Re: 6 Teams to not make the playoffs- OFFICIAL THREAD
 

'more than likely' <> No Chance.

Re: 6 Teams to not make the playoffs- OFFICIAL THREAD
 

'my other 5 teams are not gonna make it' = No Chance.

- C -

Re: 6 Teams to not make the playoffs- OFFICIAL THREAD
 

Current playoff odds courtesy of www.footballoutsiders.com

Cleveland: 39.0%
Oakland: 0.3%
Houston: 1.5%
Atlanta: 0.5%
Buffalo: 11.0%
Miami: 0.0%
Tennessee: 91.0%
Detroit: 49.3%
KC: 41.3%
Green Bay: 97.4%
NYG: 64.9%

Re: 6 Teams to not make the playoffs- OFFICIAL THREAD
 

[ QUOTE ]
Current playoff odds courtesy of www.footballoutsiders.com

Cleveland: 39.0%
Oakland: 0.3%
Houston: 1.5%
Atlanta: 0.5%
Buffalo: 11.0%
Miami: 0.0%
Tennessee: 91.0%
Detroit: 49.3%
KC: 41.3%
Green Bay: 97.4%
NYG: 64.9%

[/ QUOTE ]

Expected value time! hooray!

Omahahahaha
$200
.3% chance to win!

Kdog
$250
27.3% chance to win

NajdorfDefense
$400
30.2% chance to win

Lpmatt
$200
4.8% chance to win

Methodz
$200
4.8% chance to win

trixtrix
$2000
2.8% chance to win

Amerzel
$400
53% to win


So AFisher is ahead and is likely to win every bet except amerzel, who is statistically ahead right now. Of course, these number will change from week to week, but i think AFisher did ok on this one.

Re: 6 Teams to not make the playoffs- OFFICIAL THREAD
 

Looks like Assani won all his FO flippaments. Too bad people gave him a fat edge by not reading.

Re: 6 Teams to not make the playoffs- OFFICIAL THREAD
 

[ QUOTE ]
Looks like Assani won all his FO flippaments. Too bad people gave him a fat edge by not reading.

[/ QUOTE ]


If I win this year, this will be the 4th year in a row(and I've only offered it for 4 years) that nobody has been successful.

100,828 and counting

Re: 6 Teams to not make the playoffs- OFFICIAL THREAD
 

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Looks like Assani won all his FO flippaments. Too bad people gave him a fat edge by not reading.

[/ QUOTE ]


If I win this year, this will be the 4th year in a row(and I've only offered it for 4 years) that nobody has been successful.

100,828 and counting

[/ QUOTE ]

Is that suppose to be an indicator of how good you run? Or how suboptimal everyone else is playing?

Re: 6 Teams to not make the playoffs- OFFICIAL THREAD
 

[ QUOTE ]
Or how suboptimal everyone else is playing?

[/ QUOTE ]

Cmon, you know how sharp "Assani's friend" is. Unbelievable feat, imo.

Re: 6 Teams to not make the playoffs- OFFICIAL THREAD
 

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Looks like Assani won all his FO flippaments. Too bad people gave him a fat edge by not reading.

[/ QUOTE ]


If I win this year, this will be the 4th year in a row(and I've only offered it for 4 years) that nobody has been successful.

100,828 and counting

[/ QUOTE ]

Is that suppose to be an indicator of how good you run? Or how suboptimal everyone else is playing?

[/ QUOTE ]

I think its a -EV bet for people to take against me. If you disagree, I'll run it next year as well.

100,744 and counting

Re: 6 Teams to not make the playoffs- OFFICIAL THREAD
 

What are the odds on this bet anyway?