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-   -   Flop nut straight, possible flush on river 100NL (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=554998)

CalledDownLight 11-26-2007 07:24 PM

Re: Flop nut straight, possible flush on river 100NL
 
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LOL Why is it 75% or more? LOL

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I'd fold. I think he has a flush here 75% of the time or more.

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Just a number I threw out there. With a psb here I think he has a flush the vast majority of the time and a set or 2 pair seldom (15%) and a bluff 10%.

Chargers In 07 11-26-2007 07:27 PM

Re: Flop nut straight, possible flush on river 100NL
 
I think b/f for $30-$40 is much better than c/c.

Makonnen 11-26-2007 07:40 PM

Re: Flop nut straight, possible flush on river 100NL
 
Call. You only have to be right 35% of the time, and I think that this is a worse hand (JJ, AK, even a slow played KK) often enought for it to be worthwhile. So, click reload just in case, but call ...

I like a larger turn bet as well, and I don't mind the c/c on the river. I think a $30 bet on the river works, too, but keep in mind that if he shoves over your $30, you're then looking at $40 to win $150, and you'll have to call that as well ...

AllTheCheese 11-26-2007 07:50 PM

Re: Flop nut straight, possible flush on river 100NL
 
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I think b/f for $30 is much better than c/c.

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Yup.

Warren Harding 11-26-2007 08:50 PM

Re: Flop nut straight, possible flush on river 100NL
 
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but full pot is a flush way too often.

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How does everyone else feel about this sentiment? I feel like the bet is begging for a fold whereas a flush would bet ~1/2 pot.


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