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-   Poker Beats, Brags, and Variance (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/forumdisplay.php?f=56)
-   -   is this statistically imposible? (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=464387)

facepull 07-30-2007 09:57 AM

Re: is this statistically imposible?
 
just got dealt kk half hour ago. lol still no aa

btmagnetw 07-30-2007 10:10 AM

Re: is this statistically imposible?
 
[ QUOTE ]
just got dealt kk half hour ago. lol still no aa

[/ QUOTE ]LOL NO WAI!!!!!

Dangeresque 07-30-2007 10:14 AM

Re: is this statistically imposible?
 
Meh. 4 tabling the other day I got 4 consecutive hands: AA AA KK AA. These things happen. Tonight was a night of bad cards and coolers.

El_Hombre_Grande 07-30-2007 11:02 AM

Re: is this statistically imposible?
 
I'm no statistics experts, but the way I'm understanding the math presnted is that it actually should happen to you if you play online for a statistically significant # of hands.

ev_slave 07-30-2007 12:13 PM

Re: is this statistically imposible?
 
This should actually happen 1 out of every 43 groupings of 827 hands. Since you've played over 100k hands, you've only had it happen 1 out of 120+ times. So you're actually lucky.

Kurn, son of Mogh 07-30-2007 12:32 PM

Re: is this statistically imposible?
 
Not even close to impossible. In fact, its only mildly improbable.

Gonso 07-30-2007 01:58 PM

Re: is this statistically imposible?
 
Sure, you could play 827 hands per day easily. If you did, this would happen once every six weeks or so. Not that strange.

Floyd13 07-30-2007 06:18 PM

Re: is this statistically imposible?
 
I'll agree with everyone and say this is normal. When I first started playing on full tilt I had an aceless stretch of over 2300 hands.

ApeAttack 07-30-2007 11:18 PM

Re: is this statistically imposible?
 
[ QUOTE ]
it has been exactly 827 hands since the last time i have been dealt pocket aces on-line!

[/ QUOTE ]

Yes... it has never happened before to anyone and I would say you must have really pissed off a poker site.

I get AA like once every 40 hands.

mason55 07-30-2007 11:33 PM

Re: is this statistically imposible?
 
yeah i had one day where i didn't get aces in my first 1800 hands. then i got them, got all in preflop, and lost. quit for the day after that.


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