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Re: River value spot
Why did you call the turn? There's been no discussion hammering the call.
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Re: River value spot
i think considering this would be kinda an awkward spot to bluff (esp considering how passive he is, although he prob doenst realize how that comes into play), I like a bet of less then pot, around 1600 or so. He'll probably talk himself into a call at that price. If he has a 9 or course he'll call, but I think hands with 9s in them are definitely the minority of his range.
basically i dont think a huge overbet bluff is a easy to sell here, if you had a hand you wanted to bluff with you'd probably just check it down and take half the pot against this passive guy. So i'd make a bet that i'd make with 9x. If you overbet shove he will probably lay down a nine and certainly wont call to chop. that said mashing pot is a close 2nd to me b/c of how bluffy it looks |
Re: River value spot
mashing pot is easily best b/c it's UB, on another site maybe 1800ish would be better
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Re: River value spot
Pot for sure. I'm a 5/10 HU reg on there and this is our best idea.. I'm not sure who you are playing but I have a suspicion.
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Re: River value spot
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[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] seems like great spot to just mash pot [/ QUOTE ] [/ QUOTE ] [/ QUOTE ] +3 |
Re: River value spot
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Why did you call the turn? There's been no discussion hammering the call. [/ QUOTE ] based on the description of the flow of the match, betting turn is likely not so good given the risk of villain raising hero off the hand. if villain is underbetting pot, then it's a good spot to just check/call. |
Re: River value spot
cts,
Against this guy it seems clear you have to bet. I also can't see betting less than pot on UB. I think pot is the way to go here, but I think this is a decent spot to push as well. |
Re: River value spot
Definately not less than 3/4pot but as described with UP dynamics/betsizes betting pot looks almost the same (especially if he doesn't know you are CTS but perceives you as a loose Lagtard/Maniac).
We could make an argument for overbets or shoves but with the provided information I have trouble to estimate a calling frequency so I cannot tell which one offers more expected value. C/R seems awful if he is almost never bluffing but might call big bets loosely in that spot. |
Re: River value spot
I agree with FwF, in large part because of this.
[ QUOTE ] My image is just so dumb and with the speed he called pre I think he's going to try to win the pot...... [/ QUOTE ] |
Re: River value spot
Bet the flop and stack off. (edit: only because you said:
My image is just so dumb and with the speed he called pre I think he's going to try to win the pot so I just check and give up.) I agree with just potting the river. |
Re: River value spot
pot/shove river ftw
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Re: River value spot
Shove.
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Re: River value spot
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pot/shove river ftw [/ QUOTE ] stop saying ftw every time you post in an nl thread fish |
Re: River value spot
When are you going to stop running so good. Bet river obviously since he thinks youre a maniac. Any 9 here will raise a river bet so you get monies regardless.
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Re: River value spot
all in
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Re: River value spot
people who want to bet the turn:
why? |
Re: River value spot
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When are you going to stop running so good. Bet river obviously since he thinks youre a maniac. Any 9 here will raise a river bet so you get monies regardless. [/ QUOTE ] no a nine will not raise |
Re: River value spot
a 9 wont raise, we 3bet pf, chk'd flop and c/c turn. i like fwf's line best here.
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Re: River value spot
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Re: River value spot
the latter obv, but i still disagree.
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Re: River value spot
i like cminraise or pot. i rly dont like a shove at all.
-Mike |
Re: River value spot
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people who want to bet the turn: why? [/ QUOTE ] srsly. fold better? ya right. call from worse? ya right. build pot so when you hit you can make mad monies? that's what fish do. Only reason I could see for betting is a blocking bet of like $400 so you dont have to pay much to draw, but I still think that's bad. someone explain -DrG |
Re: River value spot
looking back thru this thread the central disagreement is whether this guy will try to pot us off a split. If yes c/r is obviously better. I think this opponent will not, especially given a flush hit. Therefore, potting or 3/4 seems much better.
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Re: River value spot
i would bet the turn to set up a river shove
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Re: River value spot
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i would bet the turn to set up a river shove [/ QUOTE ] what does that rep and what does it fold out? |
Re: River value spot
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[ QUOTE ] i would bet the turn to set up a river shove [/ QUOTE ] what does that rep and what does it fold out? [/ QUOTE ] reps a straight or a turned set or a flush draw and it folds out pawket ducks or AK if it gest there this way |
Re: River value spot
you said villain does not make large river bluffs... so i expect that he won't be one to push this spot here trying to get you off a chop (especially when you could easily have a big flush in your range given ch/ch flop, c/c turn line)...
you also said he's not bad, so i don't think he stacks off with a naked 9 here to a c/rai... or at least i think there's a very good chance he folds it, making it not worth it since he will always call a bet with a 9 anyways. so i think a bet is the best way to go here... i like betting 1500$. |
Re: River value spot
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[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] i would bet the turn to set up a river shove [/ QUOTE ] what does that rep and what does it fold out? [/ QUOTE ] reps a straight or a turned set or a flush draw and it folds out pawket ducks or AK if it gest there this way [/ QUOTE ] villian never shows up with Ak here i dont think. esp given that cts has 3bet a tonnnn. also i dont think any pair or draw folds that turn if we bet. love to hear what cts has to say about turn, though. |
Re: River value spot
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Ak here i dont think. esp given that cts has 3bet a tonnnn. also i dont think any pair or draw folds that turn if we bet. love to hear what cts has to say about turn, though. [/ QUOTE ] couldn't have said it better dude always bets way too small, so i can draw cheap, and i will have the best hand sometimes too. chances of him folding any pair if i pot the turn... LOL |
Re: River value spot
if we bet the turn we can bet the river, are you saying he's calling turn + riv with 33? because i think that is incredibly important
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Re: River value spot
I think this is a free pass for $1800ish to get snap called. I'd stick with your initial read that this pot has his name all over it. He wants half the pot. Disappoint him.
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