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-   -   KQ (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=552743)

kerowo 11-23-2007 05:38 PM

Re: KQ
 
[ QUOTE ]
Whoops. Forgot high pocket pairs; that's what I get for posting first thing in morning, lol

[ QUOTE ]
What percentage of an unknown's pre-flop range do you think that is?

[/ QUOTE ]

Golly. I'd estimate 50% of the range. Could be more, could be less; since this is an unknown, we can't know for certain [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]

I think playing KQ from the BB getting 5:1 is perfectly fine. We can get away from it if we miss.

[/ QUOTE ]

You don't lose money when you miss, you lose money when you hit and call down with 2nd best hand.

neurotiq 11-23-2007 06:25 PM

Re: KQ
 
<font class="small">Code:</font><hr /><pre>
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 25.615% 22.52% 03.11% 2610167 360386.67 { KQo }
Hand 1: 42.430% 39.25% 03.19% 4550425 370218.50 { 88+, A9s+, KTs+, QTs+, AJo+, KQo }
Hand 2: 31.954% 29.90% 02.06% 3466471 239307.33 { 66+, A4s+, K8s+, Q9s+, J9s+, T9s, A9o+, KTo+, QTo+, JTo }
</pre><hr />

We may not be the favorite in this hand, but at 5:1, we have enough equity to make this call (see above numbers).

johno 11-23-2007 06:40 PM

Re: KQ
 
But the problem is you win small pots when you hit, and the others miss and fold, but lose big pots when you hit, are dominated, and call down.

kerowo 11-23-2007 08:23 PM

Re: KQ
 
How long did you have to diddle the numbers? A4s is calling? KTo? QTo???

If you want to play KQo to a raise for half price against EP raisers go ahead, but it's not the best hand to play back with.

neurotiq 11-23-2007 08:59 PM

Re: KQ
 
[ QUOTE ]
How long did you have to diddle the numbers?

[/ QUOTE ]

About 3 seconds. Literally.

Just plugged in 10% PFR and 20% call. You're probably right, though, that this is too wide a range for an unknown; I wasn't thinking there. If you want to play with the numbers, by all means, go ahead. Report your findings. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

Let's not be snarky and keep up civil discourse. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

neurotiq 11-23-2007 09:21 PM

Re: KQ
 
[ QUOTE ]
But the problem is you win small pots when you hit, and the others miss and fold, but lose big pots when you hit, are dominated, and call down.

[/ QUOTE ]

This makes sense and definitely gives me something to think about. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img] Thanks.

I think there is one minor flaw in this logic, though. You're assuming that we donk when we're ahead and make everybody fold, thus dragging a small pot when we win. On the other hand, you say we call down when we're dominated, thus paying off villain big.

I think that if we just call the c-bet in both cases, it helps to mitigate what you're describing. So long as you don't show villain strength and just call the c-bets, you can get better-sized pots when you're ahead.


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