i'm such a station

[tufat23]

villain runs 20/13/2.2 over 3k mostly datamined hands.
i've not paid too much attention to him, havent seen him do anything that would catch my eye. my table image is a bit fast, but nothing wild.
I couldnt see any legit Kx here, and i was thinking he wouldnt shove with a set given stack sizes and pot size... so i'm goot to call


Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

UTG ($648)
MP ($465.60)
CO ($762.50)
Button ($301)
Hero ($643)
BB ($391.50)

Preflop: Hero is SB with J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. Hero posts a blind of $2.
<font color="#CC3333">UTG raises to $8</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, CO calls $8, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero (poster) raises to $31</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, UTG folds, CO calls $25.

Flop: ($78) 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $58</font>, CO calls $762.50 (All-In), Hero calls $641 (All-In).

[Mosselmaniac]

Why couldn't he have AK or KQ in this situation?

[oyvindgee]

I think you are flipping vs stuff like 9xdd/Axdd a lot, but I'm afraid it will be a made hand often enough to make it a bad call. He min raised UTG so Kx wouldn't exactly be mind blowing.

[tufat23]

no he called the UTG min raise so AK, KQ seem unlikely

[oyvindgee]

[ QUOTE ]
no he called the UTG min raise so AK, KQ seem unlikely

[/ QUOTE ]

Sorry, I misread. I still don't like it cause you are never far ahead, but I agree that Kx is less likely.

edit: fwiw, I kind of like shoving 55 here from villains perspective.

[luckychewy]

wow, awful. i would fold aa here.

[CopTHIS]

I'm all for playing like a station but this is kinda rediculous. Yes he will have a combo draw plenty of times but when he doesn't you are drawing very thin.

[thedustbustr]

too deep

[Freelancer]

tufat remember when we talked about overpairs on combo drawy boards, you explained to me that I should be folding overpairs to a b/3bAI there because I was marginally ahead or way behind. Same situation here really, he either has a set or a big draw (I agree, rarely a K and rarely a bluff)...

[FBP]

[ QUOTE ]
wow, awful. i would fold aa here.

[/ QUOTE ]

Agree about first part. This call looks gross.

But would you really fold AA? I've already been in a spot very close to this, the guy did have middle set but i thought thinking of folding would be result oriented.