Re: NBA 2007-08 Week 1 Thread (10/30 - 11/5)
 

[ QUOTE ]
New to this site so definately don't use my opinion, but after reading a few sites and what not and seeing lines, I took lakers +5.5 Jazz outright, and the jazz/GS under at 214.5 That seems way high to me.

[/ QUOTE ]

I am happy with my first every contribution to the site =) congrats if ya went with me

Re: NBA 2007-08 Week 1 Thread (10/30 - 11/5)
 

lakers cutting it pretty close there at the end

Wednesday a bunch of games going on, i like

- dallas -4 v cleveland

cleveland just really isnt that good, dallas is going to come out angry and will continue their reg season dominance. both teams are bringing back basically the same team. last season 1st meeting dallas by 3 even with bronbron putting up 39 sick numbers, 2nd meeting the D by 8. Only concern is that Dallas starts season bad again, but I dont think Avery will let them do that twice.

- chi +2.5 v NJN

chicago is just the better team, and imo it isnt even close

Re: NBA 2007-08 Week 1 Thread (10/30 - 11/5)
 

[ QUOTE ]


- chi +2.5 v NJN

chicago is just the better team, and imo it isnt even close

[/ QUOTE ]

As much as I want to agree with this because I am a fan. No Noah tonight, and a good chance Ben Wallace plays very limited minutes.

Re: NBA 2007-08 Week 1 Thread (10/30 - 11/5)
 

Washington/Indiana O201

Washington will run. Indiana (under O'Brien) will be running and shooting 3's.

Re: NBA 2007-08 Week 1 Thread (10/30 - 11/5)
 

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]


- chi +2.5 v NJN

chicago is just the better team, and imo it isnt even close

[/ QUOTE ]

As much as I want to agree with this because I am a fan. No Noah tonight, and a good chance Ben Wallace plays very limited minutes.

[/ QUOTE ]

I don't really think noah or wallace are that big of a deal, I think ty thomas having to play more minutes is a good thing, and wallace is mostly hype imo

As long as you got hinrich, gordon, deng, and ty on the court - i like your chances

Re: NBA 2007-08 Week 1 Thread (10/30 - 11/5)
 

Yesterday: 6-0 +6.00 Units
YTD: 6-0 6.00 Units

Dallas -3.5 1 Unit
Chicago +2.5 1 Unit

Re: NBA 2007-08 Week 1 Thread (10/30 - 11/5)
 

Yesterday: 1-0 +1.0 Units
YTD: 1-0 +1.0 Units

Toronto -7 1 Unit

Re: NBA 2007-08 Week 1 Thread (10/30 - 11/5)
 

Lots of love for the Bulls getting 2.5, but what about the ML at +125. Seems like the possible better bet here.

Missing Wallace is going to be a factor, but not a big one...maybe costs the Bulls 2 or 3 points in the game. Missing Noah is not a factor, imo. Many Bulls fans were upset with this draft pick, precisely because they don't think he'll be an impact player in the NBA. He wouldn't have made an impact in his first game.

I think the Bulls are 3-4 points better on a neutral court with Wallace. Any thoughts on the Nets home court advantage? Big one, small one...I don't really have a good feel for the intangibles of the NBA. Thanks all.

Re: NBA 2007-08 Week 1 Thread (10/30 - 11/5)
 

What does anyone think of the under for denver / seattle at 217.5?

I just cant see Seattle with a starting 5 of Earl Watson(PG), Kevin Durant(SG), Robert Swift(C), Damien Wilkins(SF) Chris Wilcox or Nick Collison (either one at PW) scoring a 100

Durant has a slight sprained ankle as does Jeff Green.

Robert Swift hasnt practiced lately because of a swore knee and is doubtful.

http://blog.seattletimes.nwsource.co...ex.html#019867

I just dont see them scoring atleast 100 and i know Denver can really score but atleast 117 seems high for opening night?

But then again neither team plays much Defense except Camby

Please share your insight!!

Re: NBA 2007-08 Week 1 Thread (10/30 - 11/5)
 

I like the under. With Durant coming off the injury, I don't think he's going to be too effective. I seem them struggling to post more than 90.

Re: NBA 2007-08 Week 1 Thread (10/30 - 11/5)
 

Does anyone know if bodog ever offers a moneyline?

Re: NBA 2007-08 Week 1 Thread (10/30 - 11/5)
 

I think Seattle will cover here, and the under sounds pretty good as well. Denver is beat up. They just lost their starting PG (Atkins) for 2 months and will have to immediately adjust. The backup PG (Carter) is also out tonight, so they'll be starting Iverson at the point. JR Smith is suspended, so Yakhouba Diawara is starting at SG, and various other scrubs will be getting some playing time. Additionally, Camby's back has been acting up and he will probably play limited minutes.

