spread for a game listed at PK or Pick is +0 (or -0, whatever) for each side.

Went ahead and added the term to the FAQ.

Re: Early NFL week 4 thoughts
 

Alexander may not play, so avoiding the CHI game for now.