Two Plus Two Newer Archives - 3+1 NFL Challenge

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- - 3+1 NFL Challenge - 2006: Week 8 (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=246364)

Re: 3+1 NFL Challenge - 2006: Week 8

429-430 under 38
423 Colts +2.5
Saints -1.5
401 Texans +3

Re: 3+1 NFL Challenge - 2006: Week 8

423/424 Under
430
419/420 Over
401/402 Under

Re: 3+1 NFL Challenge - 2006: Week 8

412
405
421
426 under

Re: 3+1 NFL Challenge - 2006: Week 8

401/402 o
415/416 u
418
415

Re: 3+1 NFL Challenge - 2006: Week 8

409/410 over
409
411/412 over
407/408 under

Re: 3+1 NFL Challenge - 2006: Week 8

413/414 under
417
423
409/410 under

Re: 3+1 NFL Challenge - 2006: Week 8

404
403/404u
424
413/414u

Re: 3+1 NFL Challenge - 2006: Week 8

426
412
421
430

$400 Panthers
$300 Packers
$200 Jets
$100 Vikings

Re: 3+1 NFL Challenge - 2006: Week 8

423/424 u39.5
422
402
429/430 u38

$400 Colts/Broncos under 39.5

Denver's home results this season:

Sep 17 Kansas City Won 9-6
Oct 9 Baltimore Won 13-3
Oct 15 Oakland Won 13-3

Meanwhile the Colts are, as expected, offensive monsters (and rough on the 'D'), but other than Jax they haven't really played against much in the way of Defense. I think we have two chances to win this one, a 34-0 Colts win and another 12-9 Denver kickfest type game. The one chance to lose is a 34-21 Colts "standard" game, but I don't really see that at Denver and I think we have the best of this.

$300 Browns -2

Just staying with the "Bad team home team in game they might win" theory.
It's not quite perfect as they've already won one but this is the highlight of the next few weeks for the Browns and they have no reason to hold back here.

$200 Titans -3

Same theory as above... in the Titans case, their remaining home games are:

Baltimore, NYG, Colts, Jags, Pats.

This is their only chance all season to win a home game. The only reason it's not above the Browns is the 3 points might turn into a push, but to be honest I expect a slaughter here.

$100 Pats/Vikes u38

This is a compromise. I wanted to back the Vikes to win here but I'm sick of the Patriots proving me wrong, so I'll have to swallow that maybe they're not terrible afterall.
I still rate the Vikings 'D' though, and any chance to kind of oppose the Pats is going to tempt me, so I've gone for the under.

It was a very close call between this and Rams +9.5, so I'm getting my whining in early [img]/images/graemlins/smirk.gif[/img]

Lori

Re: 3+1 NFL Challenge - 2006: Week 8

406
426
421/422u
413/414u

Re: 3+1 NFL Challenge - 2006: Week 8

424 Broncos 400
418 Chargers 300
408 Giants 200
420 Raiders 100

Re: 3+1 NFL Challenge - 2006: Week 8

421/422o
414
411/412u
408

Jets/Browns o37 -- The Jets are an Over machine, and even the Browns are an equivalent Under machine (which I doubt), the O/U should be up around 41, not 37.

Chiefs (-6) over Seahawks -- Chiefs played significantly better football than the Seehawks before they lost their QB, and there figures to be a massive drop-off to Seneca Wallace. Chiefs at home giving less than a TD to Seneca Wallace, seems too good to be true. Probably is, but whatever.

Cardinals/Packers u44.5 -- Packers have been a neutral team, and Cardinals have actually been a moderately strong defensive team. 39-40 is about right, 44.5 is way too much.

Giants (-8.5) over Bucs -- My system actually likes this game most of all, but I'm a Giants fan and I don't really trust them to cover a big number, even against Gradkowski (sp?).

Re: 3+1 NFL Challenge - 2006: Week 8

[ QUOTE ]
$400 Colts/Broncos under 39.5

Denver's home results this season:

Sep 17 Kansas City Won 9-6
Oct 9 Baltimore Won 13-3
Oct 15 Oakland Won 13-3

Meanwhile the Colts are, as expected, offensive monsters (and rough on the 'D'), but other than Jax they haven't really played against much in the way of Defense. I think we have two chances to win this one, a 34-0 Colts win and another 12-9 Denver kickfest type game. The one chance to lose is a 34-21 Colts "standard" game, but I don't really see that at Denver and I think we have the best of this.

[/ QUOTE ]

Maybe, but keep in mind that teams have actually moved the ball pretty well against Denver -- The Bropncos have just been playing out of their minds in the red zone, which is unsustainable. Also keep in mind that Denver has faced some putrid offenses lately.

OTOH, the Colts have actually been slowing down in the red zone, what with the lack of a power running game, so maybe the Broncos can keep it up for one more week. I would still take the Over in this game, though, if I had to choose.

Re: 3+1 NFL Challenge - 2006: Week 8

416
414
407/408 over
419/420 over

Re: 3+1 NFL Challenge - 2006: Week 8

Well If I can't win I might as well try to lose. In an all huge underdog special:

425- Cowboys +5
403- Jags +7
420- Raiders +9
417- Rams +9.5

Re: 3+1 NFL Challenge - 2006: Week 8

405
430
409/410 over
422

Re: 3+1 NFL Challenge - 2006: Week 8

430
417
401/402u
422

Re: 3+1 NFL Challenge - 2006: Week 8

terrible ugly card this week

401
413/414 under
404
430

yuck

Re: 3+1 NFL Challenge - 2006: Week 8

$400 424 Denver -2.5
$300 415 Baltimore +1.5
$200 409 SF +16
$100 405 Atlanta +3.5

Re: 3+1 NFL Challenge - 2006: Week 8

Sunday 5:15 game
425 Cowboys
425/426 Under

Monday Game
429 Patriots
429/430 Over

Re: 3+1 NFL Challenge - 2006: Week 8

In before 4...just got back from a bachelor party. Football was the last thing I was thinking about
For anyone who hasn't been there yet, Mons Venus is fantastic.

421
419
421/422 under
430