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-   -   *** OFFICIAL *** POG NFL Survivor Pool (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=488375)

lastchance 09-07-2007 02:47 AM

Re: *** OFFICIAL *** POG NFL Survivor Pool
 
Don't worry Dan, it's not the worst pick.

kokiri 09-07-2007 04:17 AM

Re: *** OFFICIAL *** POG NFL Survivor Pool
 
when does this NFL business start - this weekend?
also, I have to pick the winner of a game, if i do i go through to the next round, right?
I can't remember who i picked, but some website said they would win.

JCool 09-07-2007 09:32 AM

Re: *** OFFICIAL *** POG NFL Survivor Pool
 
[ QUOTE ]
when does this NFL business start - this weekend?
also, I have to pick the winner of a game, if i do i go through to the next round, right?
I can't remember who i picked, but some website said they would win.

[/ QUOTE ]

You picked Tennessee, a 6.5 dog on the road, over Jacksonville. What were you thinking?

kokiri 09-07-2007 09:47 AM

Re: *** OFFICIAL *** POG NFL Survivor Pool
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
when does this NFL business start - this weekend?
also, I have to pick the winner of a game, if i do i go through to the next round, right?
I can't remember who i picked, but some website said they would win.

[/ QUOTE ]

You picked Tennessee, a 6.5 dog on the road, over Jacksonville. What were you thinking?

[/ QUOTE ]

is 6.5 points like a coin flip?

kokiri 09-07-2007 09:53 AM

Re: *** OFFICIAL *** POG NFL Survivor Pool
 
so what you're saying is, here:

Tennessee Titans +7 (-115)
Jacksonville Jaguars -7 (-105)

being '+' is not good? Oh well, GG me.

metsandfinsfan 09-07-2007 10:00 AM

Re: *** OFFICIAL *** POG NFL Survivor Pool
 
[ QUOTE ]
so what you're saying is, here:

Tennessee Titans +7 (-115)
Jacksonville Jaguars -7 (-105)

being '+' is not good? Oh well, GG me.

[/ QUOTE ]

This means you if you wager 115 dollars on tennessee, you can add 7 points to their score, and with those 7 points if they win you win 100 dollars

So the experts think the Jaguars will beat the Titans by about 7 points

kokiri 09-07-2007 10:03 AM

Re: *** OFFICIAL *** POG NFL Survivor Pool
 
'experts'

kevkev60614 09-07-2007 10:09 AM

Re: *** OFFICIAL *** POG NFL Survivor Pool
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
In. What percentage of POGgers will remain after week 1?

[/ QUOTE ]

That's really impossible to say as it's not only dependent on the people choosing the game, but the actual games themselves.

[/ QUOTE ]
Yeah, that's what makes it a good question.

[ QUOTE ]
Assuming the top two games (in my opinion) pan out as they should, I would say 80-90% will move on.

[/ QUOTE ]
Incidentally, claiming that 80-90% will win "assuming the favorites win" is kinda crazy. I could predict that 100% of POGgers will move on if there are no upsets this week. But that'd be retarded.

For the record, the correct answer is ~60%.

metsandfinsfan 09-07-2007 10:26 AM

Re: *** OFFICIAL *** POG NFL Survivor Pool
 
[ QUOTE ]
'experts'

[/ QUOTE ]

well. 'experts' set the line. and then bettors bet and the line moves. I think the line opened at titans +6 1/2. And now moved to 7 which means more people bet against them so they give them more points hoping they get more action

good luck sir

kevkev60614 09-07-2007 10:52 AM

Re: *** OFFICIAL *** POG NFL Survivor Pool
 
[ QUOTE ]
being '+' is not good? Oh well, GG me.

[/ QUOTE ]
No. '+' is '-' and '-' is '+', ldo. Couldn't be simpler.

[ QUOTE ]
is 6.5 points like a coin flip?

[/ QUOTE ]
No, but it's not as far away as you might think.


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