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-   -   NCAAF Early Lines Thread (Conference championship week) (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=554415)

pirateboy 11-25-2007 11:52 PM

Re: NCAAF Early Lines Thread (Conference championship week)
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Uh, 1 is far superior. Oklahoma is a fav over Mizzou and rightly so.

[/ QUOTE ]

I win the parlay if either 1 OR 2 hits.

So 1 by itself is >50% to hit.
What % of the time will #2 be true?

[/ QUOTE ]

I did the 2nd one for you - around 36%.

Troll_Inc 11-26-2007 12:05 AM

Re: NCAAF Early Lines Thread (Conference championship week)
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Uh, 1 is far superior. Oklahoma is a fav over Mizzou and rightly so.

[/ QUOTE ]

I win the parlay if either 1 OR 2 hits.

So 1 by itself is >50% to hit.
What % of the time will #2 be true?

[/ QUOTE ]

I did the 2nd one for you - around 36%.

[/ QUOTE ]

Awesome cool thanks!

bills217 11-26-2007 12:09 AM

Re: NCAAF Early Lines Thread (Conference championship week)
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Uh, 1 is far superior. Oklahoma is a fav over Mizzou and rightly so.

[/ QUOTE ]

I win the parlay if either 1 OR 2 hits.

So 1 by itself is >50% to hit.
What % of the time will #2 be true?

[/ QUOTE ]

I did the 2nd one for you - around 36%.

[/ QUOTE ]

Do you feed stray cats too?

[img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]

pirateboy 11-26-2007 12:32 AM

Re: NCAAF Early Lines Thread (Conference championship week)
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Uh, 1 is far superior. Oklahoma is a fav over Mizzou and rightly so.

[/ QUOTE ]

I win the parlay if either 1 OR 2 hits.

So 1 by itself is >50% to hit.
What % of the time will #2 be true?

[/ QUOTE ]

I did the 2nd one for you - around 36%.

[/ QUOTE ]

Do you feed stray cats too?

[img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]

[/ QUOTE ]

The Vols did yesterday

HELLLOOOOOO

bills217 11-26-2007 01:04 AM

Re: NCAAF Early Lines Thread (Conference championship week)
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Uh, 1 is far superior. Oklahoma is a fav over Mizzou and rightly so.

[/ QUOTE ]

I win the parlay if either 1 OR 2 hits.

So 1 by itself is >50% to hit.
What % of the time will #2 be true?

[/ QUOTE ]

I did the 2nd one for you - around 36%.

[/ QUOTE ]

Do you feed stray cats too?

[img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]

[/ QUOTE ]

The Vols did yesterday

HELLLOOOOOO

[/ QUOTE ]

uncalled for [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]

NajdorfDefense 11-26-2007 01:36 AM

Re: NCAAF Early Lines Thread (Conference championship week)
 
[ QUOTE ]
Uh, 1 is far superior. Oklahoma is a fav over Mizzou and rightly so.

[/ QUOTE ]

rofl_copter

cato-tonia 11-27-2007 11:14 AM

Re: NCAAF Early Lines Thread (Conference championship week)
 
[ QUOTE ]
Uh, 1 is far superior. Oklahoma is a fav over Mizzou and rightly so.

[/ QUOTE ]

wow, we actually agree on something. i gotta make an appointment with a proctologist, quick.

Dawg24 11-27-2007 03:24 PM

Re: NCAAF Early Lines Thread (Conference championship week)
 
I have not had a chance to see much of Oklahoma or Mizzou...but I would think the level of talent would be far superior at Ok...

I was loving OK-3 but wanted to hear some thoughts of people who have actually watched some games....

I also like Va Tech as I have watched both teams a few times and have never been impressed by BC...and everyone on here tells me Va Tech is better than UGA...and UGA would wipe the floor with BC.

pirateboy 11-27-2007 03:32 PM

Re: NCAAF Early Lines Thread (Conference championship week)
 
I put 2 units on Tennessee +7.5 as my only play so far. I expect to add 2-3 more games and some totals.

If you look at the UT/LSU game without any of the emotional factors (Miles ----> Michigan, LSU heartbreak, UT momentum/rallying underdogs) then I think LSU beats Tennessee by 10+.

But how much do these intangible things matter? How much are they worth in handicapping? I have no idea, but I think enough for Tennessee to cover and possibly win.

LSU's been a bit suspect in deep coverage, but Tennessee doesn't throw a lot of deep stuff. Sometimes we do, but when we do, it's usually a sideline fly pattern. Very rarely this year have we thrown a deep post, much less for a completion.

One player that I think could make a difference is the elder Cottam brother. He was our #1 TE (Chris Brown is our #1 H-Back) before he broke his wrist. He was denied a 6th year, so he returned against Kentucky and had a huge catch and run that showed why he was our #1 TE. He's 6'8", 270 and runs a 4.6. He's a gazelle. He could be a big playmaker.

Arian Foster had a rough 2006, but he shined against LSU's better defense last year. Hardesty (#2 RB) might be limited, and our #3 is freshman Lennor Creer (who is the most promising RB I've seen at UT since Travis Henry, but he's young).

LSU has only played a couple of OLs as good as UT's - Florida and Arkansas, and I'm not sure where UT ranks in those 3.

Ainge didn't play more than 6 snaps against LSU last year on his bum ankle. He had a disastrous game in 2005 against them.

What else? Nobody in our secondary can cover Doucet. Eric Berry is more athletic, but a frosh.

Ditch Digger 11-27-2007 05:01 PM

Re: NCAAF Early Lines Thread (Conference championship week)
 
[ QUOTE ]
I have not had a chance to see much of Oklahoma or Mizzou...but I would think the level of talent would be far superior at Ok...

I was loving OK-3 but wanted to hear some thoughts of people who have actually watched some games....

I also like Va Tech as I have watched both teams a few times and have never been impressed by BC...and everyone on here tells me Va Tech is better than UGA...and UGA would wipe the floor with BC.

[/ QUOTE ]

I wouldn't put any money on OU. MU was missing Temple during the OU game. OU is going to be missing Murray and possibly their leading sack guy, Auston English.

MU offense > OU offense. OU defense > MU defense.


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