STTF SNG->cash thread

[microbet]

fd,

He kept a very steady course. He could have anything, but my suspicion that if he flopped a set the turn and river cards would have made him react one way or another and that if he turned a flush he would have bet at least a little harder would make me call getting a reasonable price.

You still beat some hands that make sense like AK or AQ with a club and there are possible hands that make less sense too. He could even have something like Ac3x if he's so weird preflop.

I think you do lose a little more than 1/2 the time though. It's not like a flush or a set would be crazy here.

[cakewalk]

call

[futuredoc85]

FTR call and raise are the only two options im considering

[cakewalk]

[ QUOTE ]
FTR call and raise are the only two options im considering

[/ QUOTE ]

imagine you raise, an amount (what amount)? what do you foresee the villain doing ? i can't figure out what to raise because it's so [censored] deep

[futuredoc85]

if i raise im raising v. small and folding to a push b/c this dude is garbage and nowhere near capable of shoving worse. in the actual hand i minraised

[cakewalk]

but 2.5x is so much better


basically you're deep enough to raise/fold.

[Pudge714]

FD river is a pretty easy call. As he can easily have Ac and than vbet top pair. Also if he is good he could also vbet QQ and KK here and this is a really good spot to three barrel. I mean I would bet this river with basically my whole range and except every jack to fold except AJ.

[futuredoc85]

yeah pudge i was wondering if there could be value in a raise actually. ob i expect him to be v-betting worse pretty often.

[Pudge714]

FD,
I thought I deleted that post.
Pretty clear river gay raise he never three bet bluffs and I think he could call with worse two pair, Ax or maybe KK and QQ.
I would make it like 400. I get that he hasn't seemed that spewy postflop, but that is probably because he hasn't got a spot for you to see him spew.

[GtrHtr]

[ QUOTE ]
FTR call and raise are the only two options im considering

[/ QUOTE ]

I'd say raising >>>> calling but if he is unpredictable I'd lean towards calling because I'm a scared little [censored] when I get this deep.