Re: NBA 2007-08 Week 1 Thread (10/30 - 11/5)
 

[ QUOTE ]
Does anyone know if bodog ever offers a moneyline?

[/ QUOTE ]

Last night they had a ML for the HOU/LAL game but not the other 2 games. It was available a couple hours before the game I think. I'm not sure if this is typical or not; this is the first NBA season since I opened my account there.

Re: NBA 2007-08 Week 1 Thread (10/30 - 11/5)
 

I always thought i could pick basketball so this year i will and keep my results on here...

tonight

Chi +2.5- 1 unit (to win 1.9)
Was -2.5- 3 units (to win 5.85)
Mil +6.5-1 unit (1.9)
Dal -3.5-1 unit (1.95). I would have bet more here but josh howard is suspended and i am not sure how much they will miss him.
Tor-Phi 190.5o- 1 unit (1.90)
Sea-Den 217u- 1 unit

moneyline- all bets of 1 unit
Tor (1.27), Bulls (2.25)- I dont know if its a smart gambling thing to bet the same game 2x...Spurs(1.4)

Re: NBA 2007-08 Week 1 Thread (10/30 - 11/5)
 

Those aren't to win. You are betting 1 unit to win .9 units (if your decimal odds are 1.90).

Re: NBA 2007-08 Week 1 Thread (10/30 - 11/5)
 

yea thats what i meant, i was including the inital bet in the return

Re: NBA 2007-08 Week 1 Thread (10/30 - 11/5)
 

[ QUOTE ]
Lots of love for the Bulls getting 2.5, but what about the ML at +125. Seems like the possible better bet here.

Missing Wallace is going to be a factor, but not a big one...maybe costs the Bulls 2 or 3 points in the game. Missing Noah is not a factor, imo. Many Bulls fans were upset with this draft pick, precisely because they don't think he'll be an impact player in the NBA. He wouldn't have made an impact in his first game.

I think the Bulls are 3-4 points better on a neutral court with Wallace. Any thoughts on the Nets home court advantage? Big one, small one...I don't really have a good feel for the intangibles of the NBA. Thanks all.

[/ QUOTE ]

I hate to disagree here but there were talks in the preseason that Noah was gonna take a lot of minutes from Tyrus because of his work ethic and even a slight chance he was going to start.

Ben Wallace is, as ESPN 1000 has reported, is a game time decision. I follow all that is the bulls and I fully expect him to play but just limited amount of minutes.

I like Tyrus he has his bursts of energy that show potential starhood but I think he is not developed enough right now. I'll be interested in seeing what happens in the first few weeks.

Re: NBA 2007-08 Week 1 Thread (10/30 - 11/5)
 

10/31

WAS -2 1u
CHI +2.5 1u
DAL -3 1u
SEA/DEN u216.5 1u

ytd 1-1 -1.14u

Re: NBA 2007-08 Week 1 Thread (10/30 - 11/5)
 

YTD 1-2 / -1.25 UNITS

Tonight

Memphis +6 -110 2.2 to win 2
Cleveland +4 -110 1.1 to win 1

Re: NBA 2007-08 Week 1 Thread (10/30 - 11/5)
 

like the picks Rush

Re: NBA 2007-08 Week 1 Thread (10/30 - 11/5)
 

[ QUOTE ]
10/31

WAS -2 1u
CHI +2.5 1u
DAL -3 1u
SEA/DEN u216.5 1u

ytd 1-1 -1.14u

[/ QUOTE ]

where do you get your odds, they seem better then mine/

Re: NBA 2007-08 Week 1 Thread (10/30 - 11/5)
 

i'm going to tap the brakes on picking dallas

i forgot jho got suspended. jho is the true star of the mavs imo. this game is clevelands to win

Re: NBA 2007-08 Week 1 Thread (10/30 - 11/5)
 

[ QUOTE ]
Plays for Wednesday 10/31
San Antonio -6 @ Memphis, to win 2u
Seattle +11 @ Denver, to win 1u


[/ QUOTE ]
Added:
Washington -2.5 @ Indiana, to win 1u
Seattle/Denver under 217, to win 0.5u

YTD: spreads 0-1 (-1.1u), totals 0-1 (-.55u)

Re: NBA 2007-08 Week 1 Thread (10/30 - 11/5)
 

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Lots of love for the Bulls getting 2.5, but what about the ML at +125. Seems like the possible better bet here.

Missing Wallace is going to be a factor, but not a big one...maybe costs the Bulls 2 or 3 points in the game. Missing Noah is not a factor, imo. Many Bulls fans were upset with this draft pick, precisely because they don't think he'll be an impact player in the NBA. He wouldn't have made an impact in his first game.

I think the Bulls are 3-4 points better on a neutral court with Wallace. Any thoughts on the Nets home court advantage? Big one, small one...I don't really have a good feel for the intangibles of the NBA. Thanks all.

