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Re: TheKansas Jayhawks are a win away from bein the #1 team in the cou
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[ QUOTE ] Whoever wins the border war will prob be #1 imo [/ QUOTE ] I agree, as they should be. The craziest part of LSU losing is that both OSU and WVU have a great shot at getting to the title game now. [/ QUOTE ] WVU is a lock; OSU has roughly a 25% shot |
Re: TheKansas Jayhawks are a win away from bein the #1 team in the cou
I'd just like to brag that I have a bet of 100 dollars at 100 to 1 that I win if a 2 loss team plays in the National Championship.
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Re: TheKansas Jayhawks are a win away from bein the #1 team in the cou
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The last 30 yrs Nebraska fans outnumbered KU fans in Lawrence though. [/ QUOTE ] thats just not true. Nebraska travels well, but i doubt they have ever had more than 26,000 fans in Memorial Stadium. |
Re: TheKansas Jayhawks are a win away from bein the #1 team in the cou
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I'd just like to brag that I have a bet of 100 dollars at 100 to 1 that I win if a 2 loss team plays in the National Championship. [/ QUOTE ] Why would you brag that you lost $100? I guess its barely +EV right now. |
Re: TheKansas Jayhawks are a win away from bein the #1 team in the cou
Kentucky losing definitely hurts but if you think it's "barely +EV" then you are dumb.
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Re: TheKansas Jayhawks are a win away from bein the #1 team in the cou
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[ QUOTE ] The last 30 yrs Nebraska fans outnumbered KU fans in Lawrence though. [/ QUOTE ] thats just not true. Nebraska travels well, but i doubt they have ever had more than 26,000 fans in Memorial Stadium. [/ QUOTE ] If you look at the attendence records for the last 30 yrs you know that the thing was far from full. All I know is that Jayhawks fan told me when I went to the 2005 game. Actually I think the quote was, "I think that this might be the first time there are more KU fans here than Nebraska fans" Here is a shot at the "home side". We were over on the "visitor" side which was a predominant red. http://img337.imageshack.us/img337/395/img0525zt0.jpg Let's compare it to most home stadium views. http://i11.photobucket.com/albums/a1...adium20pic.jpg |
Re: TheKansas Jayhawks are a win away from bein the #1 team in the cou
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[ QUOTE ] I'd just like to brag that I have a bet of 100 dollars at 100 to 1 that I win if a 2 loss team plays in the National Championship. [/ QUOTE ] Why would you brag that you lost $100? I guess its barely +EV right now. [/ QUOTE ] Barely +EV? So you'd give me 70-1 right now? |
Re: TheKansas Jayhawks are a win away from bein the #1 team in the cou
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Kentucky losing definitely hurts but if you think it's "barely +EV" then you are dumb. [/ QUOTE ] There's a 99% chance that West Virginia beats Pittsburgh? |
Re: TheKansas Jayhawks are a win away from bein the #1 team in the cou
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So they are going to lose. It's going to happen. It's happened every time this year. [/ QUOTE ] Of course it happened. God damn college football. |
Re: TheKansas Jayhawks are a win away from bein the #1 team in the cou
Probably about 95% that WVU beats Pitt and 40% that Mizzou beats Oklahoma. So 3% that a two-loss team makes the championship. It may be +++EV percentage wise, but you're only looking at $2 of EV. Not much of a brag IMO.
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Re: TheKansas Jayhawks are a win away from bein the #1 team in the cou
That's assuming OSU definitely makes it over a 2 loss team.
And EV of $2? lol wtf |
Re: TheKansas Jayhawks are a win away from bein the #1 team in the cou
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Probably about 95% that WVU beats Pitt and 40% that Mizzou beats Oklahoma. So 3% that a two-loss team makes the championship. It may be +++EV percentage wise, but you're only looking at $2 of EV. Not much of a brag IMO. [/ QUOTE ] And this is assuming that Kansas with one loss has a 0% shot of playing OSU, should MU and WVU lose. Probably a safe assumption, but I might give Kansas a 10% shot which cuts even further into the odds. Not to mention that all these calculations are post-KU/MU; a game which helped this bet. If Kansas had won (which happens more than 50% according to the pre-game market) this bet would be far worse right now, and clearly EV. |
Re: TheKansas Jayhawks are a win away from bein the #1 team in the cou
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I'd just like to brag that I have a bet of 100 dollars at 100 to 1 that I win if a 2 loss team plays in the National Championship. [/ QUOTE ] bump |
Re: TheKansas Jayhawks are a win away from bein the #1 team in the cou
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[ QUOTE ] Kentucky losing definitely hurts but if you think it's "barely +EV" then you are dumb. [/ QUOTE ] There's a 99% chance that West Virginia beats Pittsburgh? [/ QUOTE ] well that 1% got there Missouri in rough shape does OSU play Kansas or does LSU make it ahead of KU? |
Re: TheKansas Jayhawks are a win away from bein the #1 team in the cou
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[ QUOTE ] I'd just like to brag that I have a bet of 100 dollars at 100 to 1 that I win if a 2 loss team plays in the National Championship. [/ QUOTE ] bump [/ QUOTE ] I would LOL if voters go bezerko and jump Hawaii to #2. |
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