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-   -   Bet sizing in multiway pot (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=526000)

feelixthegreek 10-19-2007 10:12 PM

Re: Bet sizing in multiway pot
 
Let's say I underbet for $35 and get two callers. There'll be $180 in the pot and I'll have $120 behind. Do I shut down if a bad card comes on the river? Is that a benefit to underbetting instead of making a PSB?

The trouble to me is that it seems weak not to bet a stack-committing amount, yet it seems awkward to bet $75 then be stuck pushing (or calling getting anywhere from 4-6 to 1) my last $75 into a likely made draw.

Given my EP, might I have been better off going for a c/r to increase my chances of getting all my money in on the turn? What about overbetting the flop, like $20-25?

sweetjazz 10-20-2007 10:02 PM

Re: Bet sizing in multiway pot
 
Interesting hand because you're almost certainly good here (and you should get stacked if someone flopped a higher straight because of all the other callers), yet there are a lot of bad river cards which will either beat you or keep you from getting any more value if you are still good.

My intuition is that pushing can't be that bad (i.e. not that far from optimal). First, getting good draws to fold is not a horrible result, and in a live game there's a good chance you'll get a bad call from Ahxh and some straight draws (especially those that have also paired the board). Second, you might get a fantastic result by folding out the draws which know they are behind, but get a call from a hand drawing slim (like 87) or dead (perhaps an awfully played AQ).

The way I think about it is this: Would I overbet push here with air figuring that I could only get called by a straight and that most straights would have played more aggressively on the flop because of the heart draw? In most live games I wouldn't because I would expect to get called by a lot of weak hands including draws, so it would be silly to put overbet all-in with a hand that can't even beat a busted draw that calls. But if that's the case, then overbet pushing for value seems like a nice variation play, and a nice spot to do it is a situation like this, where it will be a bit awkward to get value on the river fairly frequently and your hand is still vulnerable (so "good folds" are less costly than if you had, say, Th 9h).

LukeSLTS 10-31-2007 02:59 PM

Re: Bet sizing in multiway pot
 
I think I push here because of all the draws. I agree that you will be called more frequently by betting half the pot and shoving the rest in on the river but with more than one opponent I think you have to give yourself the best chance to take down the pot.


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