Re: Four games to sort seven teams into four spots!
 

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Basbeball Prospectus Odds report

67% chance of a 2 way tie, 17% chance of a 3 way tie, 5% chance of a 4 way tie. No mention of the 5 tie, probably so slim it's negligible.

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Well if you assume every team is 50/50 to win each game, the odds of the Mets/Phillies/DBacks/Padres/Rockies tying at 89-73 is (1/16)^4

Re: Four games to sort seven teams into four spots!
 

[ QUOTE ]
Basbeball Prospectus Odds report

67% chance of a 2 way tie, 17% chance of a 3 way tie, 5% chance of a 4 way tie. No mention of the 5 tie, probably so slim it's negligible.

[/ QUOTE ]

Just checked it, they must have added this:

"and a 0.8% chance of a five-way tie"

Re: Four games to sort seven teams into four spots!
 

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Basbeball Prospectus Odds report

67% chance of a 2 way tie, 17% chance of a 3 way tie, 5% chance of a 4 way tie. No mention of the 5 tie, probably so slim it's negligible.

[/ QUOTE ]

Just checked it, they must have added this:

"and a 0.8% chance of a five-way tie"

[/ QUOTE ]

lol, i'm retarded

Re: Four games to sort seven teams into four spots!
 

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OK, this would be pretty awesome. I want the Mets, Phillies, DBacks, Padres and Rockies all to finish with an 89-73 record. Either that, or the Mets, Phillies Braves finish with an 87-75 record instead.

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Why? Does that help your team, or do you just like confusion?

Re: Four games to sort seven teams into four spots!
 

ok, 144/(16^4) looks better.

Re: Four games to sort seven teams into four spots!
 

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
OK, this would be pretty awesome. I want the Mets, Phillies, DBacks, Padres and Rockies all to finish with an 89-73 record. Either that, or the Mets, Phillies Braves finish with an 87-75 record instead.

[/ QUOTE ]

Why? Does that help your team, or do you just like confusion?

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You don't find 5 teams tying for the wild-card even mildly intriguing?

Re: Four games to sort seven teams into four spots!
 

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You don't find 5 teams tying for the wild-card even mildly intriguing?

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Sure, I just wasn't sure whether such a scenario was somehow beneficial to a particular team.

Re: Four games to sort seven teams into four spots!
 

Well, everyone won except the Brewers/Mets

This is going to come down to the wire

Re: Four games to sort seven teams into four spots!
 

Damn, no more chance for a five way tie. It is going to be one wild weekend. It will be interesting to see how it all unfolds.