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-   -   $100r Naked ace flush (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=525127)

Ansky 10-17-2007 05:01 PM

Re: $100r Naked ace flush
 
[ QUOTE ]
i realize a 57 or 79ss have us beat but i dont think anyone gets away from an A high flush by pegging someone those 2 cards, especially from an UTG limp

[/ QUOTE ]

why not?

I'd say we are relatively rarely up against the naked Ks here.

checkcall 10-17-2007 05:04 PM

Re: $100r Naked ace flush
 
we're much, much less likely up against a str8 flush than a Ks

djk123 10-17-2007 05:07 PM

Re: $100r Naked ace flush
 
River: T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]

after thinking about it i agree that leading is probably best

Stumpy 10-17-2007 05:29 PM

Re: $100r Naked ace flush
 
Ansky,

If you're saying you might fold if the board pairs, OK.

Otherwise, even if you checked and he shoved the river, he'd have to have the SF > 60% of the time to fold.

If you 1/2 pot the river, then it'd be 75%.

I don't know the villain, but in a 100$ online tournament, can you really put someone on a 2 card straight flush 75% of the time?

Ansky 10-17-2007 05:31 PM

Re: $100r Naked ace flush
 
im not saying i want to fold, im just saying don't close your eyes and click push/call without realizing theres a chance we're behind.

checkcall 10-17-2007 05:36 PM

Re: $100r Naked ace flush
 
you still have to open your eyes and click push/call then. Either way, we're not folding this

ZJ123 10-17-2007 05:39 PM

Re: $100r Naked ace flush
 
Bet/call the river.

curtains 10-17-2007 05:41 PM

Re: $100r Naked ace flush
 
call turn, check raise river. Board pairs bet out river I guess, no reasonable player in the world would raise the turn with 2pair/set, so you aren't in any danger, the only danger is that he is scared to bet K or Q of spades because you could have made a full house.

btw I dunno who the villain is but since you gave his name I assume the idea is that he's reasonable?

Probably can't make much this hand anyway no matter what you do, but I think he's drawing to probably no outs and won't call any more bets on the turn without the nuts.

j_allstar 10-17-2007 05:41 PM

Re: $100r Naked ace flush
 
he folds every spade except K or Q to a 3 bet...
prob folds Q might fold K
i like call and lead river
although if hes good call and check river wouldnt be awful...

Ship Ship McGipp 10-17-2007 05:53 PM

Re: $100r Naked ace flush
 
whatever you do

DO NOT DO NOT ASLDJFASDLKFJASODIFJASDO;FJASDOFIJ lead the river when the ten pairs

thank you


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