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-   -   50NL KK faces flopshove (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=550504)

jackatwork 11-20-2007 12:20 PM

Re: 50NL KK faces flopshove
 
So you think he's shoving with any pair, any overcard, any draw? that's going to get you in a lot of trouble.

samp15555 11-20-2007 12:52 PM

Re: 50NL KK faces flopshove
 
he probally have j 9 on 77 so i would flod

ADK 11-20-2007 04:12 PM

Re: 50NL KK faces flopshove
 
you either love this or hate it, depends how bad a player he is and other factors. its an ugly spot.. im leaning towards folding, but i wouldnt rule calling out either cause ive seen so many retards with similar stats do this with bottom pair, draws, top pair, etc etc etc specially at these stakes...

Babalatexi 11-20-2007 04:16 PM

Re: 50NL KK faces flopshove
 
I fold, his small flop bet combined with shoving just looks too bad and more often than not these 50+ heroes don't know how to play combodraws so his range is polarized towards strong hands. When I think about it, I would very rarely fold kings here but I think now is the time to do it.

billip62 11-20-2007 11:35 PM

Re: 50NL KK faces flopshove
 
[ QUOTE ]
I would just like to say that the guy before me should REALLY thing about players ranges before doing any more stoving.
And fold that flop, villain prob has a 2pair combination.

[/ QUOTE ]

lol nice, I'm working on it

new to stoving!

udbrky 11-21-2007 12:26 AM

Re: 50NL KK faces flopshove
 
What's his PFR Call %? Ever since I read Pokey's HUD article, I revamped my HUD and love it.

Just because he limps 56% doesn't mean he's calling Preflop raises 56%. I try to get a rough idea of their 3-bet range by looking at the % of their limps they raise, and use that % to estimate what range they're 3-betting.

I'd guess his calling PFR to be more like 25%:

66+,A2s+,K6s+,Q8s+,J8s+,T8s+,A7o+,K9o+,QTo+,JTo

You're 69% against that range. BUT, that doesn't mean you have that much equity against the range he's shoving here.

He didn't re-raise PF, so he probably doesn't have QQ-AA. If he has JJ-77, you're only 44%. You're 54% against AhQh.

If his range is:

JJ-66,Ah2h,J9s,8d7d,J9o,

You're 34%.

If you throw in AT, you're up to 41%.

I'd look at his WTSD % and Won at SD % to see what he goes to war with, as well as what he calls PFR with to narrow down his calling range and his shoving range.

Peter Harris 11-21-2007 12:52 AM

Re: 50NL KK faces flopshove
 
[ QUOTE ]
Ever since I read Pokey's HUD article

[/ QUOTE ]

linky plz


the small bet/overbet shove almost always indicates real strength. He's also donking into the PFR which is unlikely to be a draw. It's an odd board though and you will sometimes see some weirdness, but I really think unless he has exactly A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] for the flush and straight draw he'd likely just call your raise with a draw.

udbrky 11-21-2007 01:39 AM

Re: 50NL KK faces flopshove
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Ever since I read Pokey's HUD article

[/ QUOTE ]

linky plz


the small bet/overbet shove almost always indicates real strength. He's also donking into the PFR which is unlikely to be a draw. It's an odd board though and you will sometimes see some weirdness, but I really think unless he has exactly A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] for the flush and straight draw he'd likely just call your raise with a draw.

[/ QUOTE ]

I definitely think calling here is doing so expecting to be behind a lot.

Here's the link:

http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/sh...age=0&vc=1

There's pictures in the thread too.


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