Re: Adrian Peterson Bodog props
 

I hit no for both before the prop apparently was taken down, ( just for me? Does Bodog software do that now?). He'd have to average almost 100 yds a game for the first prop, and like 131 for 2nd. Taylor still gets ok amount of carries, and people aren't exactly scared of Minny's passing game. Wasn't Castillo out for SD which severely weakened that line too? I don't have the capability of a full analysis, but I like the chances of him not getting at least the 2105, which pays for my other bet, which I happen to like anyways too.

A funny thing (to me) I noticed about this to tho was that he has like 3-4 runs over 65 yards this season for TD, and I seem to remember the only other rookie ever to do that was Michael Bennett..of the Minnesota Vikings.

Re: Adrian Peterson Bodog props
 

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I currently have LT sitting on my fantasy bench because i have Addai and AP starting, jealous much?!

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are you sure your goal is to find +EV sports bets?

Re: Adrian Peterson Bodog props
 

i maxed the no on 1808 at +190 on sportsbook.

Re: Adrian Peterson Bodog props
 

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Will the lucky SOB who drafted Adrian Peterson win your fantasy football league?

Yes
-1000

No
+800

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Tom Brady?

100,833 and counting

Re: Adrian Peterson Bodog props
 

His week 17 game is at Denver. So even if he's 300 yards short of those records going into that game, he'll still have a shot at it the way Denver is playing lately. That would be ironic, since I think Dillon had his then NFL rush record day @Denver as well.

He does face the Raiders run defense too. He has a decent chance at the rookie record, but 2100 is a big number.

Since he's the anchor of my FFL team, I won't take the unders since I would love to see him go over.

Re: Adrian Peterson Bodog props
 

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I currently have LT sitting on my fantasy bench because i have Addai and AP starting, jealous much?!

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Not really because you're clearly not maximizing your +EV by trading one of them for a better player at another position

Re: Adrian Peterson Bodog props
 

Bet is back up, just in case anyone missed out last night.

Re: Adrian Peterson Bodog props
 

I would also be very suprised if he can make it throuhg a 16 game nfl season without getting dinged up. the vikings will have nothing to play for at the end of the season and if he has any sort of injury sprained ankle or anything the vikings will not risk the future of there franchise on a meaningless game in december

Re: Adrian Peterson Bodog props
 

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Bet is back up, just in case anyone missed out last night.

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Yeah but its a little less tempting right now.

Will Adrian Peterson (MIN) break the single season record for yards by any running back (2105 yards Eric Dickerson)? Must play in week 10 for action. Regular season only. No parlays. Max $100
Yes
+200

No
-300

Re: Adrian Peterson Bodog props
 

They added one for Peterson breaking Dickerson's TD record (18) and an over/under 15.5 for his total rushing TDs.

I maxed the No on > 18 TDs at -200.

He has 8 rushing TDs currently, so if the 15.5 is accurate, there is an average of 7.5 more TDs he will score this year. He needs to score 11 more TDs to break the record. Using Poisson this gives a 13.78% chance, so the No is substantially +EV. I personally think that 15.5 is a little high, which would make the edge here even larger. The juice for the over/under agrees - the over 15.5 is currently -105 and the under is -135.