Re: Novice Sports Betting Tactic that may work on the NFL
 

Put another way, take any 75 year old Grandma you want, ask her to pick the NFL against the spread, and we'd expect in the long run her to get ~50% right, the same as if you flipped a coin to make picks. It's actually hard to truly be much of a "consistent loser" when you aren't factoring in the juice. A few weeks is just a small sample size. It's highly unlikely, for example, that the various sportswriters in the Enquirer over the years have a cumulative record as bad as say, 40% winners (or even close). That's why if you take Bill Simmons, or a Norman Chad in a season when they pick(ed) every single NFL game every week, they invariably end up with a record very close to .500. And you can't acually "act as the bookie" because you have to pay the juice to make your bets.

Re: Novice Sports Betting Tactic that may work on the NFL
 

sample size = 4 weeks

no.

Re: Novice Sports Betting Tactic that may work on the NFL
 

F the haters. Do you think everyone jumped on the whole gravity bandwagon when Einstein first showed up? True genius is always met with cynicism. Keep fighting the good fight I say.

Re: Novice Sports Betting Tactic that may work on the NFL
 

[ QUOTE ]
Coin Flips = 50/50% shot.

Your vig: likely -110.

50% <<< 52.4%.

DUCY?

[/ QUOTE ]

FLAWLESS VICTORY.

Re: Novice Sports Betting Tactic that may work on the NFL
 

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Coin Flips = 50/50% shot.

Your vig: likely -110.

50% <<< 52.4%.

DUCY?

[/ QUOTE ]

FLAWLESS VICTORY.

[/ QUOTE ]

Idiots, you are failing to take into account TRAP GAMES.

Re: Novice Sports Betting Tactic that may work on the NFL
 

and she could HAS LOCKS

Re: Novice Sports Betting Tactic that may work on the NFL
 

[ QUOTE ]
are you saying its bad because you think she'll get hot and start to push back to winning closer to half the games?

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oh my goodness. I don't think you should be betting on anything.

Re: Novice Sports Betting Tactic that may work on the NFL
 

I will be happy to act as your book for all these games with a reduced juice -107 pricing line on all games.

Re: Novice Sports Betting Tactic that may work on the NFL
 

i guess i am an idiot for thinking this might work. there is a guy who writes for the new york post, dave blezow, who has had a losing record for 9 of the last 10 years or something ridiculous like that. i have seen him discussed on forums before with some degree of seriousness. obviously you have to use some discretion and line shopping, but this seems like a good way to get at BSP-style picks. it's even better in this case since women don't know anything about sports.

Re: Novice Sports Betting Tactic that may work on the NFL
 

[ QUOTE ]
i guess i am an idiot for thinking this might work. there is a guy who writes for the new york post, dave blezow, who has had a losing record for 9 of the last 10 years or something ridiculous like that. i have seen him discussed on forums before with some degree of seriousness. obviously you have to use some discretion and line shopping, but this seems like a good way to get at BSP-style picks. it's even better in this case since women don't know anything about sports.

[/ QUOTE ]

NO ITS NOT DUCY?

I was torn between that and something about how you're a sexist pig or a comment about sample size being correlated with their small feet for added accuracy.