[/ QUOTE ]

I hate to disagree here but there were talks in the preseason that Noah was gonna take a lot of minutes from Tyrus because of his work ethic and even a slight chance he was going to start.

Ben Wallace is, as ESPN 1000 has reported, is a game time decision. I follow all that is the bulls and I fully expect him to play but just limited amount of minutes.

I like Tyrus he has his bursts of energy that show potential starhood but I think he is not developed enough right now. I'll be interested in seeing what happens in the first few weeks.

[/ QUOTE ]

I'll take your word on Noah, but even without him (ie, last year's team) I think they can beat the Nets. In the end, I think I'd call the outcome of this game a tossup, so I'm taking the Bulls at +120 (was a bit slow, unfortunately). 1 unit.

Go Bulls!

Re: NBA 2007-08 Week 1 Thread (10/30 - 11/5)
 

Raptors -7
Wizards -2.5
Bulls +2.5
Nuggets/Sonics u216.5

YTD: 1-0 +1u

Re: NBA 2007-08 Week 1 Thread (10/30 - 11/5)
 

bulls +5.5 -110
supersonics/nuggets u217.5 -110

ytd 3-0-1 +3u

Re: NBA 2007-08 Week 1 Thread (10/30 - 11/5)
 

Seattle/Denver u 217 1 unit to win .91 unit
Cleveland ml +145 1 unit to win 1.45 units

ytd 0-1-0 -1u

Re: NBA 2007-08 Week 1 Thread (10/30 - 11/5)
 

what do you guys think about this bet:

three team teaser
kings +14
Bulls +7.5
bucks +11

1 unit to win 1.50 units

Bulls looks solid at +7.5
Kings not so sure but 14 is a lot for opening night. But need some more insight for this game
Bucks +11 seems like they can stay close if Redd plays well and if center Andrew Bogut stays out of foul trouble. Plus Mason adds more scoring. But still not ssure please add insight if you have any of r this game too!

Thanks for all the insight!

123xx456

Re: NBA 2007-08 Week 1 Thread (10/30 - 11/5)
 

Was -2.5, +101 (+103 MB)

Edit: adding 0.5u more on Was -2.5, -104 (-102 MB)

Both Jermaine O'Neal and Troy Murphy, who were doubtful to play, are confirmed as sitting out the season opener. Their injuries/doubtful status were already somewhat factored in, but the confirmation that they are not playing, bumps this play up slightly for me. Line has moved a half point at most books, including Pinny, Greek, BM, WSEX.

Re: NBA 2007-08 Week 1 Thread (10/30 - 11/5)
 

Indiana +3 1 Unit
Indiana/Washington Under 205 1 Unit
Orlando -6.5 1 Unit
Philadelphia +8 1 Unit

Re: NBA 2007-08 Week 1 Thread (10/30 - 11/5)
 

First time trying a new system
last year I did a fade of road teams on back-2-back nights v rested home squad...it pretty much broke even

new system this year

Inimical NBA Algorithm Spotting Systematic Addle-Pates
Indiana +3 -106 (5dimes)
New Jersey -2.5 -107 (5dimes)
Cleveland +4 -110 (Bodog)

Re: NBA 2007-08 Week 1 Thread (10/30 - 11/5)
 

Milwaukee +6.5, -105
Philadelphia/Toronto Over 190.5, -110

Re: NBA 2007-08 Week 1 Thread (10/30 - 11/5)
 

Damn. Waited too long to pull the trigger on Cleveland +4. +2.5 now.

Re: NBA 2007-08 Week 1 Thread (10/30 - 11/5)
 

Adding Cle +2.5 for another Unit. As well as Cle/Dall U 184 -110 for 1 unit.

Re: NBA 2007-08 Week 1 Thread (10/30 - 11/5)
 

2-2 +.55
Indiana +3 .75 units
Dallas -3.5 1.5 units
Bulls +2.5 1 units
Sonics O 216 1 units
Raptors -6.5 .33 units

Re: NBA 2007-08 Week 1 Thread (10/30 - 11/5)
 

Y-t-d 0-1 -1.1u
Play for today Denver -11 for 1u

Re: NBA 2007-08 Week 1 Thread (10/30 - 11/5)
 

adding dallas -1.5 -110

Re: NBA 2007-08 Week 1 Thread (10/30 - 11/5)
 

I got Dallas at -2.5.
Sonics +11.5.

Re: NBA 2007-08 Week 1 Thread (10/30 - 11/5)
 

YTD: 2-1-0, +0.9u

Tonight I'm going with a Raptors -6/Wizards -2 parlay. 1u to win 2.68u. These bets have more to do really with the play of the opposing teams than the Raps/Wiz.

Re: NBA 2007-08 Week 1 Thread (10/30 - 11/5)
 

I also got down on the Sonics/Nuggets under of 217. 1.15u to win 1.