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-   -   BCS championship game scenarios (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=554292)

iron81 11-25-2007 07:38 PM

Re: bcs championship game??
 
Here's my complete BCS projections:

NC: Missouri/OSU v. WV
Rose: OSU/Illinois v. USC
Sugar: LSU/Tenn v. Hawaii
Orange: VT/BC v. Georgia/Kansas
Fiesta: Kansas/Oklahoma v. ASU/Illinois/Clemson

I put Hawaii in the Sugar because they're now 12 so they should automatically qualify if they beat Washington and the Sugar Bowl has the last priority this year. Here's a link to the selection procedures with the conference tie-ins.

Many of these bids obviously depend on winning next week. Illinois will be selected to play the Rose Bowl if OSU makes the NC game. This poses a problem for me because I would prefer to see OSU play the NC game but I have an Avatar bet that I lose if Illinois makes it.

I really don't know if Illinois would go over Clemson for an at-large bid in the Fiesta Bowl, but ASU will clinch that if they beat Arizona: they will be the home team and have no trouble selling tickets and they'll move up a couple spots in the rankings.

AngusThermopyle 11-25-2007 07:41 PM

Re: bcs championship game??
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Mizzou v WVa if both wins out.
Ohio State gets in if one of them loses.
Georgia in if both lose.
Kansas no chance. They cannot jump Ohio St or Georgia since all three teams are done playing.
VaTech would have to jump three idle teams. I don't think a win over BC can be that impressive.

[/ QUOTE ]

It's really close between Georgia and Kansas with the computers favoring Kansas. A little campaigning to the pollsters might be just enough for KU in that scenario of MU and WVU losing. Obviously it's a big longshot, but it's not an impossibility.

[/ QUOTE ]

Kansas (6 and T5 in polls) will be hurt by VaTech (7 and T5) and LSU (5 and 7) winning their conference championship games and will probably drop relative to, not overtake Georgia (4 and 4).

ADLinden 11-25-2007 08:00 PM

Re: bcs championship game??
 
[ QUOTE ]


I have an Avatar bet that I lose if Illinois makes it.



[/ QUOTE ]

Can I ask what the avatar would be?

Troll_Inc 11-25-2007 08:25 PM

Re: bcs championship game??
 


<-------------------------------


[ QUOTE ]
Can I ask what the avatar would be?

[/ QUOTE ]


pvn 11-26-2007 02:10 AM

Re: bcs championship game??
 
[ QUOTE ]
I do think it's "lol funny" that Georgia could get in despite not even PLAYING in their conference title game.

Awesome system.

[/ QUOTE ]

Nebraska did it in the 2001 season.

CardSharpCook 11-26-2007 02:48 AM

Re: bcs championship game??
 
[ QUOTE ]
I do think it's "lol funny" that Georgia could get in despite not even PLAYING in their conference title game.

Awesome system.

[/ QUOTE ]

oh, you mean if WVU loses to Pitt? right.

ClarkNasty 11-26-2007 12:10 PM

Re: bcs championship game??
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I do think it's "lol funny" that Georgia could get in despite not even PLAYING in their conference title game.

Awesome system.

[/ QUOTE ]

Nebraska did it in the 2001 season.

[/ QUOTE ]

I know. I thought that was funny too.

Just as OU losing their conf title game by like 200 points and still getting into BCS game.

pgjcbsn 11-26-2007 12:46 PM

Re: bcs championship game??
 
[ QUOTE ]
Here's my complete BCS projections:

NC: Missouri/OSU v. WV
Rose: OSU/Illinois v. USC
Sugar: LSU/Tenn v. Hawaii
Orange: VT/BC v. Georgia/Kansas
Fiesta: Kansas/Oklahoma v. ASU/Illinois/Clemson

I put Hawaii in the Sugar because they're now 12 so they should automatically qualify if they beat Washington and the Sugar Bowl has the last priority this year. Here's a link to the selection procedures with the conference tie-ins.

Many of these bids obviously depend on winning next week. Illinois will be selected to play the Rose Bowl if OSU makes the NC game. This poses a problem for me because I would prefer to see OSU play the NC game but I have an Avatar bet that I lose if Illinois makes it.

I really don't know if Illinois would go over Clemson for an at-large bid in the Fiesta Bowl, but ASU will clinch that if they beat Arizona: they will be the home team and have no trouble selling tickets and they'll move up a couple spots in the rankings.

[/ QUOTE ]

Your leaving Missouri out of it completely if they play OU close but lose. They go from #1 to out of it?

iron81 11-26-2007 12:51 PM

Re: bcs championship game??
 
[ QUOTE ]
Your leaving Missouri out of it completely if they play OU close but lose. They go from #1 to out of it?

[/ QUOTE ]
Yes, I am. Kansas only fell to 5th when they lost and I predict Missouri will fall further than that if they lose. 1 loss Kansas > 2 Loss Missouri.

TomCollins 11-26-2007 01:09 PM

Re: bcs championship game??
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Your leaving Missouri out of it completely if they play OU close but lose. They go from #1 to out of it?

[/ QUOTE ]
Yes, I am. Kansas only fell to 5th when they lost and I predict Missouri will fall further than that if they lose. 1 loss Kansas > 2 Loss Missouri.

[/ QUOTE ]

No way. Unless Kansas can get up to #4 in the BCS somehow. 2 Losses to the same team > 1 loss to Missouri. It wouldn't surprise me that the BCS would screw this up, though.


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