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Re: Is betting the river here a spew or value ?
Speaking of FPS. A river bet here may get the Button to bluff raise the bb out of a better hand.Even if this only happens a very small percentage of the time,its huge for you.
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Re: Is betting the river here a spew or value ?
* g *
Well, we sure aren't getting any better hands to fold on the river. We probably beat BTN here so there's value to get from him or not if he was on a draw. BB could have slowplayed a 65 or peeled with JT (maybe T6) that got scared of the board pairing. Really tricky T9 could also play like this. The river shutdown could also be with TT-JJ vary of overcards on the flop. Or 87 (and maybe 74). I don't think 55-66 would play this way. Hero loses: 65/JT = 32 combos T6 = 16 (discount) (T9 or other 9x hands being fancy?) Hero wins: 87 = 9 74 = 9 (discount) TT = 6 JJ = 6 Hm.. I guess I still want to show my hand down. I check and overcall crying if BTN bets and BB calls (for pot size). IMO based on your read we couldn't b/f if BTN raises and we end up HU vs him. |
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