Re: nl25 another trips hand
 

He has 22 more often that he has 44 here imo.
I think this guy is more likely to bluff lead with 22 since it;'s a paired board than lead a flopped full house. People love to slowplay.


Regardless, never fold this.

Re: nl25 another trips hand
 

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I do. But if I dont really think Im that far ahead of his range should I be raising the turn? or is that way overanalyzing things?

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Yes, even if you think this guy only 3-bets with better (which is untrue), his betting and calling ranges on the turn are a lot wider than his 3-betting range.

Re: nl25 another trips hand
 

I like that more, but I think the range of aces he plays is a little wide. the sample is insignificant, but hes not playing that many aces with a 17 vpip

Re: nl25 another trips hand
 

after 30 hands I don't put much stock into VPIP. The only thing we really know about this guy is he isn't a maniac pre-flop.

Re: nl25 another trips hand
 

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This is a close call i think with dead money, but I am actually behind his range I think

Board: As 4c Ah 2c

Wins Ties Equity
34.60% 8.33% 42.93% ( AcQc )
48.74% 8.33% 57.07% ( AT+, 44, 22, A2, A4 )


[/ QUOTE ]

NOOO...can't find a fold here