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-   -   Stock Contest for class (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=492064)

LondonBroil 09-03-2007 12:57 AM

Re: Stock Contest for class
 
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There are only 6 people in my class but I figure the best chance of winning is picking 1 penny stock and hoping for the best, correct?

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Why in the world would you think that's a good strategy?

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Well, I figure if I pick normal stocks like everyone else, I would figure I have a 1 in 6 chance of winning.

I figure if I pick a very volatile stock, then I might have a 1 in 2 chance of winning.

Am I wrong to think this way?

john voight 09-03-2007 01:08 AM

Re: Stock Contest for class
 
[ QUOTE ]


Well, I figure if I pick normal stocks like everyone else, I would figure I have a 1 in 6 chance of winning.

I figure if I pick a very volatile stock, then the stock might have a 1 in 2 chance of going up.

Am I wrong to think this way?

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T50_Omaha8 09-03-2007 02:20 AM

Re: Stock Contest for class
 
Can you invest the cash you get from shorting?

If so, short a lot and buy a lot and see what happens.

Don't buy indexes or anything lame. You're looking for variance here, not long run returns.

PRE 09-03-2007 11:22 AM

Re: Stock Contest for class
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]

There are only 6 people in my class but I figure the best chance of winning is picking 1 penny stock and hoping for the best, correct?

[/ QUOTE ]

Why in the world would you think that's a good strategy?

[/ QUOTE ]

Well, I figure if I pick normal stocks like everyone else, I would figure I have a 1 in 6 chance of winning.

I figure if I pick a very volatile stock, then I might have a 1 in 2 chance of winning.

Am I wrong to think this way?

[/ QUOTE ]

Are you in college or high school?

LondonBroil 09-07-2007 09:59 PM

Re: Stock Contest for class
 
Ahhhhhhhh! I need a stock before tomorrow!

PRE 09-07-2007 10:17 PM

Re: Stock Contest for class
 
GE

pig4bill 09-08-2007 01:56 AM

Re: Stock Contest for class
 
Short AAPL.

LondonBroil 09-08-2007 12:37 PM

Re: Stock Contest for class
 
My internet went down last night so I picked up 1,584.71 shares of Cisco @ $31.52/share. Will update with everyone's picks later this week.

bronx bomber 09-08-2007 03:37 PM

Re: Stock Contest for class
 
Buy Grimstarr-Symbol GRM....100% guarantee no risk

mrclean368 09-08-2007 07:22 PM

Re: Stock Contest for class
 
I've been looking at a stock TGIC, Triad Guaranty. Mortgage insurer that is way down from its 52 week high, (private mortgage insurance company). Looks as if its market capitalization is close to its investment bonds and cash - liabilities. I may be missing something here but it looks like a good buy. If I'm way off base here, I'd like to see how.


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