Re: How bad can a player run in sit & goes ?
 

Filter out pots under 6000 and see if that's where the majority of your losses are. If you lost 100k chips on 70 hands of 6000, that's probably just 'normal' bad luck.

Re: How bad can a player run in sit & goes ?
 

[ QUOTE ]
It's also possible you lost several huge pots, which would bring you back into the realms of the realistic by lowering the sample size.

You should probably try the same thing for pots over 6000 chips or something.

[/ QUOTE ]
I can set the upper size and it's 13.500. I consider all 9-handed sit & goes possible allins. So average pot is about 1600 chips in this sample.
However, the correct thing would be to evaluate the ICM and not the chips, and it's my intention to implement it.
For now I have the data just on chips.

Re: How bad can a player run in sit & goes ?
 

What I mean is that your sample could be:

270 small pots: break even
70 large pots: lose lots

in that example, you haven't really had 340 hands of bad luck, just 70.
Averaging it doesn't work because it inflates the sample size and makes you look like you've had a sustained bad run (assuming the guess that you've run bad in big pots is corret), rather than just a 'standard' bad run.

Edit: ICM would still carry the same problem that some hands will be more important than others.

Re: How bad can a player run in sit & goes ?
 

I like this thread

Re: How bad can a player run in sit & goes ?
 

So is the bet still on?

Re: How bad can a player run in sit & goes ?
 

[ QUOTE ]
So is the bet still on?

[/ QUOTE ]

Time and place please. Should be a good rail!

Re: How bad can a player run in sit & goes ?
 

Yeah hoping i dont miss it!

Re: How bad can a player run in sit & goes ?
 

PROVE YOURSELVES YOU EGOTISTICAL HOARS

Re: How bad can a player run in sit & goes ?
 

[ QUOTE ]
PROVE YOURSELVES YOU EGOTISTICAL <font color="red"> </font>WHORES

[/ QUOTE ]

fyp

Re: How bad can a player run in sit & goes ?
 

attention hoars imo

Re: How bad can a player run in sit & goes ?
 

[ QUOTE ]
attention hoars imo

[/ QUOTE ]

that's not a funkin' opinion, imo.

Re: How bad can a player run in sit & goes ?
 

fking hoarse

Re: How bad can a player run in sit & goes ?
 

Lori,
I added a function in luckometer.
Now I have the win/lost/split pot data.
In this thread and on probability section (the place where I had to post this, my fault..) people told me about Binomial Probabilities.
I just needed these two words, no more.
However, I runned luckometer again adding games I played meanwhile.
I had 381 allins.
-24.99% was difference in chips.
145 won, 225 lost, 11 split.
I was on edge &gt;50% of times. So, I can consider it as a coin flip with 150/231 results.
So, probability for this to happen is
<font color="red">1 ON 51,191</font>
If I don't do mistakes on calculating this I can tell I WAS UNLUCKY.
If I did mistakes in this, please let me know, we are persons and here to discuss, not to insult.
1 on 51,191 means it's not impossible, but that someone can experience this. Experiencing this and being considered an idiot make me thinking world is really sad.
Finally, I apologize if my english disturb someone. But, it's not my language. If I say something that is not understandable, you can simply tell me. Perhaps my bad english made me post in wrong forum's section. Bad Beat and Variance seemed to me attinent to my question. Sincerely I don't know what the word 'Brags' is.
For people asking about challenge, move to the heads up section's thread.

Re: How bad can a player run in sit & goes ?
 

Can we change OPs title to FGators of HUSNGs.

Re: How bad can a player run in sit & goes ?
 

i want to see this bet, whats the deal here gravy? [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

Re: How bad can a player run in sit & goes ?
 

I WANT 10K FIGHTS YO ZOMG LETTTTTSSSSSS GET READY TO RUMBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBUUUUUUUUUUUULLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLL LLLLLLLL